ATL: DEBBY - Post-Tropical
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Re: ATL: DEBBY - Models
euro out to 60 looks like UKIE ....stalled?
possible SE LA brush next 12 hr frame (hr 72)
possible SE LA brush next 12 hr frame (hr 72)
Last edited by cpdaman on Sun Jun 24, 2012 1:10 am, edited 2 times in total.
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- Jevo
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Re: ATL: DEBBY - Models
0z Euro +72


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0z Euro +96


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Re: ATL: DEBBY - Tropical Storm - Discussion
Not sure if you guys are following the Euro coming out.. but... Big change from 12z.. check model thread
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Disclaimer: 50% of the time I have no clue of what I am talking about. Chances are I am taking a less than educated guess that sounds good because 10 years ago I stole Mike Watkins book 'The Hurricane and its Impact'. For official information please direct yourself to the NHC and their cadre of weather geniuses.
Re: ATL: DEBBY - Models
So now with only 1 model left in texas....
What happens..........
Never seen this happen before..
What happens..........
Never seen this happen before..
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Re:
Jevo wrote:0z Euro +96
Wow! Well that's new. Yikes, I can't imagine what the forecasters at the NHC must be going through right now with all these shifts to the East with the models.
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0z Euro +120 (Inland after NOLA landfall)


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Disclaimer: 50% of the time I have no clue of what I am talking about. Chances are I am taking a less than educated guess that sounds good because 10 years ago I stole Mike Watkins book 'The Hurricane and its Impact'. For official information please direct yourself to the NHC and their cadre of weather geniuses.
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What a turn of events tonight regarding the models.....Sunday we will know if Texas is still in the cards as Debby should slowly drift to the west per the NHC.
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A summary of the models this past run:
GFS: Still in Florida
GFDL: Swung East to Florida Big Bend
CMC: Swung East to Florida Panhandle
UKMET: East from Texas to Louisiana
King EURO: East from Texas to Louisiana
HWRF: Stayed in Texas.
Things have changed big time with this model run.
GFS: Still in Florida
GFDL: Swung East to Florida Big Bend
CMC: Swung East to Florida Panhandle
UKMET: East from Texas to Louisiana
King EURO: East from Texas to Louisiana
HWRF: Stayed in Texas.
Things have changed big time with this model run.
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Re:
Kingarabian wrote:So for the 0z summary, major shifts to the East by most major models and the GFS remaining persistent with it's solution. Interesting to see how the NHC responds.
They never should had thrown out the TVCN/TVCA models, they never fail.
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Re: ATL: DEBBY - Models
probably wont change much till they see another run come out.
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