ATL: DEBBY - Post-Tropical

[Tireman4]

[ And I'm sure you are very smart - looks that way to me anyway. [/quote]

Heck no, I just play a meteorologist on TV. I just try to look smart.

[Evil Jeremy]

Ive been watching TWC for the past hour, and Brian Norcross is anything but sold on Texas. Here are some quotes from him from the past hour:

"There is a big question mark on the track"
"Everyone on the gulf coast still has the chance to be affected by Debbie"
"It can go to so many different places in the Gulf of Mexico"
"No one should look at the cone and go, 'oh, it's going to Texas, it's not going to Florida', everyone should be watching it"

Right now they are showing the two scenarios. Scenario #1 is Florida, Scenario #2 is Texas. Not that subtle on what their thoughts are for Debby.

[Jevo]

Welp the 18z GFS is sticking to its guns.. has it being squeezed straight through central FL at +72

[tolakram]

Debbie and friends.



Live visible loop: http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/ge ... mframes=15

[Dave]

000
URNT15 KNHC 232206
AF302 01AAA INVEST HDOB 39 20120623
215900 2641N 08718W 8429 01509 //// +170 //// 119006 007 012 004 01
215930 2639N 08719W 8432 01506 //// +172 //// 122007 007 017 003 01
220000 2638N 08720W 8428 01510 //// +171 //// 102007 008 018 002 01
220030 2636N 08721W 8430 01507 //// +170 //// 107007 008 019 002 01
220100 2635N 08722W 8428 01509 //// +169 //// 104007 009 019 003 01
220130 2633N 08723W 8431 01504 //// +168 //// 091008 010 019 003 01
220200 2632N 08724W 8429 01505 //// +169 //// 085008 010 020 005 01
220230 2631N 08725W 8431 01501 //// +154 //// 070009 012 026 007 01
220300 2629N 08726W 8440 01493 //// +161 //// 088010 012 035 011 05
220330 2628N 08727W 8426 01505 //// +172 //// 080009 009 /// /// 05
220400 2626N 08728W 8430 01502 //// +175 //// 073008 009 /// /// 05
220430 2625N 08729W 8430 01502 //// +175 //// 066008 008 /// /// 05
220500 2623N 08730W 8428 01504 //// +175 //// 063008 009 /// /// 05
220530 2622N 08731W 8430 01502 //// +176 //// 062009 009 /// /// 05
220600 2621N 08732W 8429 01501 //// +176 //// 059007 009 /// /// 05
220630 2619N 08733W 8429 01503 //// +179 //// 059005 006 /// /// 05
220700 2618N 08734W 8429 01503 //// +178 //// 060005 006 /// /// 05
220730 2616N 08735W 8430 01500 //// +180 //// 051004 005 /// /// 05
220800 2615N 08736W 8429 01500 //// +180 //// 033004 004 /// /// 05
220830 2613N 08737W 8429 01501 //// +180 //// 044002 004 /// /// 05
$$
;

[Dave]

000
UZNT13 KNHC 232200
XXAA 73228 99269 70866 08166 99001 26832 32005 00011 26832 32005
92697 24056 25509 85436 20056 28506 88999 77999
31313 09608 82139
61616 AF302 01AAA INVEST OB 13
62626 SPL 2693N08661W 2141 MBL WND 32007 AEV 20802 DLM WND 28007
001843 WL150 32006 084 REL 2693N08661W 213932 SPG 2693N08661W 214
151 =
XXBB 73228 99269 70866 08166 00001 26832 11939 23021 22902 24860
33850 20056 44843 184//
21212 00001 32005 11927 26008 22915 25511 33909 23512 44904 24013
55856 27506 66843 29506
31313 09608 82139
61616 AF302 01AAA INVEST OB 13
62626 SPL 2693N08661W 2141 MBL WND 32007 AEV 20802 DLM WND 28007
001843 WL150 32006 084 REL 2693N08661W 213932 SPG 2693N08661W 214
151 =
;

[crimi481]

We do not know future track yet - but at this time, S.W. and S. Florida folks are catching piece of it.
Bands training over coast - stronger each hour (between Naples & Bradenton)
http://radar.weather.gov/ridge/radar.ph ... x&loop=yes

[Sanibel]

Heavy band into Miami:


http://radar.weather.gov/ridge/radar.ph ... 1&loop=yes

[HouTXmetro]

ULL off TX/LA coast doesn't look like it's budging.

[crimi481]

Heavy band into Miami:


http://radar.weather.gov/ridge/radar.ph ... 1&loop=yes

Oh yeah - looks like strong ones there

[Fyzn94]

Debbie and friends.

http://img204.imageshack.us/img204/6443/zzdebbie.jpg

Live visible loop: http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/ge ... mframes=15

Where's the "and friends" part?

[hurricanefloyd5]

http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid= ... 1&loop=yes

looks like debby's center is moving onto the TAMPA'S radar. Am I wrong. I don't think I am

[Dave]

000
URNT15 KNHC 232216
AF302 01AAA INVEST HDOB 40 20120623
220900 2612N 08738W 8429 01500 //// +182 //// 045002 003 /// /// 05
220930 2611N 08739W 8432 01498 //// +181 //// 352002 003 /// /// 05
221000 2609N 08740W 8429 01498 //// +181 //// 327004 004 /// /// 05
221030 2608N 08741W 8432 01497 //// +182 //// 302003 003 /// /// 05
221100 2606N 08742W 8428 01501 //// +187 //// 262002 003 /// /// 05
221130 2605N 08743W 8429 01498 //// +185 //// 260002 003 /// /// 05
221200 2604N 08744W 8429 01498 //// +185 //// 261004 006 /// /// 05
221230 2602N 08745W 8429 01499 //// +185 //// 273008 009 /// /// 05
221300 2601N 08746W 8429 01500 //// +184 //// 277011 012 /// /// 05
221330 2559N 08747W 8431 01499 //// +183 //// 273014 014 /// /// 05
221400 2558N 08747W 8430 01499 //// +183 //// 271016 017 000 001 05
221430 2557N 08748W 8430 01499 //// +184 //// 271018 019 001 004 05
221500 2555N 08749W 8421 01514 //// +180 //// 270021 022 /// /// 05
221530 2555N 08747W 8429 01503 //// +180 //// 263019 021 /// /// 05
221600 2556N 08746W 8433 01498 //// +184 //// 261017 019 000 003 05
221630 2558N 08745W 8429 01502 //// +180 //// 260014 016 000 002 05
221700 2559N 08744W 8429 01500 //// +179 //// 260011 013 /// /// 05
221730 2601N 08744W 8432 01498 //// +183 //// 256008 009 /// /// 05
221800 2603N 08744W 8429 01501 //// +181 //// 241005 006 /// /// 05
221830 2604N 08745W 8429 01499 //// +178 //// 217002 004 /// /// 05
$$
;

[HouTXmetro]

http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid=TBW&product=N0Z&overlay=11101111&loop=yes

looks like debby's center is moving onto the TAMPA'S radar. Am I wrong. I don't think I am

Likely MLC that far out if it's showing up on radar.

[TexasF6]

The center of Debby is not visible on Tampa's radar. Not even on LR.

[RL3AO]

The two dueling centers.

[tolakram]

ULL off TX/LA coast doesn't look like it's budging.

25 frame live water vapor loop. ULL is slowly retrograding west, southwest while outflow appears to be improving to the north and slowly making westward progress. Slowly.

http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/ge ... mframes=25

Latest WV image:

[ronjon]

A new center? or the east side of the elongated center may be forming near the burst of convection near 26.3N-86W.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floaters/04L/flash-avn-long.html

[hurricanefloyd5]

if thats the mlc then with would that mean

[Hurricane Andrew]

I see the next swirl emerging.
http://www.aviationweather.gov/adds/sat ... &itype=vis
Look NNE of the elongated center.(s)