ATL: BERYL - Post-Tropical

[CrazyC83]

I find it pretty ridiculous on how CNN was going nuts over Hurricane Irene last year, and now barely mentioning Beryl...

If it has 4-6 hours till landfall then there is a chance of RI. Barring the environmental conditions it is in that is...

Irene was a hurricane and potentially striking millions of people in the major NE cities.
Beryl was a Subtropical Storm which the genius meteorologists at CNN probably did not even understand.
Oh, and it is Jacksonville which doesn't have the viewership that the major NE cities has.
Either way, CNN dropped the ball which seems to be a reoccurring theme with this system.

JUST MY OPINION, of course.

The national media is a joke in situations like this. I remember in Humberto they also ignored it for the most part.

[JtSmarts]

Hey guys, you can find live streaming from Jacksonville here:

http://www.actionnewsjax.com/content/li ... fault.aspx

[yzerfan]

Florida's State Emergency Operations Center is now at Level 2 - Partial Activation of State Emergency Response Team.

[Dave]

000
URNT15 KNHC 272234
AF308 0302A BERYL HDOB 19 20120527
222530 3101N 07904W 8428 01573 0121 +142 +065 128048 049 032 003 00
222600 3103N 07904W 8429 01573 0121 +144 +065 129047 048 032 004 00
222630 3105N 07904W 8428 01573 0119 +148 +054 130047 047 033 004 00
222700 3107N 07904W 8430 01572 0125 +141 +062 129047 047 031 005 00
222730 3109N 07904W 8426 01578 0126 +142 +063 129046 047 031 003 00
222800 3111N 07905W 8429 01576 0125 +145 +059 128045 046 031 003 00
222830 3113N 07905W 8426 01581 0127 +145 +055 128045 046 031 002 00
222900 3114N 07905W 8429 01579 0129 +144 +060 127044 044 029 002 00
222930 3116N 07905W 8428 01582 0132 +140 +066 128043 044 030 001 00
223000 3118N 07906W 8429 01582 0134 +139 +074 127042 043 029 004 00
223030 3120N 07906W 8422 01587 0131 +138 +088 126042 043 025 005 03
223100 3120N 07908W 8432 01577 0133 +139 +077 125040 042 /// /// 03
223130 3119N 07909W 8436 01572 0133 +140 +068 122039 040 029 002 00
223200 3118N 07911W 8425 01581 0130 +142 +073 123042 043 031 003 00
223230 3117N 07912W 8427 01578 0126 +145 +058 124043 043 029 004 00
223300 3116N 07914W 8426 01578 0123 +147 +053 123044 044 030 005 00
223330 3114N 07915W 8428 01577 0123 +145 +043 123044 044 032 005 00
223400 3113N 07916W 8424 01578 0120 +147 +048 125045 045 033 005 00
223430 3112N 07918W 8428 01572 0118 +148 +050 123046 046 035 007 00
223500 3111N 07919W 8426 01572 0118 +145 +045 121047 047 036 009 00
$$
;

[ozonepete]

I'm assuming the only reason that the NHC has yet to designate this a hurricane is to avoid the panic that comes along with the issuance of hurricane warnings. Additionally, the data within the vortex message that suggested that flight level winds were at 80mph+ and SFMR readings just above 70mph in itself already dictates towards the upgrade of Beryl.

They have to wait for RECON to examine the rest of it.

[WeatherGuesser]

I'm just hanging in here for the official upgrade.




RE: CNN..... they've gone tabloid.

[mf_dolphin]

ADMIN Note: Let's stop with the CNN jabs.

[Mouton]

Buoy reading off St Augustine is now 29.37 or 994mbs and dropping rapidly.

Blowing pretty good up here in Fernandina now....estimate a good 30mph sustained in my yard, more at beach. Gust 10 mph higher. Barometer 29.75 and falling. Not raining but dark and rain is coming soon. Ominously, a light flicker from time to time.

Oil lamps set to fire up and dinner may be done on the camper stove!

[WeatherGuesser]

Sorry weatherguesser, are you having issues loading it?

Right now, it seems like the whole site has slowed down. Maybe it's just me, but the giant files don't really help.

[northjaxpro]

Very very nasty out at the Jax Beach pier as the outer eyewall feederband has made it ashore. Pouring rain here ow at my home and a gust to 44 mph s few moments
ago.

Link:

http://www.jaxpiercam.com/

[Peach]

Irene was forecast to hit areas in which these storms are unusual; this is our third since 2004 where I live. The flood threat is what worries me right now. The St. Mary's is a great river, brown from tannic acid, beautiful overhanging trees, and she flows like the Suwannee, where I had planned to be this weekend. I prefer the St. Mary's not be in my front yard however.

[JonathanBelles]

Jacksonville declares state of emergency and cancels all Memorial Day events:
http://www.coj.net/Welcome/News/Update- ... Beryl.aspx

Ignore the subtropical status.

[Dave]

000
URNT15 KNHC 272244
AF308 0302A BERYL HDOB 20 20120527
223530 3110N 07921W 8427 01570 0117 +141 +051 118047 048 036 008 00
223600 3108N 07922W 8427 01567 0113 +140 +059 115048 049 035 005 00
223630 3107N 07924W 8430 01562 0111 +140 +079 113049 049 034 005 00
223700 3106N 07925W 8428 01564 0109 +140 +089 111049 050 035 003 00
223730 3105N 07926W 8428 01561 0107 +137 +114 112050 051 035 002 00
223800 3103N 07928W 8428 01559 0104 +136 +113 111051 052 036 002 00
223830 3102N 07929W 8426 01559 0101 +140 +110 111052 053 038 001 00
223900 3101N 07931W 8427 01555 0098 +141 +109 112054 054 038 000 00
223930 3100N 07932W 8433 01549 0097 +140 +110 115055 055 038 002 00
224000 3058N 07934W 8426 01551 0094 +140 +110 114055 056 038 003 00
224030 3057N 07935W 8433 01543 0092 +140 +111 114057 058 039 002 00
224100 3056N 07937W 8428 01546 0090 +140 +109 112057 058 040 004 00
224130 3055N 07938W 8432 01540 0088 +137 +113 112057 058 043 004 00
224200 3054N 07940W 8435 01534 0088 +133 +121 114059 060 045 006 00
224230 3052N 07941W 8425 01542 0082 +134 +121 114061 062 044 007 00
224300 3051N 07943W 8433 01529 0089 +120 +120 113060 062 046 012 01
224330 3050N 07944W 8431 01531 0081 +120 +120 116059 059 048 016 01
224400 3049N 07946W 8426 01528 //// +110 //// 116061 062 056 020 01
224430 3047N 07947W 8416 01536 0061 +139 +134 118062 063 057 015 00
224500 3046N 07948W 8433 01515 0065 +130 +130 122065 066 051 005 01
$$
;


Approaching center again from the NE.

[cycloneye]

Let's see what is finds on second pass.

[ROCK]

pressure should be lower is my guess....I would say about 992-ish....JMO...this just going of the SAT view...

[northjaxpro]

Yes, and also they are discussing the possibility to close the bridges around town, whcih i think will be inevitable later tonight.

[Dave]

['CaneFreak]

Yeah. The next ob from RECON is crucial. They are examining the NE quadrant now and are about to do another center fix.

I'm assuming the only reason that the NHC has yet to designate this a hurricane is to avoid the panic that comes along with the issuance of hurricane warnings. Additionally, the data within the vortex message that suggested that flight level winds were at 80mph+ and SFMR readings just above 70mph in itself already dictates towards the upgrade of Beryl.

They have to wait for RECON to examine the rest of it.

[ROCK]

RECON heading back to the center.....from the NE.. VDM soon....I think 992ish not out of the question....

[jdray]

70+mph sfmr in the NW Quad, that NE quad is looking nasty strong.

forgot to put MPH so people wouldnt think knots