ATL: DEBBY - Post-Tropical

[robbielyn]

Looking at visible, it sure looks like Debbie is getting the convection to wrap around. Winds have really picked up here west central fl north of tampa.

[northjaxpro]

Pressure has dropped 3 mb in the past 3 hours with Debby, now at 991 mb. She's really fighting out there maintaining and holding her own.

[JonathanBelles]

Three Bay Area bridges are now at least partially closed. The Gandy is fully open, Howard Franklin partially open, Courtney Campbell has just closed, and the Skyway will remain closed through at least tomorrow afternoon.

[stormhunter7]

it may be my eyes, but i think debby is drifting back to the SW... slowly

[stormhunter7]

how did 00z get 991mb and recon found 993mb a little bit ago?

[weatherSnoop]

Uploaded with ImageShack.us

Off shore of Sarasota, Bradenton, Anna Maria Island

[CrazyC83]

URNT15 KNHC 260028
AF309 0504A DEBBY HDOB 13 20120626
002100 2741N 08350W 8462 01462 //// +167 //// 196040 041 031 004 01
002130 2740N 08349W 8455 01469 //// +170 //// 199039 040 036 004 01
002200 2739N 08349W 8466 01457 0006 +165 //// 203042 043 039 003 01
002230 2738N 08348W 8461 01463 //// +163 //// 207048 049 038 004 01
002300 2737N 08347W 8461 01461 //// +163 //// 207047 048 034 004 01
002330 2735N 08346W 8463 01463 0012 +169 //// 208046 046 033 003 01
002400 2734N 08345W 8461 01467 0015 +167 //// 210044 045 032 001 01
002430 2733N 08344W 8461 01465 0015 +168 //// 208043 044 032 001 01
002500 2732N 08343W 8463 01464 0014 +170 //// 206041 042 034 003 01
002530 2731N 08342W 8469 01459 0012 +173 //// 202040 041 036 003 01
002600 2730N 08341W 8460 01470 0010 +177 //// 206040 041 035 003 01
002630 2728N 08340W 8459 01469 0009 +180 //// 207043 046 036 001 01
002700 2727N 08339W 8465 01461 0010 +174 //// 210049 050 036 002 01
002730 2726N 08338W 8460 01468 //// +162 //// 212053 054 036 004 01
002800 2725N 08337W 8462 01468 //// +163 //// 218052 053 038 004 01
002830 2724N 08336W 8470 01459 //// +169 //// 221052 054 041 004 01
002900 2722N 08335W 8458 01475 0022 +169 //// 223051 052 041 002 01
002930 2721N 08334W 8464 01470 0024 +167 //// 221052 052 038 002 01
003000 2720N 08333W 8463 01472 0026 +165 //// 218051 051 038 001 01
003030 2719N 08332W 8459 01476 0026 +165 //// 220050 051 038 002 01
$$

URNT15 KNHC 260038
AF309 0504A DEBBY HDOB 14 20120626
003100 2718N 08331W 8459 01477 0027 +167 //// 218048 049 036 001 01
003130 2716N 08330W 8460 01479 0025 +174 +173 220050 051 038 003 00
003200 2715N 08329W 8463 01479 0029 +168 //// 216049 050 036 003 01
003230 2714N 08328W 8459 01483 0031 +165 //// 213051 051 035 002 01
003300 2713N 08327W 8464 01475 0032 +166 //// 212053 054 035 001 01
003330 2712N 08326W 8462 01480 0037 +156 //// 213053 054 037 003 01
003400 2710N 08325W 8462 01480 //// +156 //// 214053 054 039 003 01
003430 2709N 08325W 8462 01483 0037 +164 //// 216054 054 037 003 01
003500 2708N 08324W 8461 01485 0039 +165 //// 216054 054 035 003 01
003530 2707N 08323W 8461 01486 0039 +165 //// 218053 053 035 003 01
003600 2706N 08322W 8462 01486 0041 +163 //// 218050 051 033 002 01
003630 2704N 08321W 8463 01486 0040 +166 +159 211047 047 033 000 00
003700 2703N 08320W 8461 01486 0039 +169 +161 208047 047 031 003 00
003730 2702N 08319W 8461 01486 0039 +170 +159 209046 047 034 001 00
003800 2701N 08318W 8465 01484 0040 +168 +160 209045 046 035 002 00
003830 2700N 08317W 8459 01491 0041 +167 +158 209045 045 035 002 00
003900 2658N 08316W 8462 01487 0040 +174 +149 208045 045 035 000 00
003930 2657N 08315W 8462 01488 0043 +169 +154 207043 044 034 001 00
004000 2656N 08314W 8459 01493 0044 +170 +154 207042 043 034 000 00
004030 2655N 08313W 8462 01491 0044 +170 +151 208041 042 033 000 00
$$
;

[vaffie]

GFDL also westbound, joining NOGAPS and some of the GFS ensembles. CMC and HWRF now kill it over western Florida, otherwise, they are also heading westbound at the second half of their forecasts. Big model shifts may be present for the 0z models.

My amateur thoughts.

[TampaFl]

8PM position - map courtesy BoatUS.com

[CrazyC83]

URNT12 KNHC 260011
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE AL042012
A. 25/23:44:20Z
B. 29 deg 06 min N
085 deg 11 min W
C. 850 mb 1364 m
D. 42 kt
E. 292 deg 18 nm
F. 033 deg 59 kt
G. 288 deg 33 nm
H. 993 mb
I. 16 C / 1495 m
J. 20 C / 1494 m
K. 17 C / NA
L. NA
M. NA
N. 1345 / 8
O. 0.02 / 10 nm
P. AF309 0504A DEBBY OB 02
MAX FL WIND 59 KT W QUAD 23:33:20Z
;

[vaffie]

how did 00z get 991mb and recon found 993mb a little bit ago?

Recon missed the center (it was still windy at the lowest pressure), hence they extrapolated.

[stormhunter7]

still a decent TS..

Mission Number: 5
Observation Number: 02
A. Time of Center Fix: 25th day of the month at 23:44:20Z
B. Center Fix Coordinates: 29°06'N 85°11'W (29.1N 85.1833W)
B. Center Fix Location: 80 miles (128 km) to the SSE (159°) from Panama City, FL, USA.
C. Minimum Height at Standard Level: 1,364m (4,475ft) at 850mb
D. Estimated (by SFMR or visually) Maximum Surface Wind: 42kts (~ 48.3mph)
E. Location of the Estimated Maximum Surface Wind: 18 nautical miles (21 statute miles) to the WNW (292°) of center fix

[crimi481]

From earlier today - I posted comment that "South" was only direction not mentioned in any Model /NHC discussions. No steering can sometimes lead to south move - and warmer waters
This storm wants no ropes -no rules.. it seams

Disclaimer: Not official statemets - based on Sat pic observations only

[CrazyC83]

URNT15 KNHC 260048
AF309 0504A DEBBY HDOB 15 20120626
004100 2654N 08312W 8462 01491 0043 +170 +158 209042 042 034 001 00
004130 2652N 08311W 8462 01491 0046 +170 +160 212041 042 034 002 00
004200 2651N 08310W 8460 01495 0046 +169 +165 213040 041 033 001 00
004230 2650N 08309W 8462 01491 0046 +168 //// 210040 040 030 001 01
004300 2649N 08308W 8460 01496 0047 +167 //// 210040 041 030 001 01
004330 2648N 08307W 8461 01493 0048 +166 //// 210040 041 031 001 01
004400 2646N 08306W 8462 01495 0048 +167 //// 210040 041 032 002 01
004430 2645N 08305W 8463 01494 0047 +168 //// 211040 041 032 001 01
004500 2644N 08304W 8460 01495 0049 +165 //// 215039 040 031 002 01
004530 2643N 08303W 8458 01498 0055 +160 //// 224037 037 032 001 01
004600 2641N 08302W 8463 01495 0057 +160 //// 227038 038 033 001 01
004630 2640N 08301W 8461 01497 0057 +160 //// 227039 039 033 002 01
004700 2639N 08300W 8462 01497 0058 +160 //// 229039 040 034 002 01
004730 2638N 08259W 8461 01497 0058 +160 //// 228040 040 034 002 01
004800 2636N 08258W 8459 01499 0059 +160 //// 230041 041 032 002 01
004830 2635N 08257W 8461 01498 0060 +160 //// 230040 041 032 000 01
004900 2634N 08256W 8463 01500 0061 +160 //// 230041 042 034 000 01
004930 2632N 08255W 8460 01501 0061 +159 //// 230041 041 036 002 01
005000 2631N 08254W 8461 01503 0063 +157 //// 228041 042 037 000 01
005030 2630N 08253W 8461 01502 0063 +160 //// 225043 044 036 000 01
$$
;

[weatherSnoop]

Uploaded with ImageShack.us
Down to Venice, Port Charlotte area...seeking out the band to the west

[robbielyn]

it may be my eyes, but i think debby is drifting back to the SW... slowly

It is ur eyes lol. Visible showing a wrapping of the center getting smaller and tighter. I think she will eventually head east.

Not a met.

[Cookiely]

http://news.brevardtimes.com/2012/06/no ... it_24.html
First I had heard that Debby would become a hurricane.

[weatherSnoop]

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[Dean4Storms]

Well if the pressure went down to 991mb then this C-Man Tower south of Appalachicola is indicating that Debby has evidently moved westward because it had a decent rise in pressure in the last hour........

http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=SGOF1

[crimi481]

Strange looking pieces energy coming in on shore - Englewood/Venice coast
Very strong gusts - 60+ MPH (guessing) Sustained getting higher as well. (power just off - on again)
Banding shows up here -and is that a "Tail" forming N. of Yucatan?

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/gmex/flash-ir2.html