area of T-storms near the Carolina coast

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Hurricaneman
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area of T-storms near the Carolina coast

#1 Postby Hurricaneman » Mon Jul 30, 2012 1:07 pm

Looks suspicious, does it have any chance of development
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#2 Postby northjaxpro » Mon Jul 30, 2012 1:53 pm

Well, HPC 15Z surface analysis depicted a 1014 mb Low attached to a stationary frontal boundary on the SC coast near Myrtle Beach. Observing visible satellite imagery, you can definitely see rotation on land in that vicinity.

I am not anticipating any development, but you can never totally rule out systems like this to generate offshore in the Gulf Stream should this system detach from that boundary and stay intact for the next day or two.
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Re: area of T-storms near the Carolina coast

#3 Postby OuterBanker » Mon Jul 30, 2012 3:17 pm

Both Nam and Euro show a low riding the carolina coast, but no tropical development. GFS further off shore. Just a rainmaker as far as I can tell. Just a damper for the beach goers so far it seems. Pesky stationary front causing it. Tstorms dominant past couple weeks. Yesterday was perfect though. 86 air temp, 84 water temp. Perfect :D
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#4 Postby CrazyC83 » Mon Jul 30, 2012 8:59 pm

It needs to get rid of the front first? Although I'm surprised they didn't at least tag it with a 10%.
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#5 Postby hurricanetrack » Mon Jul 30, 2012 10:05 pm

It sure was "tropical" around here these last couple of days. Reminded me very much of a tropical storm w/o the wind. Some times you do get these rogue frontal developments that scoot off to the NE but they are usually attached to the front for too long....we'll see.
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Re: area of T-storms near the Carolina coast

#6 Postby OuterBanker » Tue Jul 31, 2012 4:00 pm

Mark, this could be interesting. Check out the GFS 12z 7/31 850 hPa GFS. Looks like they are expecting a little something starting around you and heading toward us in one to two.

http://www.weatherbellmodels.com/weathe ... _mouse.php

Long term it turns out to be a monster in the north Atlantic.
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