Caribbean - Central America Weather

[abajan]

Well, Ernesto brought some stronger winds and occasional gusts but very little rain to the north of St Lucia - we have certainly had much greater impact from passing waves. Reports from elsewhere in the country are comparable, so unless the South / South East report more of an impact, Ernesto has had little impact. Whether the tail offers more others may be able to say. Hopefully, the rest of the Caribbean and CONUS will also be spared any serious impact.

Indeed the tail does have a punch, although not of the severity of Tomas. Only within the last 15 minutes have I experienced the strongest gusts (well in excess of the tropical storm threshold) here in the south of Barbados. Knowing that you're over 100 miles WNW of my location, you'd better not relax just yet!

Hi Abajan, yes you are too right! Wish I knew where this storm was in reality as the tail seems to have more sting than the centre. When I see the storm is well to our west I keep wondering when this wind will die down. Still having strong gusts of wind here and occasional strong showers and Bajan Radar is showing much more to come.

Are you all going to manage to celebrate cropover this weekend?

Apparently, it's a fairly vigorous feeder band that's causing these strong wind gusts (and occasionally heavy rains).

Except for the Pick-O-De-Crop Finals (calypso "kaiso" competition) slated for tonight, whose venue had to be switched from Kensington Oval to the Garfield Sobers Sporting Complex, Crop Over events this weekend shouldn't be too adversely affected. So, yuh coming down to jump up pon Kadooment Day?

[CrazyC83]

St. Lucia had a gust to 63 mph I believe though...

[Jimsot]

Very squally weather occuring right now on the south east coast of Anguilla, probably messing up our steak dinner outside.

[cycloneye]

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
211 PM AST FRI AUG 3 2012

.SYNOPSIS...AT 2 PM AST...TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 13.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 62.3 WEST AND WAS MOVING TOWARD
THE WEST AT NEAR 21 MPH. ERNESTO IS EXPECTED TO MOVE GENERALLY
WEST FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...WITH A GRADUAL DECREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...ERNESTO WILL MOVE ACROSS
THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN OVERNIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY...BRINGING OUTER
BANDS OF MOISTURE TO THE LOCAL AREA...WITH CLOUDINESS...SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS AND INCREASINGLY BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS..

UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE WILL REMAIN IN PLACE ACROSS THE
NORTHEASTERN CARIBBEAN THROUGH AT LEAST SATURDAY. IT IS THEN EXPECTED
TO GRADUALLY ERODE LATE SUNDAY INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK...AS TUTT AND
ASSOCIATED LOW ACROSS THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC RETROGRESSES WESTWARD
OVER THE REGION. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE NORTH OF THE AREA AND TROPICAL
STORM ERNESTO NOW ENTERING THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN WILL MAINTAIN AN
EAST TO NORTHEAST WIND FLOW ACROSS THE REGION. THIS WILL RESULT IN
THE SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT RAPIDLY TIGHTENING OVERNIGHT THROUGH
SATURDAY. LATEST VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND BLENDED TOTAL PRECIPITABLE
WATER SHOWED THAT MID TO UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE ACROSS THE NORTHEAST
HAS BEGUN TO INCREASE DURING THE AFTERNOON IN ADVANCE OF THE TROPICAL
STORM.

&&

.DISCUSSION...OVERALL FAIR AND STABLE WEATHER CONDITIONS DOMINATED
THE LOCAL AREA TODAY AS HIGH PRESSURE RIDGING AND SUBSIDENCE IN
ADVANCE OF TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO LIMITED SHOWER DEVELOPMENT. EXPECT
PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES TO VARIABLY CLOUDY DURING THE EARLY EVENING WITH
INCREASING CLOUDINESS AND DETERIORATING CONDITIONS LATER THIS
EVENING AND OVERNIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY AS ERNESTO AND ASSOCIATED
MOISTURE FIELD SPREADS ACROSS THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN. THE TIGHTENING
OF THE LOCAL PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL BRING BREEZY TO LOCALLY WINDY
CONDITIONS TO THE REGION. IN ADDITION...DEEP MOISTURE ALONG THE
NORTH AND EAST PERIPHERY OF THE TROPICAL STORM WILL BE LIFTED UP
ACROSS THE AREA...INCREASING THE CHANCES FOR ACTIVE AND INCLEMENT
WEATHER CONDITIONS.

BASED ON PRESENT LATEST MODEL GUIDANCE...EXPECT THESE CONDITIONS
TO BEGIN DURING THE EARLY EVENING ACROSS THE NORTHERN LEEWARD AND
VIRGIN ISLANDS. THEREAFTER...IT WILL PROGRESSIVELY INCREASE IN
COVERAGE AND SPREAD WEST AND NORTH ACROSS PUERTO RICO AND ADJACENT
ISLANDS ON SATURDAY. INFREQUENT BURSTS OF GUSTY WINDS AND LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL MAY OCCUR FROM TIME TO TIME OVERNIGHT ACROSS THE
COASTAL WATERS AND THE COASTAL SECTIONS OF THE ISLANDS.HOWEVER...
THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL IS EXPECTED EARLY SATURDAY MORNING AND CONTINUING
INTO EARLY SUNDAY. DURING THAT TIME...PERIODS OF NUMEROUS SHOWERS
WITH EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS ALONG WITH SQUALLS ACCOMPANYING
THE BANDS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

&&

.AVIATION...TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE SOUTH OF
THE LOCAL ISLANDS THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY. SOME OF THE OUTER
BANDS WILL AFFECT THE VI TAF SITES LATE THIS EVENING SPREADING
OVER PR TOMORROW MORNING. LLVL WINDS WILL REMAIN FROM THE NORTHEAST
THRU TONIGHT...VEERING FROM THE EAST TO SOUTHEAST EARLY SATURDAY
THRU SUNDAY. SFC WINDS OF 15 TO 25 KTS WITH HIGHER GUSTS UP TO 40
KTS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE DURG THE NEXT 24-48 HRS DURG PASSAGE OF
TS ERNESTO.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 88 78 87 78 / 50 80 80 60
STT 81 79 88 79 / 50 50 50 30

[knotimpaired]

Wow. Check out the local radar Luis. We are getting the first feeder bands from Ernesto and now we are in a large special marine warning....

[cycloneye]

Wow. Check out the local radar Luis. We are getting the first feeder bands from Ernesto and now we are in a large special marine warning....

I moved the post to this thread that is better to discuss this. Yes,that band will come very soon to mainland PR.

[greenkat]

Wow. Check out the local radar Luis. We are getting the first feeder bands from Ernesto and now we are in a large special marine warning....

I moved the post to this thread that is better to discuss this. Yes,that band will come very soon to mainland PR.

Yup, Ernesto's coming your way.

[Gustywind]

WEATHER. Return to the yellow to the departure of Ernesto
franceantilles.fr 03.08.2012
http://www.microsofttranslator.com/bv.a ... 180730.php


The center of tropical storm "Ernesto" continues to move away in the Caribbean Sea. It rains frequently during the evening with sometimes even stormy a little more sustained passages. Sea conditions remain difficult.
The center of tropical storm "Ernesto" continues to move away in the Caribbean Sea. It is now (at 6 p.m.) about 350 km southwest of our coasts. Frequent and occasionally stormy rains that parade since this morning, gave rain rollups moderate, up to 50 litres of water per square meter on the Basse-Terre and 70 on la Désirade. The sea is high with average dips of 2.70 m by swell of East-South-East, recorded at the great lookout.
It rains frequently during the evening with sometimes even stormy a little more sustained passages. Accumulations of rain expected can reach 50 to 80 litres of water per m2 locally.
Sea conditions are delicate evening with average lows between 2 m 50 and 3 m in a swell of East-South-East. The Sea began to depreciate in second part of night.

[CrazyC83]

Next in line is Jamaica.

[cycloneye]

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
1021 PM AST FRI AUG 3 2012

.UPDATE...A FLASH FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR EASTERN PUERTO
RICO FROM 2 AM SATURDAY TO 2 PM SATURDAY. CONSIDERING DIFFERENT
QPF FORECASTS INCLUDING HPC AND GFS MODEL SHOW THIS AREA WITH AT
LEAST 2 INCHES OF PRECIPITATION FOR THAT AREA DURING THAT TIME...AND
ALSO CONSIDERING THE LOCAL HYDROLOGIC EFFECTS BASED ON THE
DURATION AND INTENSITY OF EXPECTED WEATHER. IT WAS DECIDED TO
ISSUE THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR THAT AREA AND NOT OTHER PORTIONS
OF THE ISLAND. THAT HOWEVER DOES NOT MEAN THAT THE OTHER AREAS
WILL NOT RECEIVE RAIN...BUT FLASH FLOODING IS NOT ANTICIPATED FOR
THOSE AREAS AT THIS TIME.

A LINE OF SHOWERS WITH GUSTY WINDS MOVED ACROSS THE LOCAL ISLANDS
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE SAINT THOMAS AIRPORT REPORTED 43
MPH WIND GUST WHILE SAINT CROIX REPORTED 36 MPH WIND GUST ABOUT 2
HOURS EARLIER AND SAN JUAN REPORTED 35 MPH WIND GUST WITH THAT
SAME LINE OF SHOWERS. THIS LINE HAS BEEN MOVING WESTWARD THROUGH
THE EVENING HOURS. HOWEVER...RAINFALL TOTALS HAVE NOT BEEN TOO
IMPRESSIVE DUE TO HOW QUICKLY THE SHOWERS ARE MOVING. THE USVI
REPORTED ABOUT A TENTH TO 2 TENTHS OF RAIN AND SAN JUAN ONLY
OBSERVED 0.02 INCHES OF RAIN.

WEATHER AND MARINE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
DETERIORATING THROUGH THE NIGHT AND INTO THE MORNING HOURS.
QUICK MOVING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME MORE
NUMEROUS AS TIME GOES BY. BUOY 42060 IS REPORTING PERSISTENT
SUSTAINED WINDS OF AT LEAST 25 KNOTS OR HIGHER WITH WAVE HEIGHTS
NOW UP TO 10 FEET AND A PERIOD OF AROUND 5 SECONDS. THIS IS THE
BEHAVIOR WE EXPECT FOR OUR LOCAL WATERS AS TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO
CONTINUES TO MOVE RAPIDLY TO THE WEST.

[Gustywind]

Tropical Activity

[Gustywind]

Hi my friends. Looks like Ernesto has not bring significant damages in the Lesser Antilles especially the Windwards islands, that's very good news ... even if in Martinica i heard that a man was died electocute . Condoleance to the family.
Staying in Martinica (who backoff the yellow alert, back to green code ), here is a recap of Ernesto ( see below ): http://www.meteo.fr/temps/domtom/antill ... ivi_ma.pdf (french version ).

Actual synopsis:
Today the sky is still crowded at sunrise of the day with a few showers.The wind remains sensitive gusting to 70 km/h in the heights. At low altitude, he has returned to moderate.
At sea, the situation has normalized, average waves are lower than 2 meters in the Atlantic. A little chop agitated the Caribbean coast.

Forecast: improvement built quickly. The sky remains veiled but the rain will cease.

Balance sheet/Encrypted datas: The passage of Ernesto on the Martinque brang rainfall of 30 to 50 mm. These are modest values for a tropical storm. So it did not had reactionwater.The winds were more dangerous, with winds gusting to 80 km/h in plain, locally more than 110 km/h in the mountains and on the Atlantic coast. At sea measured average lows reached 3 m and the hollow maxi 5 m.

Comments/Consequences: Ernesto crossed Martinica with moderate effects.

[Gustywind]

Hi my friends. Looks like Ernesto has not bring significant damages in the Lesser Antilles especially the Windwards islands, that's very good news ... even if in Martinica i heard that a man was died electocute . Condoleance to the family.
Staying in Martinica (who backoff the yellow alert, back to green code ), here is a recap of Ernesto ( see below ): http://www.meteo.fr/temps/domtom/antill ... ivi_ma.pdf (french version ).

Actual synopsis:
Today the sky is still crowded at sunrise of the day with a few showers.The wind remains sensitive gusting to 70 km/h in the heights. At low altitude, he has returned to moderate.
At sea, the situation has normalized, average waves are lower than 2 meters in the Atlantic. A little chop agitated the Caribbean coast.

Forecasts: improvement built quickly. The sky remains veiled but the rain will cease.

Balance sheet/Encrypted datas: The passage of Ernesto on the Martinque brang rainfall of 30 to 50 mm. These are modest values for a tropical storm. So it did not had reactionwater.The winds were more dangerous, with winds gusting to 80 km/h in plain, locally more than 110 km/h in the mountains and on the Atlantic coast. At sea measured average lows reached 3 m and the hollow maxi 5 m.

Comments/Consequences: Ernesto crossed Martinica with moderate effects.

[cycloneye]

Good morning. After today,things will dry out in PR.

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
629 AM AST SAT AUG 4 2012

.SYNOPSIS...AT 5 AM AST...TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 14.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 67.2 WEST AND WAS MOVING TOWARD
THE WEST AT NEAR 18 MPH. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...
ERNESTO WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN
SEA TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT AND THEN AWAY FROM THE LOCAL REGION
SUNDAY. BEHIND THIS FEATURE...A MID TO UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL
BECOME THE MAIN WEATHER FEATURE LOCALLY FOR SUNDAY AND MONDAY. A
TUTT WILL RETROGRESS TO THE SOUTHWEST TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT
AND THEN BECOME LOCATED JUST WEST THROUGH NORTHWEST OF THE LOCAL
AREA WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.

&&

.DISCUSSION...HAD A COUPLE OF VERY SQUALLY BANDS OF SHOWERS AND
EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS RACE WEST NORTHWEST ACROSS THE LOCAL
ISLANDS OVERNIGHT...WITH SEVERAL CONFIRMED REPORTS OF 40 MPH GUSTS
AT TIST...TJNR AND TJSJ. RAINFALL AMOUNTS HAVE BEEN BRIEFLY HEAVY
IN A FEW LOCATIONS...BUT SO FAR NO REAL FLOODING. FOR TODAY...BEST
MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY APPEARS TO BE ACROSS THE FA THIS
MORNING...WITH GRADUAL DRYING EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON. THAT SAID...
STILL EXPECT OUTER FRINGE RAIN BANDS OF ERNESTO TO CONTINUE TO
SKIRT THE LOCAL ISLANDS AND ESPECIALLY THE CARIBBEAN WATERS
THROUGH MUCH OF TODAY...WITH OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES AND SQUALLS
RESULTING IN ADDITIONAL ROUNDS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH
GUSTY WINDS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL. GIVEN THAT BEST MOISTURE
HAS PROBABLY PEAKED ALREADY...CELL MOVEMENT REMAINS RATHER QUICK
AND ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT OVER LAND THIS AFTERNOON MAY BE SLOWED
DUE TO CLOUDINESS...FEEL THAT THE THREAT OF SIGNIFICANT FLOODING
IS DIMINISHING...BUT SOME URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOODING IS
CERTAINLY A POSSIBILITY. HOWEVER...OPTED TO LEAVE FLASH FLOOD
WATCH IN PLACE FOR ROUGHLY THE EASTERN THIRD OF PUERTO RICO
THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON.

OVERALL DRYING CONTINUES FOR TONIGHT AND A GENERALLY FAIR AND
MAINLY DRY PATTERN IS INDICATED FOR SUNDAY AND MONDAY. HOWEVER...
THERE WILL BE SOME LOCALIZED CONVECTION EACH AFTERNOON.
THEREAFTER...THE AFOREMENTIONED RETROGRESSING TUTT AND A WEAK
TROPICAL WAVE PASSING ACROSS OR JUST SOUTH OF THE LOCAL AREA
DURING THE TUESDAY/TUESDAY NIGHT TO WEDNESDAY TIME FRAME...MAY
EVENTUALLY INTERACT TO PRODUCE A BIT MORE UNSETTLED SPELL OF
WEATHER.

&&

.AVIATION...GENERALLY EXPECT PREVAILING VFR CONDITIONS ACROSS THE
LOCAL ISLANDS AND AT MOST TAF SITES DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
HOWEVER...OCCASIONAL BANDS OF SHOWERS AND EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS
WILL AFFECT SOME OF THE TAF SITES...PARTICULARLY OVER PUERTO RICO
THROUGH TODAY...PRODUCING SQUALLY CONDITIONS WITH ROUNDS OF MVFR
AND LOCAL IFR CONDITIONS...MOUNTAIN OBSCURATIONS AND SURFACE WIND
GUSTS TO AT LEAST 35 KNOTS.

&&

.MARINE...FRESH TO STRONG WINDS AND HAZARDOUS SEAS ARE EXPECTED
ACROSS ALL OF THE LOCAL COASTAL WATERS THROUGH AT LEAST LATE
TONIGHT...WITH CONDITIONS IMPROVING SIGNIFICANTLY FOR LATER
SUNDAY AND BEYOND. FOR SPECIFIC MARINE CONDITIONS...PLEASE REFER
TO OUR LOCAL MARINE PRODUCTS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 87 79 89 79 / 70 20 20 20
STT 88 79 91 80 / 50 20 20 20

[cycloneye]

Hi my friends. Looks like Ernesto has not bring significant damages in the Lesser Antilles especially the Windwards islands, that's very good news ... even if in Martinica i heard that a man was died electocute . Condoleance to the family.
Staying in Martinica (who backoff the yellow alert, back to green code ), here is a recap of Ernesto ( see below ): http://www.meteo.fr/temps/domtom/antill ... ivi_ma.pdf (french version ).

Actual synopsis:
Today the sky is still crowded at sunrise of the day with a few showers.The wind remains sensitive gusting to 70 km/h in the heights. At low altitude, he has returned to moderate.
At sea, the situation has normalized, average waves are lower than 2 meters in the Atlantic. A little chop agitated the Caribbean coast.

Forecast: improvement built quickly. The sky remains veiled but the rain will cease.

Balance sheet/Encrypted datas: The passage of Ernesto on the Martinque brang rainfall of 30 to 50 mm. These are modest values for a tropical storm. So it did not had reactionwater.The winds were more dangerous, with winds gusting to 80 km/h in plain, locally more than 110 km/h in the mountains and on the Atlantic coast. At sea measured average lows reached 3 m and the hollow maxi 5 m.

Comments/Consequences: Ernesto crossed Martinica with moderate effects.

Very good news from that island. Let's hope that Jamaica doesn't have big problems as Ernesto tracks near that island.

[cycloneye]

TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052012
800 AM ADT SAT AUG 04 2012

AT 8 AM ADT...1200 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF JAMAICA HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR JAMAICA.


$$
FORECASTER AVILA

[msbee]

and now here comes Florence!
It's heating up out there as the march across the Atlantic begins

[Macrocane]

I'm glad that Ernesto was not a big deal for the islands . In Central America we're watching him, especially the northern part of the region could experience some rains from the outer bands.

[Macrocane]

DROUGHT IN EL SALVADOR-UPDATE

July 2012 was the driest july on record for the southeastern part of El Salvador, but in the central and western parts the rainfall was near average. These are some of the rainfall amounts registered in El Salvador during July 2012:

Acajutla (western El Salvador)
July 2012: 264 mm/10.39 inches
Normal: 303 mm/11.93 inches

Santa Ana (western El Salvador)
July 2012: 287 mm/11.30 inches
Normal: 286 mm/11.26 inches

San Salvador (central El Salvador)
July 2012: 306 mm/12.05 inches
Normal: 328 mm/12.91 inches

San Miguel (Eastern El Salvador)
July 2012: 9 mm/0.35 inches
Normal: 198 mm/7.80 inches

La Union (Eastern El Salvador)
July 2012: 9 mm/0.35 inches
Normal: 173 mm/6.81 inches

RECORD MONTHLY HIGH IN SAN SALVADOR

The whole country experienced warmer than normal temperatures during July. San Salvador registered its hottest July temperature ever on July 30 and San Miguel had an average high 2.6°C above normal during the month. This warmer than normal temperatures are typical of El Niño years. This list shows observations from different locations.

Santa Ana
Warmest high on July 2012: 33.6°C/92.5°F
Average high on July 2012: 31.5°C/88.7°F
Normal high for July (climatology): 30.9°C/87.6°C
Record High for July: 35°C/95°F

San Salvador
Warmest high on July 2012: 34.0°C/93.2°F It was registered on July 30 2012 and broke the previous record high for July.
Average high on July 2012: 31.0°C/87.8°F
Normal high for July (climatology): 30.4°C/86.7°F
Record High for July: 33.4°C/92.1°F

San Miguel
Warmest high on July 2012: 39.6°C/103.2°F
Average high on July 2012: 37.5°C/99.5°F
Normal high for July (climatology): 34.9°C/94.8°F
Record High for July: 40.9°C/105.6°F

[Gustywind]

Hi my friends. Looks like Ernesto has not bring significant damages in the Lesser Antilles especially the Windwards islands, that's very good news ... even if in Martinica i heard that a man was died electocute . Condoleance to the family.
Staying in Martinica (who backoff the yellow alert, back to green code ), here is a recap of Ernesto ( see below ): http://www.meteo.fr/temps/domtom/antill ... ivi_ma.pdf (french version ).

Actual synopsis:
Today the sky is still crowded at sunrise of the day with a few showers.The wind remains sensitive gusting to 70 km/h in the heights. At low altitude, he has returned to moderate.
At sea, the situation has normalized, average waves are lower than 2 meters in the Atlantic. A little chop agitated the Caribbean coast.

Forecast: improvement built quickly. The sky remains veiled but the rain will cease.

Balance sheet/Encrypted datas: The passage of Ernesto on the Martinque brang rainfall of 30 to 50 mm. These are modest values for a tropical storm. So it did not had reactionwater.The winds were more dangerous, with winds gusting to 80 km/h in plain, locally more than 110 km/h in the mountains and on the Atlantic coast. At sea measured average lows reached 3 m and the hollow maxi 5 m.

Comments/Consequences: Ernesto crossed Martinica with moderate effects.

Very good news from that island. Let's hope that Jamaica doesn't have big problems as Ernesto tracks near that island.

Yeah, you're right. Thanks for your post. Keeping your fingers crossed for Jamaica too .