The more "due east" the better chance of stall

[rockyman]

This statement is not based on any "research," but it seems to me that when storms move East or even ESE, they tend to stall. My unscientific reason is as follows:

When a storm is steered NE, it's usually because of an approaching trough or front...when a storm becomes steered more east than NE, this means that the northern part of the front is outrunning the southern part of the front (hence, the southern part of the front is becoming stationary)...as the southern part of the front stalls out, it often "washes out," leaving the tropical system in a weak steering environment...then, class, what usually comes after a front...a high pressure system...which often reverses the steering flow and the direction of the system and causes it to loop a la Elena (or many other previous loopy systems). Anyway...my point is that since the models are now even further south (toward Tampa), the chances of a stall and reversal of direction are greater than if the system were moving NE toward the Big Bend.

Anyway, just a thought.

[JCT777]

Sounds fairly logical to me. But I am not a met - merely a novice weather junkie.

[Rainband]

Novice here too..but I heard on the news.. two scenarios..One the trough misses the system then it sits off the west coast for 5 days..where it goes from there??? The second the trough catches him and he moves up the eastern seaboard!!

[Stormcenter]

When is the "second" trough suppose to sweep by?
I don't see another one after this one for awhile.

[Rainband]

When is the "second" trough suppose to sweep by?
I don't see another one after this one for awhile.

The second (meaning second scenario)..the trough catches it..I didn't seperate the two words..typo ..not misinformed!!!