ATL: DEBBY - Post-Tropical

[WeatherGuesser]

I thought Florida can think of Debby's rains as beneficial?

Rain can be beneficial, unless you're talking about 20 or 30 inches of it in a few days.

[SouthFLTropics]

Just my opinion but I don't think we've seen the last of what Debby has to offer yet. The circulation is definitely vigorous and looks to maybe be moistening up on the western side. If the convection back towards the Yucatan can maintain and work its way towards the circulation she may get a second wind.

SFT

[Riptide]

At least when Debby does develop a convective pattern, she will not be lopsided anymore.

[TheBurn]

15:15 UTC JSL...

[SouthFloridawx]

Low level cloud coverage has definitely increased this morning. Maybe we'll see some storms refiring.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floaters/04L/flash-rgb-long.html

[cfltrib]

Just a novice here, but could the cloud mass that broke away from Debby form it's own LLC and pull the rest of Debby apart?

[Hurricane Andrew]

000
URNT15 KNHC 251553
AF309 0404A DEBBY HDOB 32 20120625
154600 2902N 08525W 8457 01427 9949 +196 +185 027005 006 020 000 00
154630 2901N 08527W 8459 01424 9951 +195 +180 013005 006 021 001 00
154700 2901N 08529W 8463 01422 9949 +200 +176 018008 010 023 001 00
154730 2901N 08531W 8461 01426 9952 +198 +181 033009 009 025 001 00
154800 2901N 08533W 8461 01424 9953 +195 +182 029009 009 025 001 00
154830 2901N 08534W 8462 01426 9954 +194 +184 024009 010 027 000 00
154900 2901N 08536W 8461 01427 9956 +192 +186 025010 010 028 001 00
154930 2901N 08538W 8461 01426 9957 +191 +185 015010 010 030 000 00
155000 2901N 08540W 8461 01428 9961 +187 +180 004012 014 030 000 00
155030 2901N 08542W 8459 01428 9962 +185 +184 359015 015 031 000 00
155100 2901N 08543W 8461 01429 9964 +183 +183 360016 016 031 001 00
155130 2901N 08545W 8457 01437 9968 +180 //// 356017 018 032 000 01
155200 2901N 08547W 8459 01429 9966 +182 //// 359019 019 031 003 05
155230 2901N 08549W 8469 01423 9968 +180 //// 004019 019 031 000 01
155300 2901N 08551W 8461 01432 9969 +180 //// 004019 020 032 000 01
155330 2901N 08553W 8460 01433 9970 +180 //// 004020 020 033 001 01
155400 2901N 08555W 8462 01433 9973 +180 //// 005021 023 032 000 05
155430 2901N 08557W 8459 01437 9972 +180 //// 003023 023 030 001 01
155500 2900N 08558W 8461 01437 9974 +180 //// 002024 025 032 000 05
155530 2900N 08600W 8463 01437 9977 +180 //// 006025 026 032 003 01
$$
;

[tallywx]

Folks, please remember that parts of North Florida (like the hills north of Tallahassee) are still undergoing extreme drought. They were 30 inches below normal in rainfall last year and, despite all the surrounding rain over the past month or so, didn't get in on the action and are below normal by 6 or 7 inches already this year.



So far, Debby has only given that area a little over 2 inches of rain. So this thing needs to sit exactly where it is for a lot longer to help recoup that spot.

[Hurricane Andrew]

000
URNT15 KNHC 251603
AF309 0404A DEBBY HDOB 33 20120625
155600 2900N 08602W 8461 01439 9976 +180 //// 008025 026 033 000 01
155630 2900N 08604W 8463 01438 9978 +178 //// 012026 027 033 000 01
155700 2900N 08606W 8460 01440 9978 +179 //// 014026 026 033 002 01
155730 2900N 08608W 8462 01439 9979 +176 //// 009027 028 032 002 01
155800 2900N 08610W 8462 01440 9979 +178 //// 008027 028 033 001 01
155830 2900N 08612W 8462 01440 9979 +180 //// 008026 027 032 001 01
155900 2900N 08614W 8461 01442 9981 +180 //// 008026 027 033 001 01
155930 2900N 08616W 8461 01443 9983 +180 //// 009026 026 034 001 01
160000 2900N 08618W 8461 01444 9984 +180 //// 009027 027 033 001 01
160030 2900N 08619W 8461 01445 9985 +180 //// 011029 030 032 001 01
160100 2900N 08621W 8462 01446 9987 +176 //// 014031 031 033 001 01
160130 2900N 08623W 8461 01449 9990 +175 //// 014032 034 032 001 01
160200 2900N 08625W 8461 01449 9991 +175 //// 019036 037 031 001 01
160230 2859N 08627W 8462 01446 9991 +175 //// 021038 038 029 001 01
160300 2859N 08629W 8461 01449 9992 +175 //// 025039 039 029 002 01
160330 2859N 08631W 8462 01449 9992 +175 //// 025038 039 029 002 01
160400 2859N 08633W 8461 01450 9994 +174 //// 025039 039 029 001 01
160430 2859N 08635W 8462 01450 //// +171 //// 025039 039 030 002 01
160500 2859N 08637W 8462 01451 9993 +179 //// 024039 039 031 001 01
160530 2859N 08639W 8461 01454 9997 +175 //// 025042 043 032 002 01
$$

[StormTracker]

Just my opinion but I don't think we've seen the last of what Debby has to offer yet. The circulation is definitely vigorous and looks to maybe be moistening up on the western side. If the convection back towards the Yucatan can maintain and work its way towards the circulation she may get a second wind.

SFT

My thinking too. I just have that feeling since early this am when everyone else started writing her off. Nothing to do with factual weather stuff! Call us crazy!

[Stormcenter]

I guess you could also say the chance is still out there that Debby moves westward eventually. IMO

Just my opinion but I don't think we've seen the last of what Debby has to offer yet. The circulation is definitely vigorous and looks to maybe be moistening up on the western side. If the convection back towards the Yucatan can maintain and work its way towards the circulation she may get a second wind.

SFT

My thinking too. I just have that feeling since early this am when everyone else started writing her off. Nothing to do with factual weather stuff! Call us crazy!

[StormTracker]

Folks, please remember that parts of North Florida (like the hills north of Tallahassee) are still undergoing extreme drought. They were 30 inches below normal in rainfall last year and, despite all the surrounding rain over the past month or so, didn't get in on the action and are below normal by 6 or 7 inches already this year.



So far, Debby has only given that area a little over 2 inches of rain. So this thing needs to sit exactly where it is for a lot longer to help recoup that spot.

Though your statement may be true, that doesn't help those who are flooding-out already!

[Jevo]

Off topic humor.. but saw this and thought of all of our friends in West Florida... Hope this adds a smile to your otherwise miserable day

[StormTracker]

I guess you could also say the chance is still out there that Debby moves westward eventually. IMO

Just my opinion but I don't think we've seen the last of what Debby has to offer yet. The circulation is definitely vigorous and looks to maybe be moistening up on the western side. If the convection back towards the Yucatan can maintain and work its way towards the circulation she may get a second wind.

SFT

My thinking too. I just have that feeling since early this am when everyone else started writing her off. Nothing to do with factual weather stuff! Call us crazy!

That, no, but there's a 50/50 chance! It's happened before where Bones showed up prematurely!

[Hurricane Andrew]

000
URNT15 KNHC 251613
AF309 0404A DEBBY HDOB 34 20120625
160600 2859N 08641W 8462 01454 9999 +175 //// 024045 046 031 001 01
160630 2859N 08643W 8462 01455 9999 +175 //// 025045 046 031 001 01
160700 2859N 08645W 8463 01454 0002 +171 //// 026044 044 030 002 01
160730 2859N 08647W 8462 01456 0003 +170 //// 024042 043 031 001 01
160800 2859N 08649W 8462 01457 0005 +170 //// 024042 042 030 001 01
160830 2859N 08652W 8459 01460 0007 +170 //// 024042 043 031 000 01
160900 2858N 08654W 8462 01461 0010 +170 //// 023041 041 030 000 05
160930 2858N 08656W 8462 01462 0008 +174 //// 023041 041 029 002 01
161000 2858N 08658W 8462 01462 0011 +171 //// 022041 042 029 000 01
161030 2858N 08659W 8461 01463 0012 +167 //// 022041 041 029 001 01
161100 2858N 08702W 8462 01463 0014 +167 //// 021040 041 030 001 01
161130 2858N 08703W 8461 01466 0017 +164 //// 020039 040 030 001 01
161200 2858N 08705W 8462 01465 0015 +168 +163 020040 041 030 001 00
161230 2858N 08707W 8462 01466 0016 +168 +164 019041 041 030 001 00
161300 2858N 08709W 8459 01468 0015 +170 +165 020041 041 030 000 03
161330 2858N 08711W 8461 01470 0017 +170 +165 021040 041 030 000 00
161400 2858N 08713W 8462 01466 0019 +166 //// 022040 041 029 001 05
161430 2857N 08715W 8454 01476 0018 +168 +167 018040 041 /// /// 03
161500 2855N 08715W 8457 01473 0019 +166 //// 013038 039 030 001 05
161530 2853N 08714W 8461 01466 0019 +164 //// 012037 038 031 001 01
$$
;

[crimi481]

Got a feeling that Debby has potential to get really strong - in Gulf
She has finally rid of the "other" lows -and is on her own now
Key for this is if she sinks south a bit - over warmer water. Keeping eye open here
Storms seem to go south - if that direction no mentioned?

Disclaimer: An unofficial guess here

http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/data/geo/index ... thod=flash

[cycloneye]

Surprised the 12z GFS has not been posted. For 120 hours,it crawls from the NE GOM to just off coast and in this 162 hour graphic,here it is.



174 hours

[SeminoleWind]

there is alot of dry air getting into her, IMO she will have a very hard time firing some deeper convection near the center today, if at all.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floater ... -long.html

[tallywx]

At least the 11am starts to take it somewhere before the July 4th holiday. And (hopefully) harmlessly out to sea. At least none of the models are taking it up the coast anymore. If I'm correct didn't some models take it off Carolinas arout the 4th?

I'm starting to think she will be around till Labor Day at this point

Both the GFS and Euro take Debby off the coast in varying distances, with the euro being the closest and strongest. We will see if they continue doing this. Thinking huge wave action right now, no direct effects.

Not anymore. 12z GFS has it hanging around the Big Bend coast through Friday.

[Hurricane Andrew]

Could someone else take over?