ATL: DEBBY - Post-Tropical

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Re: ATL: DEBBY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#3481 Postby bayoubebe » Sun Jun 24, 2012 10:33 pm

crimi481 wrote:Just read this from NHC Update.
Been on screened patio all night - and felt this gust. (2 miles south of Venice line)
Pretty wild night

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES...
325 KM...MAINLY NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER. DURING THE PAST
HOUR...A SUSTAINED WIND OF 43 MPH...69 KM/H...WITH A GUST TO
67 MPH...107 KM/H...WAS REPORTED AT VENICE FLORIDA.



I don't see how people can not be moved by winds and gusts of that amount. I have been in 15mph winds and felt like I had to struggle not to fall. :?: HOw do those reporters report outside during hurricanes?
Good luck to you in Venice. (I thought you were in Venice, Louisiana at first, and thought what the heck??)
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#3482 Postby Dave » Sun Jun 24, 2012 10:34 pm

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Re: ATL: DEBBY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#3483 Postby TTARider » Sun Jun 24, 2012 10:36 pm

I'm in Windermere, Fl (outside Orlando) and the rain has FINALLY slowed to a drizzle.. Looks like a break is here.. but then I look at Satellite and I don't see any convection near the core? is Debby going to fizzle out by morning, or blow up overnight? what the heck is going on?
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Re: ATL: DEBBY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#3484 Postby bamajammer4eva » Sun Jun 24, 2012 10:41 pm

TTARider wrote:I'm in Windermere, Fl (outside Orlando) and the rain has FINALLY slowed to a drizzle.. Looks like a break is here.. but then I look at Satellite and I don't see any convection near the core? is Debby going to fizzle out by morning, or blow up overnight? what the heck is going on?



Here is the discussion on Debbys strength-sounds like all that rain over the Peninsula gets sucked into the storm

DEBBY HAS FINALLY CONSOLIDATED ALL OF THE MULTIPLE SMALL SWIRLS INTO
A WELL-DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. THE GLOBAL MODELS ARE
FORECASTING THE AFOREMENTIONED DEEP DRY SLOT TO GRADUALLY MOISTEN
UP OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS DEEP MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY
CURRENTLY OVER THE FLORIDA PENINSULA ADVECTS WESTWARD INTO THE
INNER CORE.
THE COMBINATION OF THESE TWO FEATURES MAY ALLOW FOR
SOME SLIGHT STRENGTHENING BEFORE DEBBY BEGINS TO INTERACT WITH LAND
OR COLD UPWELLING BENEATH THE CYCLONE OCCURS.
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#3485 Postby CrazyC83 » Sun Jun 24, 2012 10:42 pm

URNT15 KNHC 250335
AF302 0304A DEBBY HDOB 33 20120625
032830 2748N 08622W 8432 01464 9969 +180 +180 312023 023 010 003 01
032900 2747N 08623W 8429 01465 9970 +180 +180 313023 023 014 002 01
032930 2746N 08625W 8429 01467 9971 +180 +180 316023 023 015 002 01
033000 2745N 08626W 8429 01467 9972 +180 +180 316023 024 018 003 01
033030 2743N 08627W 8429 01469 9973 +180 +180 316025 026 020 002 01
033100 2742N 08629W 8430 01467 9978 +180 +180 314027 028 020 003 01
033130 2741N 08630W 8426 01473 9978 +180 +180 311028 029 020 004 01
033200 2740N 08631W 8429 01471 9980 +180 +180 312029 029 022 004 01
033230 2739N 08632W 8430 01471 9981 +170 +170 312029 030 023 004 01
033300 2738N 08634W 8428 01473 9981 +170 +170 316031 032 023 004 01
033330 2737N 08635W 8432 01472 9984 +170 +170 316031 032 025 005 01
033400 2735N 08636W 8431 01474 9988 +170 +170 314033 034 025 005 01
033430 2734N 08638W 8429 01478 9990 +170 +170 316034 035 028 004 01
033500 2733N 08639W 8430 01477 9991 +170 +170 317036 036 030 004 01
033530 2732N 08640W 8430 01480 9996 +170 +170 320037 038 029 004 01
033600 2731N 08642W 8431 01481 //// +160 //// 322039 040 028 005 01
033630 2730N 08643W 8431 01482 //// +160 //// 326044 045 028 004 01
033700 2729N 08644W 8430 01484 0002 +170 +170 324046 047 028 004 01
033730 2727N 08645W 8429 01486 0004 +160 +160 325046 046 026 004 01
033800 2726N 08647W 8430 01486 0007 +160 +160 323042 045 024 004 01
$$
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Re: ATL: DEBBY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#3486 Postby ROCK » Sun Jun 24, 2012 10:44 pm

I wouldnt be surprised to see a naked swirl come first light....JMO.... dry airis doing a number it seems.... :D

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floater ... -long.html
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#3487 Postby Dave » Sun Jun 24, 2012 10:46 pm

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#3488 Postby Dave » Sun Jun 24, 2012 10:47 pm

000
URNT12 KNHC 250328
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE AL042012
A. 25/03:11:20Z
B. 28 deg 26 min N
085 deg 41 min W
C. 850 mb 1366 m
D. 32 kt
E. 052 deg 104 nm
F. 153 deg 43 kt
G. 053 deg 86 nm
H. 993 mb
I. 17 C / 1524 m
J. 19 C / 1521 m
K. 18 C / NA
L. NA
M. NA
N. 1345 / 08
O. 0.02 / 5 nm
P. AF302 0304A DEBBY OB 15
MAX FL WIND 61 KT E QUAD 02:17:30Z
MAX FL TEMP 19 C 039 / 12 NM FROM FL CNTR
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Re: ATL: DEBBY - Models

#3489 Postby cycloneye » Sun Jun 24, 2012 10:48 pm

00z GFS

Initial

Image

24 hours

Image

48 hours

Image

66 hours

Image
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#3490 Postby psyclone » Sun Jun 24, 2012 10:48 pm

I hope Debby moves along. we've had enough. spotter reports around me come in with 10 to 13"+ around here. it's pouring again now but the non stop rain has relented and it's become showery. I've seen flooding today that far exceeds anything previously. lots of flooded out cars. what a mess. the frogs are very happy though.
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#3491 Postby Aric Dunn » Sun Jun 24, 2012 10:50 pm

Still appears at slow drift ene to ne according recon.
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Re: ATL: DEBBY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#3492 Postby SEASON_CANCELED » Sun Jun 24, 2012 10:50 pm

Im seeing some very serouis reports and pictures on Facebook regarding flooding. Its bad..bad..bad in Hernando/Pasco area. And it aint over. Think this one will be one for the record books given the rain.
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#3493 Postby bayoubebe » Sun Jun 24, 2012 10:50 pm

Any chance that Debby will keep tracking East at a quicker pace, be over land, and be done?

It's so hard to believe that it could last so long, as it is pouring massive amounts of rain in Florida.
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Re: ATL: DEBBY - Models

#3494 Postby chris_fit » Sun Jun 24, 2012 10:51 pm

cycloneye wrote:00z GFS

Initial

Image

24 hours

Image

48 hours

Image

66 hours

Image



Cant see the pics - says no hotlinking
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#3495 Postby CrazyC83 » Sun Jun 24, 2012 10:51 pm

URNT15 KNHC 250345
AF302 0304A DEBBY HDOB 34 20120625
033830 2725N 08648W 8429 01490 0008 +170 +170 324040 041 028 003 01
033900 2724N 08649W 8430 01492 0011 +160 +160 322040 041 026 004 01
033930 2723N 08651W 8429 01494 0013 +170 +170 322040 040 023 004 01
034000 2722N 08652W 8430 01495 0015 +170 +170 324038 040 025 004 01
034030 2720N 08653W 8429 01499 0016 +160 +160 326039 039 027 003 01
034100 2719N 08655W 8430 01498 0019 +160 +160 325039 039 027 003 01
034130 2718N 08656W 8427 01503 0021 +160 +160 325039 041 025 005 01
034200 2717N 08657W 8431 01501 0023 +160 +160 325037 037 027 003 01
034230 2716N 08659W 8430 01502 0022 +160 +160 325037 038 025 004 01
034300 2715N 08700W 8431 01502 0025 +160 +160 325038 038 023 004 01
034330 2713N 08701W 8432 01501 0025 +160 +160 322038 039 023 004 01
034400 2712N 08703W 8431 01503 0026 +160 +160 323038 039 026 006 01
034430 2711N 08704W 8429 01508 //// +156 //// 323040 040 027 006 01
034500 2710N 08705W 8430 01506 0028 +160 +160 321037 039 025 003 01
034530 2709N 08706W 8429 01510 0031 +160 +160 322037 037 025 003 01
034600 2708N 08708W 8431 01507 0032 +160 +160 322036 037 026 004 01
034630 2706N 08709W 8426 01518 0037 +160 +160 319035 036 021 004 05
034700 2705N 08708W 8430 01515 0038 +160 +160 313033 035 /// /// 05
034730 2705N 08706W 8438 01501 0034 +160 +160 313033 034 025 004 01
034800 2705N 08704W 8427 01511 0032 +160 +160 314034 034 028 003 01
$$
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#3496 Postby brunota2003 » Sun Jun 24, 2012 10:51 pm

Someone is busted :lol:
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Re: ATL: DEBBY - Models

#3497 Postby cycloneye » Sun Jun 24, 2012 10:52 pm

chris_fit,here is the link to that site.

http://instantweathermaps.com/GFS-php/s ... L&hour=072
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Re: ATL: DEBBY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#3498 Postby crimi481 » Sun Jun 24, 2012 10:53 pm

Debby soaked too much Dispersment fumes ? - needs water
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Re:

#3499 Postby SEASON_CANCELED » Sun Jun 24, 2012 10:53 pm

Evil Jeremy wrote:HWRF 42 hours:

Image



The graphics remind me of an Atari game :lol:
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Re: ATL: DEBBY - Models

#3500 Postby cycloneye » Sun Jun 24, 2012 10:54 pm

In 72 hours the center is over Orlando/Cape Canaveral.

Image
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