Texas Summer 2012

U.S. & Caribbean Weather Discussions and Severe Weather Events

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
User avatar
Portastorm
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 9914
Age: 62
Joined: Fri Jul 11, 2003 9:16 am
Location: Round Rock, TX
Contact:

Texas Summer 2012

#1 Postby Portastorm » Wed May 30, 2012 9:48 am

Let the discussion continue ...
0 likes   
Any forecasts under my name are to be taken with a grain of salt. Get your best forecasts from the National Weather Service and National Hurricane Center.

aggiecutter
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1751
Joined: Thu Oct 14, 2004 9:22 pm
Location: Texarkana

Re: Texas Summer 2012

#2 Postby aggiecutter » Wed May 30, 2012 10:50 am

0 likes   

User avatar
Ntxw
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 22730
Joined: Wed Oct 21, 2009 6:34 pm
Location: DFW, Texas

#3 Postby Ntxw » Wed May 30, 2012 12:47 pm

Several bouts of MCS/derechos possible for north and northwest Texas heading into central and east Texas tonight/tomorrow. Good time to clear loose outdoor items and trim some branches. The rain this morning left lots of boundaries so isolated tornadoes in the squalls are possible even outside of the SPC's moderate risk area imo.
0 likes   
The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.

  Help support Storm2K!
Help Support Storm2K

User avatar
ravyrn
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1000
Age: 42
Joined: Sun Aug 31, 2008 5:10 am
Location: Alderbranch, TX

Re: Texas Summer 2012

#4 Postby ravyrn » Wed May 30, 2012 2:41 pm

Here north of Dallas in Little Elm we've had a nice bit of rain since last night. Since 11pm I've had two different cells drop pea-sized hail and have also had the lights flicker 3x. I wonder what this evening will bring.
0 likes   

User avatar
ravyrn
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1000
Age: 42
Joined: Sun Aug 31, 2008 5:10 am
Location: Alderbranch, TX

Re: Texas Summer 2012

#5 Postby ravyrn » Wed May 30, 2012 3:51 pm

Image
Jeeez, just can't get a break in Little Elm today. This pic is from a storm that passed through @ 3:20pm CDT. I also took a video of it and uploaded it to Youtube. This storm had no wind or lightning/thunder. Just some good old fashioned quarter-sized to maybe golfball-sized hail.

[youtube]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GOLiWxjkwtA[/youtube]
0 likes   

User avatar
Ntxw
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 22730
Joined: Wed Oct 21, 2009 6:34 pm
Location: DFW, Texas

#6 Postby Ntxw » Thu May 31, 2012 3:50 pm

Some greenery is back after the recent waves of rain. A few more shower complexes could effect northeast and east Texas through Saturday. Beyond that we turn our heads toward the western Caribbean and southern gulf. Whether or not something forms in a week or so moisture plume could effect Texas. Stay tuned!
0 likes   
The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.



  Help support Storm2K!

Help Support Storm2K


User avatar
somethingfunny
ChatStaff
ChatStaff
Posts: 3926
Age: 36
Joined: Thu May 31, 2007 10:30 pm
Location: McKinney, Texas

Re: Texas Summer 2012

#7 Postby somethingfunny » Thu May 31, 2012 4:13 pm

This northwest flow just seems so.... so right. Why can't we have more nice things like this?

Bonus, gravity waves from last night:

Image

Image

Image
0 likes   
I am not a meteorologist, and any posts made by me are not official forecasts or to be interpreted as being intelligent. These posts are just my opinions and are probably silly opinions.

aggiecutter
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1751
Joined: Thu Oct 14, 2004 9:22 pm
Location: Texarkana

Re: Texas Summer 2012

#8 Postby aggiecutter » Thu May 31, 2012 4:47 pm

Texarkana finished the month with .70 inches of rain. That's about 4 inches below normal. If the pattern doesn't change soon, we will be back in drought conditions by the middle of June.
0 likes   

weatherdude1108
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4228
Joined: Tue Dec 13, 2011 1:04 pm
Location: Northwest Austin/Cedar Park, TX

#9 Postby weatherdude1108 » Thu May 31, 2012 10:38 pm

We got a few sprinkles where I was in Austin today. The outflow boundary ahead of the rain stabilized the atmosphere ahead of the action, completely zapping the energy source. I and a few colleagues of mine were in disbelief. :eek: I was anticipating a nice relief. It was 97 when I left work. Hmmm. Back to the sprinklers, feeling the guilt of draining a a struggling Lake Travis. :sprinkler:Depressing day in these parts. :( Hope June has something to offer.
0 likes   

weather_novice
Tropical Low
Tropical Low
Posts: 11
Joined: Fri Mar 16, 2012 4:08 am
Location: San Antonio, TX

Re: Texas Summer 2012

#10 Postby weather_novice » Fri Jun 01, 2012 12:07 pm

Cheer up, Austin got an inch of rain over normal for May.
0 likes   

weather_novice
Tropical Low
Tropical Low
Posts: 11
Joined: Fri Mar 16, 2012 4:08 am
Location: San Antonio, TX

#11 Postby weather_novice » Fri Jun 01, 2012 12:07 pm

Was hoping for another spit in San Antonio. There was some heavy downpour 20 miles north of us but it never came into town so we'll just have to settle with 9.85" for May.
0 likes   

weatherdude1108
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4228
Joined: Tue Dec 13, 2011 1:04 pm
Location: Northwest Austin/Cedar Park, TX

Re: Texas Summer 2012

#12 Postby weatherdude1108 » Fri Jun 01, 2012 12:17 pm

weather_novice wrote:Cheer up, Austin got an inch of rain over normal for May.


You're right, I'm thankful. :)

It just happened in the first couple weeks, then the pump shut off.
Spreading it out is ideal, but I know , beggars can't be choosers. :wink:
0 likes   
The preceding post is NOT an official forecast, and should not be used as such. It is only the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

User avatar
Ntxw
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 22730
Joined: Wed Oct 21, 2009 6:34 pm
Location: DFW, Texas

Re: Texas Summer 2012

#13 Postby Ntxw » Fri Jun 01, 2012 1:00 pm

It is interesting to note that the NAO is extremely negative coupled with a -AO. Latest models suggest the first half of June will seasonably hot with intervals of less hot (yes this is natural summer terminology in texas!). There are no sustained heat ridges in the foreseeable future. In fact some blocking may even occur in central Canada which will have effects here. Rain chances may come back up again in a week.
0 likes   
The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.



  Help support Storm2K!

Help Support Storm2K


SaskatchewanScreamer

#14 Postby SaskatchewanScreamer » Fri Jun 01, 2012 1:42 pm

Just send it back up in about 3 weeks!
0 likes   

User avatar
Portastorm
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 9914
Age: 62
Joined: Fri Jul 11, 2003 9:16 am
Location: Round Rock, TX
Contact:

Re: Texas Summer 2012

#15 Postby Portastorm » Sat Jun 02, 2012 3:23 pm

Perhaps some of us in Texas will see more rain this coming week. JB has been tweeting today about a back-door cool front into Texas and "wetting rains" anywhere east of a line from Lubbock to Victoria. NWS forecast discussions from Texas offices today also reference a deepening Eastern US trough (i.e. backdoor cool front for Texas) and some short-wave ripples coming across the state. We shall see.
0 likes   
Any forecasts under my name are to be taken with a grain of salt. Get your best forecasts from the National Weather Service and National Hurricane Center.

weatherdude1108
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4228
Joined: Tue Dec 13, 2011 1:04 pm
Location: Northwest Austin/Cedar Park, TX

Re: Texas Summer 2012

#16 Postby weatherdude1108 » Sat Jun 02, 2012 6:55 pm

Portastorm wrote:Perhaps some of us in Texas will see more rain this coming week. JB has been tweeting today about a back-door cool front into Texas and "wetting rains" anywhere east of a line from Lubbock to Victoria. NWS forecast discussions from Texas offices today also reference a deepening Eastern US trough (i.e. backdoor cool front for Texas) and some short-wave ripples coming across the state. We shall see.


That would be great! I just mowed and trimmed my yard today. :wink:
0 likes   

aggiecutter
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1751
Joined: Thu Oct 14, 2004 9:22 pm
Location: Texarkana

Re: Texas Summer 2012

#17 Postby aggiecutter » Sat Jun 02, 2012 8:23 pm

Portastorm wrote:Perhaps some of us in Texas will see more rain this coming week. JB has been tweeting today about a back-door cool front into Texas and "wetting rains" anywhere east of a line from Lubbock to Victoria. NWS forecast discussions from Texas offices today also reference a deepening Eastern US trough (i.e. backdoor cool front for Texas) and some short-wave ripples coming across the state. We shall see.


The 0Z HPC's 5 day QPF output looks encouraging for the parts of the state that need rain. On a side note, 31 stations in Arkansas reported all-time record rainfall deficits for the month of May. Clinton, which is just outside of Little Rock, received only .04 inches of rain for the month.
http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/p120i00.gif
0 likes   

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 143867
Age: 68
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: Texas Summer 2012

#18 Postby cycloneye » Sun Jun 03, 2012 8:26 am

Porta,looks like a good soaker for many in Texas from Wednesday until Saturday.

Image
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

User avatar
Portastorm
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 9914
Age: 62
Joined: Fri Jul 11, 2003 9:16 am
Location: Round Rock, TX
Contact:

Re: Texas Summer 2012

#19 Postby Portastorm » Sun Jun 03, 2012 11:44 am

Yes sir, that appears to be the case and it would be welcomed, of course!

FWIW, I saw this tweet from this morning from JB:

Heavy Rains next 10 days for Texas from panhandle to coastal bend , east, assures them of much less hot summer this yr
0 likes   
Any forecasts under my name are to be taken with a grain of salt. Get your best forecasts from the National Weather Service and National Hurricane Center.

User avatar
Ntxw
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 22730
Joined: Wed Oct 21, 2009 6:34 pm
Location: DFW, Texas

#20 Postby Ntxw » Sun Jun 03, 2012 4:51 pm

Lots of blocking going on our side of the world in the higher latitudes. And given that it's June rich moisture is not very far off in the southern gulf. +PNA, -AO, and very -NAO spells a wet Texas.
0 likes   
The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.



  Help support Storm2K!

Help Support Storm2K



Return to “USA & Caribbean Weather”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: AnnularCane, Edwards Limestone, txtwister78 and 71 guests