ATL: DEBBY - Post-Tropical

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tolakram
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Re: ATL: DEBBY - Recon Discussion

#2921 Postby tolakram » Sun Jun 24, 2012 12:57 pm

VDM's going to another entry. This is why I thought the mission was over. :)
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#2922 Postby Jevo » Sun Jun 24, 2012 12:57 pm

12z Euro +24

EDIT: Ahh taking my job.. ok ill go make some lunch.. my F5 key needs a break anyhow
Last edited by Jevo on Sun Jun 24, 2012 12:58 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#2923 Postby Evil Jeremy » Sun Jun 24, 2012 12:58 pm

GFDL 60 hours:

Image
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#2924 Postby Dave » Sun Jun 24, 2012 12:58 pm

000
UZNT13 KNHC 241743
XXAA 74188 99283 70860 08186 99993 26600 17506 00566 ///// /////
92623 23207 18503 85361 20420 05505 88999 77999
31313 09608 81730
61616 AF302 0204A DEBBY OB 24
62626 EYE SPL 2832N08596W 1733 MBL WND 18005 AEV 20802 DLM WND 13
002 992812 WL150 17506 084 REL 2832N08596W 173041 SPG 2832N08596W
173229 =
XXBB 74188 99283 70860 08186 00993 26600 11850 20420 22822 20244
33812 /////
21212 00993 17506 11902 12502 22850 05505 33812 16503
31313 09608 81730
61616 AF302 0204A DEBBY OB 24
62626 EYE SPL 2832N08596W 1733 MBL WND 18005 AEV 20802 DLM WND 13
002 992812 WL150 17506 084 REL 2832N08596W 173041 SPG 2832N08596W
173229 =
;
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Re: ATL: DEBBY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#2925 Postby tolakram » Sun Jun 24, 2012 1:00 pm

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Re: ATL: DEBBY - Recon Discussion

#2926 Postby Dave » Sun Jun 24, 2012 1:00 pm

tolakram wrote:VDM's going to another entry. This is why I thought the mission was over. :)


I see them now, on the original flight track...it looked like they were going home then did a hard left. ;)
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#2927 Postby Evil Jeremy » Sun Jun 24, 2012 1:01 pm

edit by tolakram: added 24H image

Image


EURO 48 hours:

Image

Actually heads SW from 24 hour position... not conceding to Florida just yet...
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#2928 Postby Annie Oakley » Sun Jun 24, 2012 1:03 pm

:uarrow:

You guys are good.....
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#2929 Postby PTrackerLA » Sun Jun 24, 2012 1:03 pm

Looks like it jogs SW at 48 hrs...oh brother.
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#2930 Postby Evil Jeremy » Sun Jun 24, 2012 1:04 pm

GFDL landfall on Florida big bend at around 84 hours:

Image
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#2931 Postby FutureEM » Sun Jun 24, 2012 1:05 pm

Still no convection firing over the center.
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#2932 Postby Annie Oakley » Sun Jun 24, 2012 1:06 pm

000
URNT15 KNHC 241801
AF302 0204A DEBBY3 HDOB 49 20120624
174000 2835N 08619W 8118 01762 //// +165 //// 034025 025 017 001 01
174030 2836N 08620W 8121 01759 //// +165 //// 036025 026 018 001 01
174100 2837N 08622W 8118 01765 //// +165 //// 041026 027 018 002 01
174130 2838N 08623W 8118 01767 //// +168 //// 043026 026 020 003 01
174200 2839N 08624W 8118 01767 //// +170 //// 045027 027 021 002 01
174230 2840N 08626W 8115 01770 //// +169 //// 047028 028 023 002 01
174300 2841N 08627W 8122 01764 //// +165 //// 047031 032 027 003 01
174330 2843N 08628W 8120 01770 //// +161 //// 046032 033 031 003 01
174400 2844N 08630W 8120 01775 //// +163 //// 047031 032 031 003 01
174430 2845N 08631W 8116 01782 //// +158 //// 048033 034 036 004 01
174500 2846N 08632W 8126 01769 //// +161 //// 057032 034 045 005 01
174530 2847N 08634W 8105 01796 //// +164 //// 056036 037 047 003 01
174600 2848N 08635W 8119 01780 //// +153 //// 053040 042 048 003 01
174630 2850N 08637W 8121 01781 //// +149 //// 053039 043 051 005 01
174700 2851N 08638W 8114 01790 //// +143 //// 052039 043 053 005 01
174730 2852N 08639W 8125 01781 //// +140 //// 056037 037 052 008 01
174800 2853N 08641W 8118 01789 //// +146 //// 053036 038 054 006 01
174830 2854N 08642W 8119 01791 //// +133 //// 051044 047 053 008 01
174900 2855N 08643W 8115 01795 //// +131 //// 048053 056 052 008 01
174930 2856N 08645W 8122 01792 //// +128 //// 043059 062 051 009 01
$$
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Re: ATL: DEBBY - Models

#2933 Postby Pearl River » Sun Jun 24, 2012 1:08 pm

I know it's not over til the fat lady sings, but so far, giant kudo's to the GFS. :) Stay safe Florida friends!!
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#2934 Postby psyclone » Sun Jun 24, 2012 1:08 pm

One more big feederband to come through the tampa bay area and then we look to get a break. we need it! way too much rain too fast. i haven't ventured out to check my gage yet but it should be impressive. with Debby moving so slowly, it could reload another boatload of convection tonight and do it all over again tomorrow.
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Re: ATL: DEBBY - Models

#2935 Postby SouthFLTropics » Sun Jun 24, 2012 1:08 pm

It would appear that the Euro is holding serve and still going to show the West or SW motion. I guess if the king is going to go down it is going to go down in flames!!!

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#2936 Postby Annie Oakley » Sun Jun 24, 2012 1:08 pm

000
URNT15 KNHC 241802
AF302 0204A DEBBY3 HDOB 50 20120624
175000 2857N 08646W 8118 01797 //// +128 //// 038060 064 050 008 01
175030 2858N 08647W 8118 01798 //// +128 //// 033052 056 051 007 01
175100 2900N 08649W 8120 01796 //// +142 //// 034049 051 049 007 01
175130 2901N 08650W 8117 01801 //// +142 //// 035050 053 048 009 01
175200 2902N 08651W 8121 01800 //// +146 //// 035055 057 050 006 01
175230 2903N 08652W 8121 01802 //// +145 //// 038058 060 051 006 01
175300 2904N 08654W 8114 01810 //// +145 //// 041062 064 048 005 01
175330 2905N 08655W 8118 01808 //// +142 //// 043063 065 048 005 01
175400 2906N 08656W 8122 01806 //// +136 //// 043068 070 049 006 01
175430 2907N 08657W 8121 01809 //// +140 //// 043067 069 048 006 01
175500 2908N 08659W 8119 01814 //// +142 //// 040072 074 046 006 01
175530 2909N 08700W 8118 01814 //// +147 //// 038075 077 046 004 01
175600 2910N 08701W 8123 01812 //// +149 //// 037077 078 044 004 01
175630 2911N 08702W 8118 01819 //// +150 //// 037075 077 043 005 01
175700 2912N 08704W 8121 01818 //// +150 //// 036076 077 042 006 01
175730 2913N 08705W 8118 01823 //// +149 //// 036077 077 043 006 01
175800 2914N 08706W 8118 01824 //// +150 //// 035075 077 041 006 01
175830 2915N 08707W 8118 01826 //// +150 //// 035074 075 041 007 01
175900 2916N 08708W 8121 01825 //// +144 //// 036073 074 040 008 01
175930 2917N 08710W 8118 01831 //// +146 //// 035072 073 041 008 01
$$
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#2937 Postby Evil Jeremy » Sun Jun 24, 2012 1:11 pm

EURO 72 hours:
Image

Closing in on the Panhandle.
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#2938 Postby FutureEM » Sun Jun 24, 2012 1:12 pm

The Euro still could be right though it seems less likely after the UKMET, and CMC switched but you never know.
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#2939 Postby brunota2003 » Sun Jun 24, 2012 1:13 pm

Almost a whole set of 70+ readings...if there was deep convection there, we'd be looking at much more than just 50 or 55 knot winds on the surface.
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Re: ATL: DEBBY - Models

#2940 Postby ronjon » Sun Jun 24, 2012 1:13 pm

TWC just said euro brings Debby into NW FL.
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