ATL: DEBBY - Post-Tropical

[Evil Jeremy]

well of course not... but how am I making worse. ?

never mind lol, failed joke.

[Dave]

[Aric Dunn]

well of course not... but how am I making worse. ?

never mind lol, failed joke.

well alrighty then ! lol

[Hurricaneman]

well of course not... but how am I making worse. ?

You're not making anything worse, the GFS would be flooding we haven't seen before and I can see this as a possibility if it starts to get picked up but the ridge sends it west back to the gulf, what a mess

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products

[AdamFirst]

I think the term for Debby's movement is "Quasi-Stationary"

[Dave]

000
URNT12 KNHC 260409 CCA
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE AL042012
A. 26/03:50:50Z
B. 28 deg 53 min N
084 deg 52 min W
C. 850 mb 1358 m
D. 23 kt
E. 200 deg 12 nm
F. 260 deg 29 kt
G. 187 deg 53 nm
H. 992 mb
I. 17 C / 1495 m
J. 20 C / 1494 m
K. 17 C / NA
L. NA
M. NA
N. 1345 / 8
O. 0.02 / 3 nm
P. AF309 0504A DEBBY OB 10 CCA
MAX FL WIND 59 KT W QUAD 23:33:20Z
MAX OUTBOUND FL WIND 32 KT N QUAD 04:03:20Z

[bayoubebe]

[It may be doing a mini loop.

well, you would think so but thats not the direction a cyclonic loop normally takes in the northern hemisphere. should be doing a counter clockwise loop not a clockwise one..[/quote]

Yes, but nothing seems normal with Debby.

[Dave]

000
URNT15 KNHC 260418
AF309 0504A DEBBY HDOB 36 20120626
041100 2942N 08528W 8025 01896 9998 +132 //// 041066 068 030 009 01
041130 2943N 08530W 8022 01899 9988 +147 +141 044070 070 030 008 00
041200 2943N 08532W 8025 01897 0000 +133 //// 048073 075 030 009 01
041230 2944N 08534W 8031 01890 0008 +123 //// 048072 077 031 010 01
041300 2944N 08537W 8022 01903 0000 +137 //// 050069 069 030 007 01
041330 2945N 08539W 8028 01900 0006 +134 //// 050064 067 030 003 01
041400 2945N 08541W 8023 01909 0011 +130 //// 050062 062 031 004 01
041430 2945N 08543W 8023 01905 0013 +129 //// 049060 062 031 004 01
041500 2946N 08545W 8031 01902 0017 +129 //// 047055 057 032 003 01
041530 2946N 08547W 8021 01917 0015 +135 //// 040057 057 030 001 01
041600 2947N 08549W 8026 01916 //// +130 //// 042052 052 027 002 01
041630 2947N 08552W 8025 01918 0016 +142 //// 044054 056 025 001 01
041700 2948N 08554W 8033 01912 0021 +142 //// 044051 053 023 001 01
041730 2948N 08556W 8024 01924 0020 +147 +132 041055 056 024 001 00
041800 2949N 08559W 8029 01920 0021 +150 +128 042056 057 023 000 00
041830 2949N 08601W 8024 01930 0022 +150 +129 044055 056 024 001 00
041900 2950N 08603W 8028 01925 0027 +147 +126 045054 055 024 001 00
041930 2950N 08606W 8027 01926 0028 +146 +126 047052 053 022 001 00
042000 2951N 08608W 8026 01932 0028 +147 +125 048050 051 021 001 00
042030 2951N 08611W 8029 01926 0030 +145 +125 049047 048 022 001 00
$$
;

[cycloneye]

Here is the next one that will depart at 6:45 AM EDT or 5:45 AM CDT.

26/1200,1800Z
B. AFXXX 0604A DEBBY
C. 26/1045Z
D. 28.7N 87.0W
E. 26/1115Z TO 26/1800Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT

[CrazyC83]

Not sure? But at the non-operational level (about 7,000 feet), the winds are as high as 77 knots at flight level! The SFMR is much lower though, suggesting near the coast there are very high winds aloft.

[Dave]

000
UZNT13 KNHC 260411
XXAA 76048 99289 70849 08184 99992 25003 31006 00570 ///// /////
92616 22204 35506 85352 ///// 19503 88999 77999
31313 09608 80350
61616 AF309 0504A DEBBY OB 11
62626 EYE SPL 2889N08486W 0353 MBL WND 33505 AEV 20802 DLM WND 33
004 992846 WL150 32006 084 REL 2889N08486W 035056 SPG 2889N08486W
035205 =
XXBB 76048 99289 70849 08184 00992 25003 11900 21205 22865 21034
21212 00992 31006 11858 25503 22846 18005
31313 09608 80350
61616 AF309 0504A DEBBY OB 11
62626 EYE SPL 2889N08486W 0353 MBL WND 33505 AEV 20802 DLM WND 33
004 992846 WL150 32006 084 REL 2889N08486W 035056 SPG 2889N08486W
035205 =
;

[Dave]

000
URNT15 KNHC 260428
AF309 0504A DEBBY HDOB 37 20120626
042100 2952N 08613W 8028 01929 0033 +141 +138 053046 047 023 001 00
042130 2952N 08615W 8031 01927 0037 +139 //// 050045 046 022 001 01
042200 2953N 08618W 8023 01936 0033 +143 //// 048046 047 022 001 01
042230 2953N 08620W 8031 01926 0032 +145 +140 046045 045 014 002 00
042300 2954N 08623W 8035 01926 0033 +145 +142 043042 044 013 001 00
042330 2954N 08625W 8029 01933 0035 +145 +136 040042 043 014 001 00
042400 2955N 08627W 8039 01919 0037 +145 +133 035042 043 014 001 00
042430 2955N 08630W 8020 01944 0038 +143 +133 035043 045 015 001 00
042500 2956N 08632W 8043 01918 0039 +147 +131 034045 046 015 001 00
042530 2956N 08635W 8032 01933 0036 +152 +126 034046 047 014 001 00
042600 2957N 08637W 8036 01929 0034 +158 +119 034047 047 015 000 00
042630 2957N 08640W 8035 01932 0035 +155 +120 031048 048 008 002 00
042700 2958N 08642W 8026 01941 0038 +155 +118 025049 049 005 000 00
042730 2959N 08645W 8035 01934 0042 +150 +124 023048 049 003 000 00
042800 2959N 08647W 8032 01938 0045 +148 +124 025049 049 004 001 00
042830 3000N 08650W 8035 01935 0045 +151 +125 026047 048 004 001 00
042900 3000N 08652W 8034 01937 0045 +154 +125 026047 048 003 000 00
042930 3001N 08655W 8032 01944 0049 +151 +121 027047 047 001 002 03
043000 3001N 08658W 8035 01939 0050 +151 +120 030048 049 000 001 03
043030 3002N 08700W 8033 01940 0049 +158 +083 029049 050 000 000 00
$$
;

[Dave]

[Dave]

000
URNT15 KNHC 260438
AF309 0504A DEBBY HDOB 38 20120626
043100 3002N 08703W 8035 01942 0052 +155 +083 028049 050 000 003 03
043130 3003N 08705W 8031 01947 0057 +150 +081 028051 051 000 000 03
043200 3003N 08708W 8035 01942 0058 +147 +103 029049 050 000 001 03
043230 3004N 08711W 8035 01944 0060 +145 +111 031049 049 000 000 03
043300 3004N 08713W 8031 01948 0059 +152 +081 033047 048 000 001 00
043330 3005N 08716W 8036 01946 0057 +160 +051 031046 046 000 003 03
043400 3005N 08718W 8033 01951 0061 +151 +088 028045 045 000 001 03
043430 3006N 08721W 8033 01951 0062 +150 +100 026045 045 000 003 03
043500 3006N 08724W 8038 01947 0062 +151 +094 027045 045 000 002 03
043530 3007N 08726W 8032 01952 0061 +156 +072 029045 045 000 001 03
043600 3008N 08729W 8033 01953 0059 +160 +062 030045 046 000 002 03
043630 3008N 08731W 8033 01951 0057 +163 +055 030046 046 000 002 03
043700 3009N 08734W 8034 01950 0056 +165 +058 029046 047 000 002 03
043730 3009N 08737W 8032 01954 0057 +163 +069 029047 047 000 001 03
043800 3010N 08739W 8032 01954 0059 +160 +095 029048 049 000 002 03
043830 3010N 08742W 8059 01924 0056 +160 +125 029049 050 000 001 00
043900 3011N 08744W 8040 01947 0058 +155 +135 028047 047 000 001 03
043930 3011N 08747W 8049 01938 0060 +155 +136 028046 046 000 002 03
044000 3012N 08750W 8048 01940 0059 +157 +136 028046 046 000 001 00
044030 3012N 08752W 8047 01942 0059 +158 +139 027046 046 000 002 00
$$
;

[Dave]

000
URNT11 KNHC 260433
97779 04324 30301 8720/ 19200 03049 1512/ /8003
RMK AF309 0504A DEBBY OB 13
LAST REPORT
;

Now to re-install GE tonight and get this thing working right!

[Hurricaneman]

Debby will be retired at the end of the season, just a hunch

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products

[Dave]

The next mission will depart at 6:45 AM EDT or 5:45 AM CDT

A. 26/1200,1800Z
B. AFXXX 0604A DEBBY
C. 26/1045Z
D. 28.7N 87.0W
E. 26/1115Z TO 26/1800Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT

[feederband]

Debby will be retired at the end of the season, just a hunch

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products

Yeah Retired yet still living in Florida...You know shes illegal..Can't we deport her?

[thetruesms]

I would hate to be near the Apalachicola National Forest right now, that vort that came onshore is a clear S on radar out of Tallahassee Radar

Funny, at the time this post was made, I was at my gate at the Tallahassee airport, which looks out over the Apalachicola, wondering if I was really going to be flying out today or not.

We only ended up being an hour late - I have conflicted feelings about this

If this rain keeps up in the Panhandle, we're going to see a tropical cyclone record for rainfall, this stinks for that area

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products

When 2011 ended, I was impressed that many areas in the Panhandle had a rainfall deficit of 20-30" for the year. That some places are making that up in 12-24 hours boggles my mind

[crimi481]

Been following a round blob from Yucatan - - now getting close to hitting somewhere between Ft Meyers and Sarasota. Getting little bigger -and looks intense -holding together. Heading for "Charley" territory

Gusts now 40-60. Coming right at me? Oh my
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/gmex/flash-rb.html