#2553 Postby KWT » Sat Aug 04, 2012 4:59 pm
The thing is the ECM probably doesn't even have a TC by the Yucatan landfall (its a strong wave, maybe a borderline TD) and given the ECM and the other models have hardly done a good job thus far with the intensity of Ernesto I'm not sure the models have all that good grip on the strength of the system.
Of course things can change and who knows!
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