ATL: DEBBY - Post-Tropical

[SouthFloridawx]

There's not much of a Center to Track anymore. Maybe a new low will form out of the convection over and to the East of Florida?

[SouthFloridawx]

[jonj2040]

I would think it highly unlikely but if it got far enough south which would put it closer to the center of the anticyclone in a lower shear environment, would conditions be more favorable for it to restrengthen, per-say it re emerges south of Tampa?

[Hurricaneman]

I think this is about dead, and because of the major flooding this will be retired

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products

[TTARider]

Yup... It's dead jim

[sponger]

Amazing enough its still raining really good here. Some of the gustier winds we have had. Last blast before the end hopefully.

1:50 update Finally the end! North Florida is a mess but it could have been so much worse!

[Hammy]

to me, based on satellite and the radar loop above, the center almost seems to be reforming west of Daytona

[jonj2040]

I was seeing the same thing with the "seem like" center west of daytona. If I have the right map here which I believe I do (correct me if I'm wrong) but it seems to support the idea.


Uploaded with ImageShack.us
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

[Jevo]

Goood morning Debby.... Those are some nice towers you're firing up this morning

[plasticup]

Why is everyone saying that she is dead? It is emerging into the Gulf Stream and lining up for Bermuda. Debby's best days could still be ahead of her.

[northjaxpro]

Good morning everyone. It looks as if TD Debby has emerged off the Daytona Beach and heading out. But, she has left pleny of nastiness in her immediate wake across all of the peninsula. We have roads washed out with even sinkholes developing in some areas of the city, but the good news is that flood waters have receded where we don't have nearly as many roads closed off like what occured last night during the height of the flash flooding event. The rain has finally come to an end and the dry air is coming in on nice cool north to northeast winds around 20 -25 mph in some gusts across the area.

At my location in northern Jax, I have tallied an estimated 16.75 inches of rainfall since Sunday for this event with Debby. This surpasses the total I measured during TS Fay in 2008, which was a little over 14 inches. In general, totals range from 13 to as much as 17 inches across the Jax area for Debby's event.

Across areas just west of Jacksonville , especially Lake City and Live Oak, reported amounts in excess of 20 inches just within the past 24-36 hours. Those cities are completely under water currently. Also, many parts of Interstate 10 remains closed this morning from Lake City to Jacksonville.

The Saint Mary's River and Suwanee River are now forecast to break records sometime next week as they will go well above their previous record flood levels. Many people living along those river basins may lose their homes. The Black Creek in Middleburg in Clay County just south of Jax area is expected to break their flood stage record of 25.1 feet.

Since May 27, I have measured a total of more than 36 inches of rainfall, mainly courtesy of two tropical storms impacting the Jax area and a stationary frontal boundary which sat over our region earlier this month. This has made the drought that we were experiencing just a month ago seem like a disstant memory now.

2012 has already been a very historic season for this region, with Beryl and Debby impacting Jax area and Northeast FL within 30 days. Mother Nature we have received the message. You have ended the drought for sure in this area. But, please we don't need any more tropical cyclones in this area. We have had enough thank you!

[AHS2011]

Now that Debby is nearly done with for the U.S., I'm surprised that no one has begun talking about the tropical wave in the Eastern Atlantic yet.

[NDG]

Is amazing how mother nature balances herself, sometimes it takes a little while, but other times it seems like it wants to do it all at once.

[cycloneye]

Now that Debby is nearly done with for the U.S., I'm surprised that no one has begun talking about the tropical wave in the Eastern Atlantic yet.

We are talking about that area at Talking Tropics forum in this thread.

viewtopic.php?f=31&t=113053&hilit=&p=2237302#p2237302

[artist]

FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
722 AM EDT WED JUN 27 2012

...FORECAST FLOODING CHANGED FROM MAJOR TO RECORD SEVERITY FOR THE
FOLLOWING RIVERS IN FLORIDA...GEORGIA...
ST MARY`S RIVER AT MACCLENNY AFFECTING BAKER...NASSAU...CAMDEN AND
CHARLTON COUNTIES
...RECORD FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND EXPECTED TO CONTINUE

[AHS2011]

Now that Debby is nearly done with for the U.S., I'm surprised that no one has begun talking about the tropical wave in the Eastern Atlantic yet.

We are talking about that area at Talking Tropics forum in this thread.

viewtopic.php?f=31&t=113053&hilit=&p=2237302#p2237302

Thank you.

[tolakram]

Latest



Loops

http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/ge ... umframes=5

http://www.esl.lsu.edu/animate/goes/ind ... channel=ir

[wxman57]

Debby's best days are way behind it. It's merged with the cold front and is ingesting plenty of dry air as it accelerates up the front into higher and higher shear. NHC will probably issue the final advisory this morning or they may wait until this afternoon. Bones says it's time to call this one. And he says he's looking forward to a nice quiet 4th of July week.

[Jevo]

Debby's best days are way behind it. It's merged with the cold front and is ingesting plenty of dry air as it accelerates up the front into higher and higher shear. NHC will probably issue the final advisory this morning or they may wait until this afternoon. Bones says it's time to call this one. And he says he's looking forward to a nice quiet[ 4th of July week.

http://home.comcast.net/~cgh57/itsdeadjim.jpg

This made my day... well done sir

[ozonepete]

Debby's best days are way behind it. It's merged with the cold front and is ingesting plenty of dry air as it accelerates up the front into higher and higher shear. NHC will probably issue the final advisory this morning or they may wait until this afternoon. Bones says it's time to call this one. And he says he's looking forward to a nice [b]quiet[/b] 4th of July week.

Always nice to see Bones but he may be replaced by Lazarus soon. I agree its got a tough road ahead to re-strengthen, but for clarification, the latest HPC surface analysis and their forecast charts show Debby is not merged with the front (it's a stationary front now) and isn't forecast to merge with it either.
Here's the HPC?NCEP loop (for those who don't know, all TC positions are done in cooperation with the NHC):

http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/basicwx/day0-7loop.html