Florida Weather

[northjaxpro]

Good morning everyone. It looks as if TD Debby has emerged off the Daytona Beach and heading out. But, she has left pleny of nastiness in her immediate wake across all of the peninsula. We have roads washed out with even sinkholes developing in some areas of the city, but the good news is that flood waters have receded where we don't have nearly as many roads closed off like what occured last night during the height of the flash flooding event. The rain has finally come to an end and the dry air is coming in on nice cool north to northeast winds around 20 -25 mph in some gusts across the area.

At my location in northern Jax, I have tallied an estimated 16.75 inches of rainfall since Sunday for this event with Debby. This surpasses the total I measured during TS Fay in 2008, which was a little over 14 inches. In general, totals range from 13 to as much as 17 inches across the Jax area for Debby's event.

Across areas just west of Jacksonville , especially Lake City and Live Oak, reported amounts in excess of 20 inches just within the past 24-36 hours. Those cities are completely under water currently. Also, many parts of Interstate 10 remains closed this morning from Lake City to Jacksonville.

The Saint Mary's River and Suwanee River are now forecast to break records sometime next week as they will go well above their previous record flood levels. Many people living along those river basins may lose their homes. The Black Creek in Middleburg in Clay County just south of Jax area is expected to break their flood stage record of 25.1 feet.

Since May 27, I have measured a total of more than 36 inches of rainfall, mainly courtesy of two tropical storms impacting the Jax area and a stationary frontal boundary which sat over our region earlier this month. This has made the drought that we were experiencing just a month ago seem like a disstant memory now.

2012 has already been a very historic season for this region, with Beryl and Debby impacting Jax area and Northeast FL within 30 days. Mother Nature we have received the message. You have ended the drought for sure in this area. But, please we don't need any more tropical cyclones in this area. We havehad enough thank you!

[gsytch]

Well, it has bone dry since Debby left us. From May24 thru June 25, we received a whopping 28" of rain. Since June 25 zero, and barely a cloud. In fact, it has been down right pleasant! Nice seabreezes. What an odd summer. The tornado that came over head did so much damage to my area we are still cleaning up. The debris was unreal, and my poor neighbors had both of their cars crushed by trees. My fences are all shot. Mother nature always wins!

[Patrick99]

I see we are now socked in with our semi-typical July "dry season within the rainy season" down here in SE Florida.

[jdray]

Not sure where to post this:
http://www.news4jax.com/news/100-mph-gu ... index.html

An FDOT review of the incident said wind meters on the bridge recorded sustained winds at 37 mph and several gusts over 100 mph early in the morning of May 28 -- Memorial Day.

Those sensors were around 150 feet high.

[gsytch]

Could have been a waterspout or tornado. One hit us during Debby and did quite a bit of damage in the neighborhood. I'm still dealing with the aftermath (aka insurance adjusters/fence repair/door repair/garage flooding etc) so it is not surprising. What is surprising is that that part of the bridge was built to withstand ONLY 65mph winds? In Florida?...

[gsytch]

I finally see the radar lighting up today, not near me, but still it is something! Looks like the Ocala area was rocked, and also inland Fort Myers. There is hope the rainy season will return!

[Sanibel]

We're in a really dry pattern for this time of year. The usual daily mainland convection isn't there.

[gsytch]

Another nearly cloudless, hot dry day. There has been so little thunder this summer it is weird. Nothing since Debby left and I had to water some things in the yard despite 18" of rain from Debby. The sun just sucks the moisture right out of the soil (or sand).........

[Sanibel]

Small pops of convection showed up yesterday and today but didn't make it out here on the trades.

[MetroMike]

Yes here in Central Fl weather has been very boring with the exception of TS Debby. I'm getting worried about the lack of Thunderstorms, this is supposed to be the rainy season correct?

[NDG]

You guys on the west coast of central FL have not had much action in the afternoons in the last couple of days unlike the eastern coast of central FL because of the southwesterly winds at the surface has pushed the clash of the east-west coast seabreeze further east over the Orlando area.
Funny thing yesterday I went to Ponce Inlet beach when thunderstorms popped just a few miles inland from the beach due to the weak seabreeze that was present when people started leaving the beach thinking that it was going to rain, the easterly mid & upper level winds kept the storms away from the immediate beach. It was nice seeing the people leave, it was too crowded. I told a couple of people around me not to leave that the storm was not coming to the beach and they were looking at me as if I was crazy, lol.

[AdamFirst]

Local TV met believes the tropical wave over Hispaniola may enhance rain chances during the weekend. NWS Melbourne makes brief mention of this:

THE 00Z ECMWF TAKES THE TROPICAL WAVE THAT IS CURRENTLY MOVING OVER
PUERTO RICO FURTHER NORTH AND INTO MELBOURNE SOUTHERN COUNTIES THAN
THE 12Z GFS. RATHER THAN CHASE MODEL RUNS ON SUBTLE DIFFERENCE WILL
LEAVE OVERNIGHT SATURDAY AT 20 POP AND MENTION SLIGHT CHANCE OF
PRECIP THROUGHOUT THE NIGHT FOR SAINT LUCIE...MARTIN AND OKEECHOBEE
COUNTIES. THIS BLENDS IN WELL WITH THE SUNDAY MORNING FORECAST FOR
THE SAME THREE COUNTIES.

From NWS Miami

ALTHOUGH THE GFS/ECMWF SOLUTIONS INDICATE INCREASING
DEEP LAYER MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH THE WAVE SPREADING WEST INTO THE
LOCAL AREA LATER SATURDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...THE NAM SOLUTION
REMAINS QUITE SLOW AND KEEPS THE WAVE AXIS JUST OFF THE EAST COAST
OVER OUR ATL WATERS WITH MAINLY DRY NORTHEAST FLOW CONTINUING ACROSS
THE AREA THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT.

.LONG TERM (SUNDAY-WEDNESDAY)...PRECIPITABLE WATER INCREASES TO
AROUND 2 INCHES SUNDAY WHICH WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE PERIOD DUE TO
THE AFOREMENTIONED TROPICAL WAVE PASSING THROUGH THE AREA. WILL
KEEP SCATTERED SHOWERS/TSTMS IN THE FORECAST EACH DAY THROUGH THIS
TIME ACROSS THE AREA.

[gsytch]

I am not even hearing thunder. Thursday was day 9 in a row without rain, without hearing thunder although it was dark well inland. I saw that wave but our mets say it will dry us out some. From nothing? lol Clearwater did get a brief pop up storm or shower on radar, but it lasted but 10 mins. Time for that rainy season to kick in!

[Sanibel]

Finally some monsoon. Yesterday and today.

[jdray]

I am not even hearing thunder. Thursday was day 9 in a row without rain, without hearing thunder although it was dark well inland. I saw that wave but our mets say it will dry us out some. From nothing? lol Clearwater did get a brief pop up storm or shower on radar, but it lasted but 10 mins. Time for that rainy season to kick in!

July 4th, we had downpours to the north and south of me, I was in the dry slot. Got a few sprinkles later, that was it. It's feast or famine this year with rain in my area lol.

[gsytch]

FINALLY heard a lot of thunder yesterday along the seabreeze line, but it was 10-15 miles inland and sadly, missed us. It did give us overcast conditions from about 430p on which alleviated the hot sun and allowed me to water the yard. Amazing - 20 inches of rain from Debby and here I am watering again. 10 days and counting without a drop of rain. Feast or famine. Ahh the gold old days when storms were hit and miss and you rarely went more than a few days without showers, downpours or a storm. Now its too much then not enough. lol

[Patrick99]

Have not had much rain in my area for about the past couple weeks. Why is it that whenever there's any kind of easterly flow, if you're on the SE coast, your rain chances basically go in the tank? I've been seeing plenty of pop-up storms just offshore, moving west - but whenever they get close to the coast, they fizzle out. Why is that?

[gsytch]

Here it has been so dry my lawn is yellowing, after so much rain from Debby. We had over 20" of rain in 3 days. Now nothing but sun, 95F afternoons and thunder in the distance. Not a drop in 12 days. Only in Florida do you have your hose out watering the yard day after day IN THUNDER because you know it will miss you!

[gsytch]

Have not had much rain in my area for about the past couple weeks. Why is it that whenever there's any kind of easterly flow, if you're on the SE coast, your rain chances basically go in the tank? I've been seeing plenty of pop-up storms just offshore, moving west - but whenever they get close to the coast, they fizzle out. Why is that?

Because otherwise it would hit your yard and give you rain! It laughs at you, then reforms in the Everglades.

[Sanibel]

Got another nice shower again today. It drifted from the Glades on the trades.