Still waiting for the 06Z BT to come out...I think they are considering an upgrade.
EDIT: Maybe the forecaster fell asleep

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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
cycloneye wrote:On boy,she is doing the RI now. Now the overall structure looks much more rounded and not elongated as it was on Sunday.
RL3AO wrote:While I know nothing about actually applying the Dvorak technique, I do know that a rapidly warming eye and thick ring of white with cold medium grey convection is certainly not a 65kt storm.
*Image Cut*
I'd say 90 to 95. Eye starts to become round at 100-105 and then nearly a perfect circle by 115kt.
RL3AO wrote:CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
4.1 / 987.8mb/ 67.4kt
Final T# Adj T# Raw T#
4.1 5.6 6.1
Look at that raw T#
cycloneye wrote:NHC now forecasts major hurricane.Cyclenall,what do you think of them going that far high as we know they go conservative?
Yellow Evan wrote:Rick 09 formed faster.
TropicalAnalystwx13 wrote:The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Upper-level outflow with the storm has blossomed over the past few hours. With a seemingly-endless list of things favoring rapid intensification, we should see a major hurricane by tomorrow night. It would not surprise me in the slightest to see Emilia become a Category 5 on Tuesday.
brunota2003 wrote:brunota2003 wrote:Well...looking through the latest, RI may begin within the next 6 to 10 hours. I really don't have time to work with (sitting in an airport), so I'm just going to throw a quick guess out there...90 knots by 11 am tomorrow morning (going to start the 24 hours at 11 am). We'll see how close I am!
Could a mod add the disclaimer? Thanks.
Well, on a computer so I can post a little more now (dial up though...yayy lol).
I'm still sticking with 90 knots by the 11 am advisory, however I believe the real RI is just about to begin. Looking through the latest and greatest, the main RI should begin between 2 and 4 am...and I expect that by the 11 pm advisory tomorrow, Emilia will be pushing 110 or 115 knots. After that, the intensification will slow down...and I can see a peak of 125 or 130 knots.
Cyclenall wrote:Yellow Evan wrote:Rick 09 formed faster.
If we're comparing this to Rick, then Emilia must be doing pretty darn good!
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