ATL: BERYL - Post-Tropical

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WilmingtonSandbar
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Re:

#1421 Postby WilmingtonSandbar » Sun May 27, 2012 6:59 pm

thundercam96 wrote:So Is There Still A Chance Of This Becoming A Hurricane?


There's always a chance of anything happening, but it won't be a hurricane until the NWS says it's a hurricane. Until then, just sit back and enjoy the show.
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Re: ATL: BERYL - Tropical Storm

#1422 Postby jdray » Sun May 27, 2012 7:00 pm

northjaxpro wrote:
jdray wrote:Matthews bridge is now closed.
I expect Dames Point shortly, same with Hart Bridge.


Yep Jdray that ws inevitable to happen and rightfully so.

BTW, how are conditions down in your area currently. I have picked up just under an inch of rain in these feeder bands rotating through thus far and the highest wind gust here at my location has been 46 mph. Right now, it has slacked off a bit but awaiting the next feederband to rotate through.



Hard to tell, my lacrosse decided it hated life. Relying on Cecil Field for official, but in some of the bands, its pretty hard winds. Cecil has an official gust of 36, NAS Jax has official gust so far of 41. My son's boyscout made rain gauge showed close to .4 inches before it went tipping over lol.
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#1423 Postby Evil Jeremy » Sun May 27, 2012 7:00 pm

80kts at flight level just found.

at a .80 reduction, that supports 65kts, 75mph hurricane.
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#1424 Postby FutureEM » Sun May 27, 2012 7:01 pm

80kt flight level? Contaminated?
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And that's the way it was

#1425 Postby Cyclenall » Sun May 27, 2012 7:02 pm

Evil Jeremy wrote:80kts at flight level just found.

at a .80 reduction, that supports 65kts, 75mph hurricane.

And that's the way it was :eek: .
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#1426 Postby Dave » Sun May 27, 2012 7:02 pm

Image
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Re:

#1427 Postby Chris_in_Tampa » Sun May 27, 2012 7:02 pm

MiamiHurricanes10 wrote:Dave, keep it coming with the images; I appreciate it very much. I deleted Google Earth a few days ago by accident, and have been too lazy too re-upload it hahaa. Thanks again.

I can take over images. Hopefully by later this year (perhaps not until next year) you will not need GE for the recon system. Been busy, but I have a Google Maps version in development that will be as functional as the GE version. (Hopefully more so.)
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Re:

#1428 Postby Hurricaneman » Sun May 27, 2012 7:04 pm

Evil Jeremy wrote:80kts at flight level just found.

at a .80 reduction, that supports 65kts, 75mph hurricane.


The NHC may have to do a special advisory off of this finding, this system seems more like something you see in July not May.
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Re: Re:

#1429 Postby Dave » Sun May 27, 2012 7:05 pm

Chris_in_Tampa wrote:
MiamiHurricanes10 wrote:Dave, keep it coming with the images; I appreciate it very much. I deleted Google Earth a few days ago by accident, and have been too lazy too re-upload it hahaa. Thanks again.

I can take over images. Hopefully by later this year (perhaps not until next year) you will not need GE for the recon system. Been busy, but I have a Google Maps version in development that will be as functional as the GE version. (Hopefully more so.)


If you would Chris it'd help out. Thanks! (hope you get your program running soon...about ready to take a claw hammer to GE now) ;)
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Re:

#1430 Postby Aric Dunn » Sun May 27, 2012 7:05 pm

FutureEM wrote:80kt flight level? Contaminated?


no 01 is T or TD questionable.
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Re: ATL: BERYL - Recon Discussion

#1431 Postby tolakram » Sun May 27, 2012 7:07 pm

I can be backup for images if needed. Finally back at my desktop.
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#1432 Postby MiamiHurricanes10 » Sun May 27, 2012 7:07 pm

High rain-rate on the 80kt flight-level reading makes it suspicious. The cyclone is extremely close to becoming a hurricane though.
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#1433 Postby Dave » Sun May 27, 2012 7:07 pm

000
URNT15 KNHC 280004
AF308 0302A BERYL HDOB 28 20120527
235530 3100N 08106W 8434 01526 0078 +130 +130 068068 068 044 009 01
235600 3101N 08106W 8433 01529 0082 +128 +127 069068 069 044 008 00
235630 3103N 08106W 8428 01536 0080 +132 +126 071067 067 043 007 00
235700 3104N 08105W 8430 01533 0083 +120 +120 072067 068 043 008 01
235730 3105N 08105W 8425 01542 0091 +120 +120 074065 066 042 008 01
235800 3106N 08105W 8425 01540 0093 +120 +120 075064 066 042 007 01
235830 3107N 08104W 8435 01536 0093 +120 +120 074065 067 041 009 01
235900 3109N 08104W 8425 01547 0093 +128 +121 077063 066 040 009 00
235930 3110N 08103W 8429 01544 0095 +129 +118 078065 065 040 008 00
000000 3111N 08103W 8428 01548 0095 +133 +103 078064 065 040 007 00
000030 3113N 08103W 8429 01547 0098 +132 +098 079062 063 039 006 00
000100 3114N 08102W 8429 01549 0097 +138 +078 079061 062 037 004 00
000130 3115N 08102W 8433 01547 0102 +131 +086 079060 061 036 004 03
000200 3117N 08102W 8356 01617 0095 +131 +051 078061 062 034 005 03
000230 3117N 08104W 8014 01972 0097 +113 +036 074061 062 /// /// 03
000300 3117N 08107W 7615 02399 0098 +085 +052 071058 060 029 005 00
000330 3117N 08110W 7258 02797 0087 +071 +046 064052 059 030 004 03
000400 3117N 08112W 6927 03184 0099 +040 +036 058054 054 035 006 00
000430 3117N 08115W 6690 03469 0080 +036 +023 063051 054 050 002 03
000500 3117N 08118W 6389 03841 0079 +015 +010 065044 047 /// /// 03
$$
;
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#1434 Postby NDG » Sun May 27, 2012 7:08 pm

Radar centered on latest fix of coc.

http://vortex.plymouth.edu/gifs/JAX.N0R ... 595_an.gif
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#1435 Postby FutureEM » Sun May 27, 2012 7:09 pm

I guess the vortex message will reveal if we have a hurricane or not.
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Re: ATL: BERYL - Recon

#1436 Postby Chris_in_Tampa » Sun May 27, 2012 7:09 pm

Image
Left turn and climbing. I guess that is it.
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Re: Re:

#1437 Postby MiamiHurricanes10 » Sun May 27, 2012 7:10 pm

Chris_in_Tampa wrote:
MiamiHurricanes10 wrote:Dave, keep it coming with the images; I appreciate it very much. I deleted Google Earth a few days ago by accident, and have been too lazy too re-upload it hahaa. Thanks again.

I can take over images. Hopefully by later this year (perhaps not until next year) you will not need GE for the recon system. Been busy, but I have a Google Maps version in development that will be as functional as the GE version. (Hopefully more so.)

That would be exceptional. I'll probably re-upload GE later today, but that will come in as very useful especially for the meat of the season.
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Re:

#1438 Postby tolakram » Sun May 27, 2012 7:10 pm

NDG wrote:Radar centered on latest fix of coc.

http://vortex.plymouth.edu/gifs/JAX.N0R ... 595_an.gif


Saved image of that radar loop: http://i.imgur.com/qMU23.gif

Imgur.com will save animated gifs of fairly large size.
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Re:

#1439 Postby jdray » Sun May 27, 2012 7:10 pm

FutureEM wrote:I guess the vortex message will reveal if we have a hurricane or not.



I have a feeling it will be post season upgrade.
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Re:

#1440 Postby wxsouth » Sun May 27, 2012 7:11 pm

MiamiHurricanes10 wrote:High rain-rate on the 80kt flight-level reading makes it suspicious. The cyclone is extremely close to becoming a hurricane though.


Rain-rate has no impact on flight-level winds…only SFMR sfc winds.
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