ATL: ERNESTO - Post-Tropical
Moderator: S2k Moderators
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- Tropical Storm
- Posts: 207
- Joined: Fri Jun 22, 2012 1:33 pm
- Location: Portland, Maine
Here was 8:
000
URNT15 KNHC 030551
AF302 0205A ERNESTO HDOB 08 20120803
051600 1438N 06027W 8414 01601 0118 +168 +094 069040 040 016 002 00
051630 1436N 06026W 8416 01600 0117 +170 +095 069039 039 019 000 00
051700 1435N 06025W 8416 01598 0115 +170 +098 067037 038 021 001 00
051730 1434N 06024W 8416 01597 0116 +167 +100 067038 039 020 001 00
051800 1433N 06023W 8415 01594 0111 +169 +102 070040 041 020 001 00
051830 1432N 06022W 8416 01594 0111 +168 +104 068040 041 019 000 00
051900 1431N 06021W 8418 01590 0112 +167 +105 069042 043 021 000 00
051930 1430N 06020W 8420 01591 0113 +168 +106 069040 041 020 001 00
052000 1429N 06019W 8411 01598 0112 +169 +106 066038 038 012 000 00
052030 1428N 06018W 8418 01591 0108 +174 +108 066038 039 014 000 00
052100 1427N 06017W 8413 01596 0108 +175 +109 066038 038 016 000 00
052130 1426N 06015W 8414 01593 0106 +175 +109 068037 038 018 001 00
052200 1425N 06014W 8416 01592 0105 +177 +111 068036 036 022 001 00
052230 1424N 06013W 8410 01593 0101 +180 +111 068037 037 019 002 00
052300 1423N 06012W 8416 01589 0099 +180 +113 069037 037 022 000 00
052330 1422N 06011W 8418 01589 0099 +179 +114 068037 038 019 001 00
052400 1421N 06010W 8412 01595 0101 +177 +115 069037 038 014 000 00
052430 1420N 06009W 8417 01587 0100 +177 +117 071037 038 016 001 00
052500 1418N 06008W 8413 01591 0101 +176 +118 068035 035 022 001 00
052530 1417N 06007W 8417 01586 0097 +181 +119 072036 037 022 001 00
$$
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000
URNT15 KNHC 030551
AF302 0205A ERNESTO HDOB 08 20120803
051600 1438N 06027W 8414 01601 0118 +168 +094 069040 040 016 002 00
051630 1436N 06026W 8416 01600 0117 +170 +095 069039 039 019 000 00
051700 1435N 06025W 8416 01598 0115 +170 +098 067037 038 021 001 00
051730 1434N 06024W 8416 01597 0116 +167 +100 067038 039 020 001 00
051800 1433N 06023W 8415 01594 0111 +169 +102 070040 041 020 001 00
051830 1432N 06022W 8416 01594 0111 +168 +104 068040 041 019 000 00
051900 1431N 06021W 8418 01590 0112 +167 +105 069042 043 021 000 00
051930 1430N 06020W 8420 01591 0113 +168 +106 069040 041 020 001 00
052000 1429N 06019W 8411 01598 0112 +169 +106 066038 038 012 000 00
052030 1428N 06018W 8418 01591 0108 +174 +108 066038 039 014 000 00
052100 1427N 06017W 8413 01596 0108 +175 +109 066038 038 016 000 00
052130 1426N 06015W 8414 01593 0106 +175 +109 068037 038 018 001 00
052200 1425N 06014W 8416 01592 0105 +177 +111 068036 036 022 001 00
052230 1424N 06013W 8410 01593 0101 +180 +111 068037 037 019 002 00
052300 1423N 06012W 8416 01589 0099 +180 +113 069037 037 022 000 00
052330 1422N 06011W 8418 01589 0099 +179 +114 068037 038 019 001 00
052400 1421N 06010W 8412 01595 0101 +177 +115 069037 038 014 000 00
052430 1420N 06009W 8417 01587 0100 +177 +117 071037 038 016 001 00
052500 1418N 06008W 8413 01591 0101 +176 +118 068035 035 022 001 00
052530 1417N 06007W 8417 01586 0097 +181 +119 072036 037 022 001 00
$$
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- Tropical Storm
- Posts: 207
- Joined: Fri Jun 22, 2012 1:33 pm
- Location: Portland, Maine
Heres the next one:
000
URNT15 KNHC 030554
AF302 0205A ERNESTO HDOB 11 20120803
054600 1331N 05926W 8414 01565 0069 +181 +129 156020 020 000 001 00
054630 1330N 05925W 8411 01570 0069 +180 +130 149025 028 003 002 00
054700 1329N 05924W 8438 01545 0068 +187 +131 145024 026 004 003 00
054730 1327N 05923W 8429 01557 0068 +190 +132 150023 023 010 003 00
054800 1326N 05922W 8431 01553 0067 +190 +133 156022 022 001 001 00
054830 1325N 05921W 8428 01557 0071 +184 +135 151023 024 000 001 00
054900 1324N 05920W 8425 01557 0066 +191 +137 149024 024 000 002 00
054930 1323N 05919W 8429 01556 0064 +198 +138 146022 023 000 000 00
055000 1322N 05918W 8427 01558 0063 +200 +139 148018 021 000 001 00
055030 1321N 05917W 8436 01551 0067 +198 +141 149020 021 000 002 00
055100 1320N 05916W 8428 01558 0067 +195 +142 154021 021 000 001 00
055130 1319N 05915W 8428 01557 0068 +193 +143 153019 020 000 001 00
055200 1317N 05914W 8430 01556 0072 +184 +144 151020 021 000 001 00
055230 1316N 05913W 8431 01557 0070 +192 +144 150021 022 002 000 00
055300 1315N 05912W 8425 01562 0073 +185 +144 156021 022 003 001 00
055330 1314N 05911W 8438 01551 0077 +181 +144 160022 023 005 002 00
055400 1313N 05910W 8425 01561 0073 +183 +143 163022 022 010 001 00
055430 1312N 05909W 8430 01557 0077 +182 +143 166020 021 008 000 00
055500 1311N 05908W 8430 01556 0078 +180 +142 163019 019 005 000 00
055530 1310N 05907W 8433 01558 0079 +180 +141 166019 020 000 001 00
$$
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000
URNT15 KNHC 030554
AF302 0205A ERNESTO HDOB 11 20120803
054600 1331N 05926W 8414 01565 0069 +181 +129 156020 020 000 001 00
054630 1330N 05925W 8411 01570 0069 +180 +130 149025 028 003 002 00
054700 1329N 05924W 8438 01545 0068 +187 +131 145024 026 004 003 00
054730 1327N 05923W 8429 01557 0068 +190 +132 150023 023 010 003 00
054800 1326N 05922W 8431 01553 0067 +190 +133 156022 022 001 001 00
054830 1325N 05921W 8428 01557 0071 +184 +135 151023 024 000 001 00
054900 1324N 05920W 8425 01557 0066 +191 +137 149024 024 000 002 00
054930 1323N 05919W 8429 01556 0064 +198 +138 146022 023 000 000 00
055000 1322N 05918W 8427 01558 0063 +200 +139 148018 021 000 001 00
055030 1321N 05917W 8436 01551 0067 +198 +141 149020 021 000 002 00
055100 1320N 05916W 8428 01558 0067 +195 +142 154021 021 000 001 00
055130 1319N 05915W 8428 01557 0068 +193 +143 153019 020 000 001 00
055200 1317N 05914W 8430 01556 0072 +184 +144 151020 021 000 001 00
055230 1316N 05913W 8431 01557 0070 +192 +144 150021 022 002 000 00
055300 1315N 05912W 8425 01562 0073 +185 +144 156021 022 003 001 00
055330 1314N 05911W 8438 01551 0077 +181 +144 160022 023 005 002 00
055400 1313N 05910W 8425 01561 0073 +183 +143 163022 022 010 001 00
055430 1312N 05909W 8430 01557 0077 +182 +143 166020 021 008 000 00
055500 1311N 05908W 8430 01556 0078 +180 +142 163019 019 005 000 00
055530 1310N 05907W 8433 01558 0079 +180 +141 166019 020 000 001 00
$$
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Re: ATL: ERNESTO - Models
http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... SLP024.gif
24hr past the islands....looks decent,, 1010mb is still too high but I will cut it some slack..
24hr past the islands....looks decent,, 1010mb is still too high but I will cut it some slack..

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- Hurricane Alexis
- Category 2
- Posts: 683
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- Joined: Thu Jun 14, 2012 7:59 pm
- Location: Miami,Florida
Re: ATL: ERNESTO - Models
ROCK wrote:I am shocked no one is staying up for the EURO.....![]()
initialized it at 1010MB though...
http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... SLP000.gif
That's Thursday's 00z run...or at least that's what it says in the bottom
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Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Re: ATL: ERNESTO - Models
Hurricane Alexis wrote:ROCK wrote:I am shocked no one is staying up for the EURO.....![]()
initialized it at 1010MB though...
http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... SLP000.gif
That's Thursday's 00z run...or at least that's what it says in the bottom
no its not...8/3 is today.....Friday
48hr http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... SLP048.gif
http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... SLP048.gif
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- stormhunter7
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Re: ATL: ERNESTO - Tropical Storm
A. Time of Center Fix: 3rd day of the month at 5:40:30Z
B. Center Fix Coordinates: 13°40'N 59°40'W (13.6667N 59.6667W)
B. Center Fix Location: 40 miles (64 km) to the N (355°) from Bridgetown, Barbados.
1005mb center
B. Center Fix Coordinates: 13°40'N 59°40'W (13.6667N 59.6667W)
B. Center Fix Location: 40 miles (64 km) to the N (355°) from Bridgetown, Barbados.
1005mb center
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The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products. http://www.nhc.noaa.gov
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- Tropical Storm
- Posts: 207
- Joined: Fri Jun 22, 2012 1:33 pm
- Location: Portland, Maine
000
URNT12 KNHC 030554
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE AL052012
A. 03/05:40:30Z
B. 13 deg 40 min N
059 deg 40 min W
C. 850 mb 1464 m
D. 28 kt
E. 301 deg 10 nm
F. 080 deg 45 kt
G. 326 deg 38 nm
H. 1005 mb
I. 18 C / 1593 m
J. 18 C / 1544 m
K. 12 C / NA
L. NA
M. NA
N. 1345 / 8
O. 0.02 / 2 nm
P. AF302 0205A ERNESTO OB 03
MAX FL WIND 45 KT NW QUAD 05:28:00Z
URNT12 KNHC 030554
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE AL052012
A. 03/05:40:30Z
B. 13 deg 40 min N
059 deg 40 min W
C. 850 mb 1464 m
D. 28 kt
E. 301 deg 10 nm
F. 080 deg 45 kt
G. 326 deg 38 nm
H. 1005 mb
I. 18 C / 1593 m
J. 18 C / 1544 m
K. 12 C / NA
L. NA
M. NA
N. 1345 / 8
O. 0.02 / 2 nm
P. AF302 0205A ERNESTO OB 03
MAX FL WIND 45 KT NW QUAD 05:28:00Z
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- stormhunter7
- Category 2
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Re: ATL: ERNESTO - Tropical Storm
flight level temp and pressure inside and outside coc is the same 64F at 5kft. So don't expect system to "ramp up" any time soon. Gonna need many hot towers around coc, and deep convection to get the storm a going. Flight level winds on NW inbound were not that bad.. recon is on SE outbound and should be heading north soon or now to where the strongest winds were found on last mission. Curious to see what the winds are now on the NE side of Ernesto.
**also... surface center is hauling butt.... if it slows down about 5-10kts then we could see Ernesto make a run up to cane.*
**also... surface center is hauling butt.... if it slows down about 5-10kts then we could see Ernesto make a run up to cane.*
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The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products. http://www.nhc.noaa.gov
- Hurricane Alexis
- Category 2
- Posts: 683
- Age: 29
- Joined: Thu Jun 14, 2012 7:59 pm
- Location: Miami,Florida
Re: ATL: ERNESTO - Models
ROCK wrote:Hurricane Alexis wrote:ROCK wrote:I am shocked no one is staying up for the EURO.....![]()
initialized it at 1010MB though...
http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... SLP000.gif
That's Thursday's 00z run...or at least that's what it says in the bottom
no its not...8/3 is today.....Friday
48hr http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... SLP048.gif
Must have been my computer, because the initial run said 8/2 and at 24hr it said 8/4.![]()
http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... SLP048.gif
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Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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- Tropical Storm
- Posts: 207
- Joined: Fri Jun 22, 2012 1:33 pm
- Location: Portland, Maine
000
URNT15 KNHC 030604
AF302 0205A ERNESTO HDOB 12 20120803
055600 1309N 05906W 8429 01559 0079 +179 +140 165019 019 008 001 00
055630 1307N 05905W 8428 01562 0084 +174 +140 165020 020 008 001 00
055700 1306N 05904W 8432 01558 0085 +174 +139 170019 019 007 000 00
055730 1305N 05903W 8428 01563 0085 +175 +138 170019 019 007 001 00
055800 1304N 05902W 8430 01563 0087 +175 +137 164020 021 004 001 00
055830 1303N 05901W 8429 01564 0088 +175 +136 162021 021 005 001 00
055900 1302N 05859W 8430 01563 0088 +175 +135 164021 021 008 000 00
055930 1301N 05858W 8430 01563 0086 +179 +135 164020 020 008 000 00
060000 1300N 05857W 8430 01562 0088 +175 +135 164020 021 008 000 00
060030 1259N 05856W 8431 01564 0088 +177 +134 160020 020 010 001 00
060100 1257N 05855W 8429 01565 0087 +177 +134 156021 021 011 001 00
060130 1256N 05854W 8429 01565 0088 +175 +133 157021 021 008 002 00
060200 1256N 05854W 8429 01565 0087 +178 +133 158020 020 009 001 03
060230 1255N 05852W 8426 01570 0087 +180 +132 157021 021 /// /// 03
060300 1257N 05852W 8435 01563 0090 +180 +134 150021 022 012 000 03
060330 1259N 05852W 8428 01567 0083 +180 +136 152023 024 013 001 00
060400 1300N 05852W 8429 01557 0075 +180 +137 154025 025 012 000 00
060430 1302N 05851W 8435 01548 0074 +180 +137 150026 026 010 000 00
060500 1304N 05851W 8428 01554 0072 +180 +137 151027 027 009 000 00
060530 1306N 05851W 8429 01552 0069 +179 +137 155027 028 010 000 00
$$
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URNT15 KNHC 030604
AF302 0205A ERNESTO HDOB 12 20120803
055600 1309N 05906W 8429 01559 0079 +179 +140 165019 019 008 001 00
055630 1307N 05905W 8428 01562 0084 +174 +140 165020 020 008 001 00
055700 1306N 05904W 8432 01558 0085 +174 +139 170019 019 007 000 00
055730 1305N 05903W 8428 01563 0085 +175 +138 170019 019 007 001 00
055800 1304N 05902W 8430 01563 0087 +175 +137 164020 021 004 001 00
055830 1303N 05901W 8429 01564 0088 +175 +136 162021 021 005 001 00
055900 1302N 05859W 8430 01563 0088 +175 +135 164021 021 008 000 00
055930 1301N 05858W 8430 01563 0086 +179 +135 164020 020 008 000 00
060000 1300N 05857W 8430 01562 0088 +175 +135 164020 021 008 000 00
060030 1259N 05856W 8431 01564 0088 +177 +134 160020 020 010 001 00
060100 1257N 05855W 8429 01565 0087 +177 +134 156021 021 011 001 00
060130 1256N 05854W 8429 01565 0088 +175 +133 157021 021 008 002 00
060200 1256N 05854W 8429 01565 0087 +178 +133 158020 020 009 001 03
060230 1255N 05852W 8426 01570 0087 +180 +132 157021 021 /// /// 03
060300 1257N 05852W 8435 01563 0090 +180 +134 150021 022 012 000 03
060330 1259N 05852W 8428 01567 0083 +180 +136 152023 024 013 001 00
060400 1300N 05852W 8429 01557 0075 +180 +137 154025 025 012 000 00
060430 1302N 05851W 8435 01548 0074 +180 +137 150026 026 010 000 00
060500 1304N 05851W 8428 01554 0072 +180 +137 151027 027 009 000 00
060530 1306N 05851W 8429 01552 0069 +179 +137 155027 028 010 000 00
$$
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Re: ATL: ERNESTO - Models
no problem....I have been guilty of it also and forget to hit the refresh button..... 

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- Tropical Storm
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- Location: Portland, Maine
000
URNT15 KNHC 030615
AF302 0205A ERNESTO HDOB 13 20120803
060600 1308N 05851W 8433 01548 0074 +175 +137 154027 027 011 000 00
060630 1310N 05851W 8429 01552 0074 +175 +137 153027 028 009 001 00
060700 1312N 05851W 8429 01552 0074 +175 +136 153027 028 013 000 00
060730 1313N 05851W 8431 01552 0077 +175 +136 157027 027 010 000 00
060800 1315N 05851W 8430 01552 0077 +175 +135 160027 027 010 000 00
060830 1317N 05850W 8430 01553 0078 +172 +135 161027 028 012 000 00
060900 1319N 05850W 8431 01552 0077 +174 +134 162029 029 009 000 00
060930 1321N 05850W 8429 01553 0079 +171 +133 156030 030 011 001 00
061000 1323N 05850W 8429 01554 0080 +169 +133 156028 030 009 001 00
061030 1324N 05850W 8429 01553 0076 +175 +132 157026 026 012 001 00
061100 1326N 05850W 8429 01553 0072 +180 +132 157027 027 014 002 00
061130 1328N 05850W 8431 01552 0070 +181 +132 156027 027 019 000 00
061200 1330N 05850W 8428 01555 0070 +181 +132 155027 028 019 001 00
061230 1332N 05850W 8434 01547 0070 +183 +133 156028 028 021 000 00
061300 1334N 05849W 8427 01555 0070 +182 +134 155030 031 022 001 00
061330 1336N 05849W 8431 01551 0071 +180 +134 154031 031 024 000 00
061400 1338N 05849W 8428 01553 0068 +184 +135 151030 031 025 001 00
061430 1339N 05849W 8429 01553 0071 +183 +135 152029 030 023 001 00
061500 1341N 05849W 8433 01548 0072 +178 +136 154028 028 023 001 00
061530 1343N 05849W 8429 01555 0072 +181 +136 152027 027 025 001 00
$$
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URNT15 KNHC 030615
AF302 0205A ERNESTO HDOB 13 20120803
060600 1308N 05851W 8433 01548 0074 +175 +137 154027 027 011 000 00
060630 1310N 05851W 8429 01552 0074 +175 +137 153027 028 009 001 00
060700 1312N 05851W 8429 01552 0074 +175 +136 153027 028 013 000 00
060730 1313N 05851W 8431 01552 0077 +175 +136 157027 027 010 000 00
060800 1315N 05851W 8430 01552 0077 +175 +135 160027 027 010 000 00
060830 1317N 05850W 8430 01553 0078 +172 +135 161027 028 012 000 00
060900 1319N 05850W 8431 01552 0077 +174 +134 162029 029 009 000 00
060930 1321N 05850W 8429 01553 0079 +171 +133 156030 030 011 001 00
061000 1323N 05850W 8429 01554 0080 +169 +133 156028 030 009 001 00
061030 1324N 05850W 8429 01553 0076 +175 +132 157026 026 012 001 00
061100 1326N 05850W 8429 01553 0072 +180 +132 157027 027 014 002 00
061130 1328N 05850W 8431 01552 0070 +181 +132 156027 027 019 000 00
061200 1330N 05850W 8428 01555 0070 +181 +132 155027 028 019 001 00
061230 1332N 05850W 8434 01547 0070 +183 +133 156028 028 021 000 00
061300 1334N 05849W 8427 01555 0070 +182 +134 155030 031 022 001 00
061330 1336N 05849W 8431 01551 0071 +180 +134 154031 031 024 000 00
061400 1338N 05849W 8428 01553 0068 +184 +135 151030 031 025 001 00
061430 1339N 05849W 8429 01553 0071 +183 +135 152029 030 023 001 00
061500 1341N 05849W 8433 01548 0072 +178 +136 154028 028 023 001 00
061530 1343N 05849W 8429 01555 0072 +181 +136 152027 027 025 001 00
$$
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Re: ATL: ERNESTO - Models
http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... SLP096.gif
96hr heading towards the Yucatan ...very similar to the GFS
120hr....still heading to Yuc
http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... SLP120.gif
144hr not much to see dying over the Yucatan
http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... SLP144.gif
96hr heading towards the Yucatan ...very similar to the GFS
120hr....still heading to Yuc
http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... SLP120.gif
144hr not much to see dying over the Yucatan
http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... SLP144.gif
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Re: ATL: ERNESTO - Recon

Through OB12. Just posting one image. I might post one later tonight if I remember.
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- Tropical Storm
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- Location: Portland, Maine
000
URNT15 KNHC 030624
AF302 0205A ERNESTO HDOB 14 20120803
061600 1345N 05849W 8430 01555 0075 +179 +137 146027 027 024 001 00
061630 1347N 05849W 8430 01553 0080 +172 +137 144028 029 021 002 00
061700 1349N 05848W 8429 01556 0081 +168 +136 141030 031 018 001 00
061730 1350N 05848W 8431 01552 0084 +165 +136 141032 032 017 001 00
061800 1352N 05848W 8433 01552 0084 +166 +134 142031 031 017 001 00
061830 1354N 05848W 8429 01556 0082 +165 +133 142032 032 018 000 00
061900 1356N 05848W 8429 01555 0081 +168 +131 143032 033 018 001 00
061930 1358N 05848W 8430 01552 0081 +165 +129 143033 033 020 000 00
062000 1400N 05848W 8430 01552 0082 +165 +128 140034 034 021 001 00
062030 1401N 05848W 8425 01561 0092 +151 +127 134035 036 023 002 00
062100 1403N 05848W 8429 01555 0088 +156 +125 133034 035 017 001 00
062130 1405N 05847W 8430 01552 0084 +163 +122 132035 036 019 002 00
062200 1407N 05847W 8432 01551 0082 +165 +120 135037 038 020 002 00
062230 1409N 05847W 8429 01553 0085 +163 +120 133038 039 019 001 00
062300 1411N 05847W 8429 01556 0083 +167 +120 132038 040 019 000 00
062330 1412N 05847W 8428 01556 0082 +168 +120 131038 040 015 002 00
062400 1414N 05847W 8425 01559 0085 +165 +120 135038 039 019 001 00
062430 1416N 05847W 8427 01559 0086 +166 +121 135036 037 018 001 00
062500 1418N 05847W 8433 01552 0087 +164 +121 135036 039 020 002 00
062530 1420N 05846W 8430 01556 0088 +161 +121 132036 037 023 000 00
$$
URNT15 KNHC 030624
AF302 0205A ERNESTO HDOB 14 20120803
061600 1345N 05849W 8430 01555 0075 +179 +137 146027 027 024 001 00
061630 1347N 05849W 8430 01553 0080 +172 +137 144028 029 021 002 00
061700 1349N 05848W 8429 01556 0081 +168 +136 141030 031 018 001 00
061730 1350N 05848W 8431 01552 0084 +165 +136 141032 032 017 001 00
061800 1352N 05848W 8433 01552 0084 +166 +134 142031 031 017 001 00
061830 1354N 05848W 8429 01556 0082 +165 +133 142032 032 018 000 00
061900 1356N 05848W 8429 01555 0081 +168 +131 143032 033 018 001 00
061930 1358N 05848W 8430 01552 0081 +165 +129 143033 033 020 000 00
062000 1400N 05848W 8430 01552 0082 +165 +128 140034 034 021 001 00
062030 1401N 05848W 8425 01561 0092 +151 +127 134035 036 023 002 00
062100 1403N 05848W 8429 01555 0088 +156 +125 133034 035 017 001 00
062130 1405N 05847W 8430 01552 0084 +163 +122 132035 036 019 002 00
062200 1407N 05847W 8432 01551 0082 +165 +120 135037 038 020 002 00
062230 1409N 05847W 8429 01553 0085 +163 +120 133038 039 019 001 00
062300 1411N 05847W 8429 01556 0083 +167 +120 132038 040 019 000 00
062330 1412N 05847W 8428 01556 0082 +168 +120 131038 040 015 002 00
062400 1414N 05847W 8425 01559 0085 +165 +120 135038 039 019 001 00
062430 1416N 05847W 8427 01559 0086 +166 +121 135036 037 018 001 00
062500 1418N 05847W 8433 01552 0087 +164 +121 135036 039 020 002 00
062530 1420N 05846W 8430 01556 0088 +161 +121 132036 037 023 000 00
$$
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Re: ATL: ERNESTO - Models
BTW- the 00Z CMC long range sticks a cat 3 right into the upper texas coast.....thank goodness its in the long range....that would be devestating....
http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... TNA204.gif
http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... TNA204.gif
Last edited by ROCK on Fri Aug 03, 2012 1:41 am, edited 1 time in total.
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- Hurricane Alexis
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Re: ATL: ERNESTO - Models
ROCK wrote:http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/euro/00zeurotropical850mbVortSLP096.gif
96hr heading towards the Yucatan ...very similar to the GFS
120hr....still heading to Yuc
http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... SLP120.gif
144hr not much to see dying over the Yucatan
http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... SLP144.gif
Doesn't even sense the weakness like in previous runs.
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Re: ATL: ERNESTO - Models
very similar to the GFS in some respects...they might throw it out since it didnt initilize well....
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- Hurricane Alexis
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Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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