ATL: DEBBY - Post-Tropical

[HouTXmetro]

I've been stuck on my lap top all day. Only foraging for food. Lol. Anyways.... The shear is wreaking havoc. That would be something if this isn't named until Sunday and heads west for a Wednesday Texas LAND fall. Under a oppressive heat ridge the next two days. Suppose to hit the century mark.

(Disclaimer: in my unprofessional opinion)

[SunnyThoughts]

Wonder if they are going to sample that eastern quadrant of the system to see what the winds might be under all that convection.

[Dave]

000
URNT15 KNHC 231846
AF302 01AAA INVEST HDOB 19 20120623
183900 2555N 08754W 9729 00260 0022 +236 +235 054014 015 018 004 00
183930 2554N 08755W 9737 00254 0023 +230 +230 059008 015 013 005 01
184000 2553N 08756W 9732 00257 0022 +230 +230 063006 007 007 001 01
184030 2552N 08757W 9739 00250 0021 +230 +230 069006 008 005 001 01
184100 2550N 08758W 9733 00254 0020 +237 +231 075007 007 006 002 00
184130 2549N 08759W 9733 00253 0018 +240 +224 077007 007 007 000 00
184200 2548N 08801W 9736 00250 0017 +239 +225 076007 007 005 001 00
184230 2547N 08802W 9736 00250 0016 +238 +236 071007 007 004 003 00
184300 2546N 08803W 9733 00252 0016 +240 +231 037006 007 005 002 00
184330 2544N 08804W 9736 00249 0016 +240 +235 350005 006 004 001 00
184400 2543N 08805W 9740 00245 0015 +239 +239 303007 008 005 000 00
184430 2542N 08806W 9731 00253 0015 +230 +230 299010 011 006 001 01
184500 2541N 08808W 9736 00249 0016 +230 +230 311014 015 009 001 01
184530 2540N 08809W 9736 00250 0019 +230 +230 321016 017 012 001 01
184600 2539N 08810W 9734 00254 0021 +230 +230 328017 018 014 002 01
184630 2537N 08811W 9737 00255 0024 +230 +230 328017 018 013 002 01
184700 2536N 08812W 9733 00259 0025 +230 +230 332018 019 015 001 01
184730 2535N 08813W 9735 00259 0027 +230 +230 336019 020 013 001 01
184800 2534N 08815W 9735 00260 0028 +230 +230 339017 018 015 001 01
184830 2533N 08816W 9735 00260 0029 +230 +230 346018 018 011 002 01
$$
;


1001.5 mbs

[OuterBanker]

If you follow the best track cords you will see that it is headed due north where it was headed nne from earlier tracks. Also, was the 18z location from hh location?

[Dave]

1001.5 extrap 1002 mbs on 2nd pass. Watching for sonde or vdm.

[senorpepr]

How many circulations are they going to find? It appears they already found 3, based on the wind barbs...

[Buck]

Just got here to Port St. Joe, Florida for a week of family vacation. Excited at the prospect of being so close to a developing system but really hoping to get some good beach time in. Wish we had more of an idea of what this thing is gonna do.

[Hurricane Andrew]

Dave, can you take over GE images?

[Dave]

Dave, can you take over GE images?

Yes

[Rgv20]

Latest 850mb vorticity maps look like its getting better organize.

[stormandan28]

Is this where the center is?



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[Dave]

[RL3AO]

Is this where the center is?

[/url=http://imageshack.us/photo/my-images/526/huvsc.jpg/][/img]http://img526.imageshack.us/img526/5421/huvsc.jpg[/img][/url]

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Thats where one of them is.

[Hurricane Andrew]

2 maps I made. Comments are appreciated.



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[Dave]

000
URNT15 KNHC 231857
AF302 01AAA INVEST HDOB 20 20120623
184900 2532N 08817W 9732 00264 0029 +230 +230 341017 018 014 004 01
184930 2530N 08818W 9730 00266 0030 +230 +230 332021 023 020 004 01
185000 2529N 08820W 9743 00255 0032 +230 +230 314020 022 023 003 01
185030 2528N 08821W 9733 00265 //// +215 //// 308024 025 023 002 01
185100 2527N 08822W 9736 00264 0034 +230 +230 316024 025 021 002 01
185130 2526N 08823W 9736 00266 0036 +230 +230 314023 024 019 002 01
185200 2525N 08824W 9737 00266 0037 +230 +230 316025 025 015 003 01
185230 2523N 08825W 9733 00271 0039 +230 +230 317022 023 015 002 01
185300 2522N 08826W 9737 00268 0040 +230 +230 312022 023 014 002 01
185330 2521N 08827W 9736 00270 0040 +234 +234 311021 022 015 002 00
185400 2520N 08829W 9737 00270 0041 +220 +220 309022 024 037 012 01
185430 2519N 08830W 9729 00278 //// +209 //// 297022 024 041 014 01
185500 2518N 08831W 9737 00270 0042 +230 +230 298023 024 021 002 01
185530 2517N 08832W 9736 00272 0042 +240 +234 296022 023 018 002 00
185600 2516N 08833W 9735 00273 0042 +240 +231 295022 022 014 003 00
185630 2514N 08834W 9736 00273 0043 +240 +228 295021 022 018 002 00
185700 2513N 08835W 9735 00274 0044 +240 +228 293021 022 015 002 00
185730 2512N 08836W 9736 00275 0046 +240 +228 290019 020 014 002 00
185800 2511N 08837W 9737 00276 0047 +241 +226 289019 019 015 002 00
185830 2510N 08839W 9733 00278 0047 +241 +225 291017 018 014 002 00
$$

[Weatherfreak000]

^^^
Third scenario in play: NGOM.

[HouTXmetro]

Do you all think the NHC will pull the trigger at 5?

[RL3AO]

Do you all think the NHC will pull the trigger at 5?

No. Its not organized enough IMO.

[Hurricane Andrew]

^^^
Third scenario in play: NGOM.

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[Ikester]

Do you all think the NHC will pull the trigger at 5?

More than likely. The NHC at 2pm already gave multiple clues that they were considering it. "Per buoy...Sat. data and preliminary recon data...." That tells me right there they just need confirmation of a closed center. If they find it, it's Debby.