ATL: DEBBY - Post-Tropical

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#3321 Postby artist » Sun Jun 24, 2012 7:45 pm

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
832 PM EDT SUN JUN 24 2012

FLC103-250100-
/O.CON.KTBW.TO.W.0029.000000T0000Z-120625T0100Z/
PINELLAS FL-
832 PM EDT SUN JUN 24 2012

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM EDT FOR SOUTHERN
PINELLAS COUNTY...

AT 815 PM EDT...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS REPORTED POWER TRANSFORMERS
WERE BLOWN OUT ONE MILE NORTH OF DON CESAR HOTEL IN SAINT PETERSBURG
ASSOCIATED WITH THIS STORM.


THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
KENNETH CITY.
PINELLAS PARK.
HIGHPOINT.
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#3322 Postby Annie Oakley » Sun Jun 24, 2012 7:48 pm

000
UZNT13 KNHC 250041
XXAA 75008 99296 70861 08196 99001 23616 04050 00006 23615 /////
92685 20811 06559 85417 17401 06547 88999 77999
31313 09608 80028
61616 AF302 0304A DEBBY OB 07
62626 SPL 2959N08610W 0030 MBL WND 04054 AEV 20802 DLM WND 05552
000843 WL150 04050 084 REL 2961N08606W 002809 SPG 2959N08609W 002
944 =
XXBB 75008 99296 70861 08196 00001 23616 11958 21200 22860 18803
33850 17401 44843 16400
21212 00001 04050 11954 04556 22942 05063 33911 06552 44859 06047
55843 06546
31313 09608 80028
61616 AF302 0304A DEBBY OB 07
62626 SPL 2959N08610W 0030 MBL WND 04054 AEV 20802 DLM WND 05552
000843 WL150 04050 084 REL 2961N08606W 002809 SPG 2959N08609W 002
944 =
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Re: ATL: DEBBY - Models

#3323 Postby lebron23 » Sun Jun 24, 2012 7:49 pm

This storm is just too much...the models can never agree....
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Re: ATL: DEBBY - Models

#3324 Postby JtSmarts » Sun Jun 24, 2012 7:50 pm

lebron23 wrote:This storm is just too much...the models can never agree....


Definitely the most fascinating storm in recent memory based on the model disagreement alone.
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#3325 Postby Annie Oakley » Sun Jun 24, 2012 7:50 pm

000
URNT15 KNHC 250045
AF302 0304A DEBBY HDOB 16 20120625
003830 2937N 08651W 8432 01499 0020 +160 +160 050053 053 035 004 01
003900 2937N 08653W 8427 01504 0024 +160 +160 051052 053 036 004 01
003930 2937N 08655W 8433 01502 //// +154 //// 049051 051 034 005 01
004000 2937N 08658W 8427 01506 //// +155 //// 052051 052 035 004 01
004030 2937N 08700W 8431 01503 //// +155 //// 055050 051 034 003 01
004100 2937N 08702W 8428 01508 0031 +160 +160 056049 050 031 005 01
004130 2937N 08704W 8426 01509 0033 +160 +160 056049 049 031 004 01
004200 2937N 08707W 8434 01503 //// +150 //// 056048 048 038 005 01
004230 2937N 08709W 8430 01509 0039 +150 +150 052050 051 038 005 01
004300 2937N 08711W 8430 01510 0040 +150 +150 051050 051 034 005 01
004330 2937N 08713W 8423 01517 0041 +150 +150 051049 050 034 005 01
004400 2937N 08716W 8430 01509 0043 +150 +150 050051 051 034 005 01
004430 2937N 08718W 8432 01509 0042 +150 +150 052051 053 035 004 01
004500 2937N 08720W 8427 01513 0043 +150 +150 054051 053 034 003 01
004530 2937N 08722W 8430 01511 0045 +150 +150 055051 053 035 004 05
004600 2936N 08724W 8423 01524 0047 +150 +150 055048 051 /// /// 05
004630 2935N 08724W 8434 01505 0045 +150 +150 053049 051 034 004 01
004700 2934N 08723W 8429 01511 0043 +150 +150 051050 051 035 005 01
004730 2932N 08722W 8435 01503 0042 +150 +150 051048 050 035 006 01
004800 2931N 08720W 8425 01515 0039 +150 +150 053047 048 036 005 01
$$
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Re: ATL: DEBBY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#3326 Postby lebron23 » Sun Jun 24, 2012 7:50 pm

Hopefully florida doesnt get too much rain...pensacola recently had near 20 inches from one storm a few weeks back
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#3327 Postby brunota2003 » Sun Jun 24, 2012 7:52 pm

Interesting...dropsonde recorded 50 knot winds at the surface, while SFMR says 42 or 43 knots in that same location...and highest flight level winds (in the 50s) occurred after that.
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Re: ATL: DEBBY - Models

#3328 Postby lebron23 » Sun Jun 24, 2012 7:52 pm

JtSmarts wrote:
lebron23 wrote:This storm is just too much...the models can never agree....


Definitely the most fascinating storm in recent memory based on the model disagreement alone.


Without a doubt.. gotta give the GFS HUGE props though
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#3329 Postby Evil Jeremy » Sun Jun 24, 2012 7:52 pm

Image
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Frances 04 / Jeanne 04 / Katrina 05 / Wilma 05 / Fay 08 / Debby 12 / Andrea 13 / Colin 16 / Hermine 16 / Matthew 16 / Irma 17

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Re: ATL: DEBBY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#3330 Postby crimi481 » Sun Jun 24, 2012 8:00 pm

Yes - Debby has Tropical characteristics - however she's is a Hybrid type/ Sea storm (I think)
I think this will enable the heavy warm front moisture to her S.W to join in and help regenerate whatever the heck she is. Welcome to the "Gulf of B.P." - where strange things happen often

Disclaimer: I know less then before
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#3331 Postby Annie Oakley » Sun Jun 24, 2012 8:02 pm

000
URNT15 KNHC 250055
AF302 0304A DEBBY HDOB 17 20120625
004830 2930N 08719W 8427 01511 0038 +150 +150 051047 048 035 004 01
004900 2929N 08718W 8432 01506 0036 +150 +150 052047 048 035 004 01
004930 2928N 08716W 8423 01512 0035 +150 +150 047047 049 034 004 01
005000 2927N 08715W 8425 01509 0034 +150 +150 046048 050 035 005 01
005030 2926N 08714W 8433 01501 0033 +150 +150 047047 048 033 005 01
005100 2925N 08712W 8433 01502 //// +147 //// 048047 048 034 006 01
005130 2924N 08711W 8429 01504 //// +150 //// 049047 048 031 004 01
005200 2922N 08710W 8429 01502 0028 +160 +160 049047 048 033 003 01
005230 2921N 08709W 8432 01499 0025 +160 +160 048047 047 034 002 01
005300 2920N 08707W 8428 01502 0025 +160 +160 047046 047 034 003 01
005330 2919N 08706W 8432 01496 0024 +160 +160 046050 052 035 003 01
005400 2918N 08705W 8425 01503 //// +147 //// 043050 052 036 006 01
005430 2917N 08703W 8434 01491 //// +143 //// 042048 049 036 007 01
005500 2916N 08702W 8426 01498 //// +150 //// 040053 054 036 008 01
005530 2915N 08701W 8429 01493 0016 +160 +160 038053 054 036 006 01
005600 2913N 08659W 8433 01489 0013 +160 +160 040052 053 036 006 01
005630 2912N 08658W 8426 01492 0008 +160 +160 038050 051 036 004 01
005700 2911N 08657W 8434 01483 0005 +160 +160 038051 052 036 004 01
005730 2910N 08655W 8428 01489 0005 +160 +160 036053 054 036 005 01
005800 2909N 08654W 8430 01482 0002 +160 +160 036050 053 037 004 01
$$
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#3332 Postby Evil Jeremy » Sun Jun 24, 2012 8:02 pm

Image
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Frances 04 / Jeanne 04 / Katrina 05 / Wilma 05 / Fay 08 / Debby 12 / Andrea 13 / Colin 16 / Hermine 16 / Matthew 16 / Irma 17

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#3333 Postby artist » Sun Jun 24, 2012 8:05 pm

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
856 PM EDT SUN JUN 24 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RUSKIN HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
WESTERN HERNANDO COUNTY IN FLORIDA.
NORTHERN PASCO COUNTY IN FLORIDA.

* UNTIL 930 PM EDT

* AT 849 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
TORNADO NEAR SHADY HILLS...OR NEAR SPRING HILL...MOVING NORTH AT 50
MPH.

* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
SPRING HILL...SHADY HILLS.
WEEKI WACHEE...HERNANDO COUNTY AIRPORT.
BROOKRIDGE...GLEN LAKES
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Re: Re:

#3334 Postby Evil Jeremy » Sun Jun 24, 2012 8:08 pm

robbielyn wrote:
Evil Jeremy wrote:
robbielyn wrote:Weather channel says her bp is now up to 991 mb


Yes but it has gone up 1mb from 990 recently per twc

It's actually down to 990 from 993. The pressure dropped.


TWC isn't official. NHC is.
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Frances 04 / Jeanne 04 / Katrina 05 / Wilma 05 / Fay 08 / Debby 12 / Andrea 13 / Colin 16 / Hermine 16 / Matthew 16 / Irma 17

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#3335 Postby Cainer » Sun Jun 24, 2012 8:09 pm

Those high flight-level winds recon found in the NW quadrant last flight have all but disappeared. Really, recon only supports 40-45 knots despite the lower pressure. Makes sense as essentially all the deep convection has disappeared from around Debby's core.
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Re: ATL: DEBBY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#3336 Postby jdray » Sun Jun 24, 2012 8:09 pm

Im not sure there is a part of the state of Florida NOT under a flood watch. Wow. This is a mess.
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#3337 Postby Annie Oakley » Sun Jun 24, 2012 8:10 pm

000
URNT15 KNHC 250105
AF302 0304A DEBBY HDOB 18 20120625
005830 2908N 08653W 8427 01485 0000 +160 +160 036049 050 036 005 01
005900 2906N 08651W 8432 01478 9999 +160 +160 037049 049 036 006 01
005930 2905N 08650W 8429 01480 //// +149 //// 036049 050 037 009 01
010000 2904N 08649W 8430 01478 //// +157 //// 036048 049 038 008 01
010030 2903N 08647W 8432 01474 9993 +170 +170 039047 049 038 006 01
010100 2902N 08646W 8432 01474 //// +147 //// 041051 052 037 004 01
010130 2901N 08645W 8429 01473 //// +149 //// 042052 053 037 004 01
010200 2900N 08643W 8432 01467 9986 +170 +170 043049 051 037 004 01
010230 2858N 08642W 8429 01469 9980 +170 +170 046039 047 038 002 01
010300 2857N 08641W 8430 01466 9974 +180 +180 046034 037 038 001 01
010330 2856N 08639W 8429 01465 9974 +180 +180 047034 035 039 003 01
010400 2855N 08638W 8432 01462 9972 +180 +180 048034 035 040 003 01
010430 2854N 08637W 8429 01463 9970 +180 +180 048032 034 040 002 01
010500 2853N 08635W 8430 01461 9965 +180 +180 046032 033 038 001 01
010530 2852N 08634W 8430 01457 9962 +180 +180 045031 033 037 003 01
010600 2850N 08633W 8430 01459 9960 +183 +182 044031 031 037 002 00
010630 2849N 08631W 8430 01456 9958 +180 +180 043029 030 037 001 01
010700 2848N 08630W 8430 01454 9958 +180 +180 044029 030 036 003 01
010730 2847N 08629W 8430 01454 9957 +180 +180 044029 030 036 004 01
010800 2846N 08627W 8432 01451 9957 +180 +180 043027 029 035 004 01
$$
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#3338 Postby Evil Jeremy » Sun Jun 24, 2012 8:12 pm

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Frances 04 / Jeanne 04 / Katrina 05 / Wilma 05 / Fay 08 / Debby 12 / Andrea 13 / Colin 16 / Hermine 16 / Matthew 16 / Irma 17

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#3339 Postby artist » Sun Jun 24, 2012 8:13 pm

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
907 PM EDT SUN JUN 24 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RUSKIN HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
LEE COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST FLORIDA...
DESOTO COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL FLORIDA...
HARDEE COUNTY IN CENTRAL FLORIDA...
SARASOTA COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL FLORIDA...
MANATEE COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL FLORIDA...
CHARLOTTE COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST FLORIDA...

* UNTIL 945 PM EDT.
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Re: ATL: DEBBY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#3340 Postby johngaltfla » Sun Jun 24, 2012 8:14 pm

Noah wrote:I am really hoping this rain lets up, 3 days straight.. This last band that is coming through just made my lights flicker, never hear my weather band radio go off so much in 24 hours in 8 years. I am not a fan of the wind.. and its too high for me at 40mph gusts.. steady at 30mph..
another light flicker.. please go away Debby.


Yeah, that one was respectable. And after a solid week of rain plus what we had on Friday, I think we have had our quota for the year. :eek: :eek: :eek:
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