ATL: ERNESTO - Post-Tropical

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Re: ATL: ERNESTO - Tropical Storm

#3221 Postby tolakram » Sun Aug 05, 2012 3:32 pm

Colorized version

Image
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Re: ATL: ERNESTO - Tropical Storm

#3222 Postby mcheer23 » Sun Aug 05, 2012 3:32 pm

Sure looks like its alive
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Re: ATL: ERNESTO - Tropical Storm

#3223 Postby Nederlander » Sun Aug 05, 2012 3:37 pm

Anymore recon scheduled?
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Re: ATL: ERNESTO - Tropical Storm

#3224 Postby tolakram » Sun Aug 05, 2012 3:39 pm

Latest, this time the scan made it further south.

That LLC does not look healthy IMO.

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Re: ATL: ERNESTO - Advisories

#3225 Postby cycloneye » Sun Aug 05, 2012 3:41 pm

5 AM EDT

WTNT45 KNHC 050843
TCDAT5

TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO DISCUSSION NUMBER 15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052012
500 AM EDT SUN AUG 05 2012

DATA FROM THE LATEST HURRICANE HUNTER MISSION INTO ERNESTO
SHOWED THAT THE CIRCULATION CONTINUES TO BE RATHER DISORGANIZED.
THE CENTRAL PRESSURE ROSE TO 1009 MB ON THE LAST FIX AND THE
AIRCRAFT FOUND ONLY VERY WEAK WESTERLY WINDS OF LESS THAN 5 KT NEAR
THE CENTER. THE PEAK 850-MB FLIGHT LEVEL WIND WAS 52 KT AND THE
HIGHEST SFMR WINDS WERE 40 TO 45 KT. BASED ON THESE DATA...THE
INITIAL INTENSITY IS SET TO 45 KT. WHILE THE OUTFLOW REMAINS WELL
ESTABLISHED...THE CONVECTIVE STRUCTURE OF THE CYCLONE HAS DEGRADED
OVER THE PAST 6 TO 12 HOURS. RAOB DATA FROM CURACAO...MODEL
ANALYSES AND AIRCRAFT DATA SHOW A TONGUE OF DRY AIR IN THE LOWER TO
MID-TROPOSPHERE IMPINGING ON ERNESTO FROM THE SOUTH. THIS DRY AIR
IN COMBINATION WITH SOME MID-LEVEL SHEAR ANALYZED BY UW-CIMSS MAY
BE PARTLY RESPONSIBLE FOR THE LACK OF DEVELOPMENT IN THE LAST DAY
OR SO. DESPITE OTHERWISE SEEMINGLY FAVORABLE CONDITIONS...THE GFDL
AND HWRF NOW BOTH SHOW THE CYCLONE WEAKENING DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS. THE SHIPS AND LGEM STILL SHOW INTENSIFICATION...BUT AT A
SLOWER RATE COMPARED TO THEIR PREVIOUS FORECASTS. GIVEN THESE
TRENDS...THE NEW NHC FORECAST HAS BEEN ADJUSTED DOWNWARD THROUGH 48
HOURS...BUT IS STILL ABOVE THE MULTI-MODEL CONSENSUS. AFTER THAT
TIME THERE IS STILL AN OPPORTUNITY FOR ERNESTO TO BECOME A
HURRICANE BEFORE REACHING LAND...WITH SOME RESTRENGTHENING POSSIBLE
AFTER THE CYCLONE MOVES INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO BY DAY 5.

THE LAST FEW AIRCRAFT PASSES THROUGH THE CENTER...SUCH AS IT IS...
SHOWED THAT ERNESTO HAS ACCELERATED BACK TOWARD THE WEST...WITH AN
INITIAL MOTION OF 275/19. THE INITIAL POSITION AND MOTION RESULTS
IN A SHIFT IN THE NHC TRACK OF ABOUT A HALF A DEGREE TO THE LEFT...
OR SOUTH...OF THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. APART FROM THIS ADJUSTMENT...
THERE IS NO CHANGE TO THE OVERALL FORECAST REASONING. ERNESTO IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WESTWARD FOR THE NEXT DAY OR SO AND THEN SLOW
DOWN AND TURN WEST-NORTHWESTWARD BY 48 HOURS AS A WEAKNESS DEVELOPS
IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE OVER THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO. THIS
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH THE END OF THE
PERIOD AS THE WEAKNESS PERSISTS OVER THE GULF. THE GFS...ECMWF...
AND THE GFS ENSEMBLE MEAN LIE ON THE SOUTHERN SIDE OF THE GUIDANCE
ENVELOPE...SHOWING LESS OF A NORTHWARD TURN AND A TRACK CLOSER TO
THE COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA AND INTO THE CENTRAL YUCATAN
PENINSULA. THE GFDL...UKMET AND SOME OF THE HFIP MODELS...ARE
FARTHER NORTH AND TAKE THE CYCLONE OVER THE NORTHERN YUCATAN AND
INTO THE CENTRAL GULF. THROUGH 72 HOURS THE NHC FORECAST IS CLOSE
TO THE MIDDLE OF THE GUIDANCE ENVELOPE AND THE MULTI-MODEL
CONSENSUS. AT DAYS 4 AND 5 THE OFFICIAL FORECAST HEDGES TOWARD THE
USUALLY RELIABLE GFS AND ECMWF MODELS AND IS A LITTLE SOUTH OF THE
CONSENSUS.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 05/0900Z 15.1N 74.8W 45 KT 50 MPH
12H 05/1800Z 15.3N 77.5W 45 KT 50 MPH
24H 06/0600Z 15.6N 80.1W 50 KT 60 MPH
36H 06/1800Z 16.0N 82.1W 55 KT 65 MPH
48H 07/0600Z 16.6N 83.9W 60 KT 70 MPH
72H 08/0600Z 18.5N 87.5W 75 KT 85 MPH
96H 09/0600Z 20.5N 91.0W 60 KT 70 MPH
120H 10/0600Z 21.6N 94.0W 65 KT 75 MPH

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN

11 AM EDT

WTNT45 KNHC 051445
TCDAT5

TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO DISCUSSION NUMBER 16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052012
1100 AM EDT SUN AUG 05 2012

AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT HAS BEEN INVESTIGATING
ERNESTO THIS MORNING AND FOUND THAT THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER IS LESS
WELL-DEFINED THAN IT WAS YESTERDAY. ALSO...VISIBLE SATELLITE
IMAGERY SHOWS THAT THE CENTER IS DISPLACED TO THE WEST OF MOST OF
THE DEEP CONVECTION. PRECIPITABLE WATER IMAGERY AND GLOBAL MODEL
ANALYSES INDICATE DRY LOW- TO MID-LEVEL AIR WEST AND SOUTH OF THE
TROPICAL CYCLONE...AND THIS HAS PROBABLY BEEN DISRUPTING THE
SYSTEM. ASSUMING THAT ERNESTO IS ABLE TO OVERCOME THIS UNFAVORABLE
THERMODYNAMIC FACTOR...SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE WHEN THE
FORWARD SPEED SLOWS IN A DAY OR SO. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS CLOSE
TO THE INTENSITY MODEL CONSENSUS BUT CONTINUES TO BE BELOW THE
STATISTICAL-DYNAMICAL LGEM/SHIPS GUIDANCE. THE LATTER HAS BEEN
SHOWING SOMEWHAT OF A HIGH BIAS FOR THIS SYSTEM. THE GFS MODEL
CONTINUES TO SHOW NO STRENGTHENING.

THE STORM CONTINUES TO MOVE SWIFTLY TOWARD THE WEST...AT A FORWARD
SPEED OF AT LEAST 20 KT. GLOBAL MODELS INDICATE THAT THE MID-LEVEL
RIDGE TO THE NORTH OF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL WEAKEN IN A DAY OR
TWO...WHICH SHOULD CAUSE THE FORWARD MOTION TO DECELERATE. MOST OF
THE TRACK GUIDANCE...AND THE OFFICIAL FORECAST...SHOWS A TURN
TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST IN A DAY OR SO. A MID-TROPOSPHERIC
TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN U.S. IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN THE RIDGE A
LITTLE MORE OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO IN A FEW DAYS. ALTHOUGH THE
GFDL AND U.K. MET MODEL FORECASTS SHOW A MOTION TOWARD THE
NORTHWEST GULF COAST IN THE LATTER PART OF THE FORECAST
PERIOD...THE TROUGH IS NOT EXPECTED TO WEAKEN THE RIDGE ENOUGH TO
CAUSE A SIGNIFICANT NORTHWARD TURN. THIS IS CONFIRMED BY THE GFS
AND ECMWF RUNS...AND IN FACT THE LATEST GFS FORECAST BARELY BRINGS
THE TROPICAL CYCLONE INTO THE GULF. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS A
LITTLE SOUTH OF THE PREVIOUS ONE...AND CLOSE TO THE ECMWF TRACK.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 05/1500Z 15.0N 77.1W 45 KT 50 MPH
12H 06/0000Z 15.0N 79.4W 45 KT 50 MPH
24H 06/1200Z 15.4N 81.8W 45 KT 50 MPH
36H 07/0000Z 15.9N 83.6W 50 KT 60 MPH
48H 07/1200Z 16.5N 85.3W 55 KT 65 MPH
72H 08/1200Z 18.0N 89.0W 55 KT 65 MPH...INLAND
96H 09/1200Z 20.0N 92.5W 50 KT 60 MPH
120H 10/1200Z 21.5N 96.0W 65 KT 75 MPH

$$
FORECASTER PASCH/ROBERTS
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Re: ATL: ERNESTO - Advisories

#3226 Postby cycloneye » Sun Aug 05, 2012 3:42 pm

WTNT35 KNHC 052035
TCPAT5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO ADVISORY NUMBER 17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052012
500 PM EDT SUN AUG 05 2012

...ERNESTO MOVING A LITTLE MORE SLOWLY TOWARD THE WEST...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.3N 78.6W
ABOUT 220 MI...355 KM SSW OF KINGSTON JAMAICA
ABOUT 305 MI...495 KM E OF CABO GRACIAS A DIOS ON NIC/HON BORDER
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 20 MPH...32 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* JAMAICA

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* GRAND CAYMAN
* THE COAST OF HONDURAS FROM THE HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER WESTWARD
TO PUNTA CASTILLA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 12
HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 TO 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS IN BELIZE AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ERNESTO.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 78.6 WEST. ERNESTO IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 20 MPH...32 KM/H...AND A GRADUAL TURN
TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST WITH A FURTHER DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED
IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE
CENTER OF ERNESTO IS EXPECTED TO PASS TO THE SOUTH OF THE CAYMAN
ISLANDS TONIGHT AND EARLY MONDAY AND MOVE NORTH OF THE NORTHEASTERN
COAST OF HONDURAS LATE MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST AS ERNESTO MOVES OVER THE
WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA ON MONDAY AND TUESDAY.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 125 MILES...205 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN JAMAICA THROUGH
THIS EVENING. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN GRAND
CAYMAN TONIGHT AND EARLY MONDAY...AND IN THE WATCH AREA ALONG THE
COAST OF HONDURAS BY LATE MONDAY.

RAINFALL...RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED
HIGHER AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED IN JAMAICA AS ERNESTO MOVES BY THE
ISLAND.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 PM EDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER PASCH/ROBERTS



WTNT45 KNHC 052039
TCDAT5

TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO DISCUSSION NUMBER 17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052012
500 PM EDT SUN AUG 05 2012

ASIDE FROM A SMALL BURST OF THUNDERSTORMS JUST EAST AND SOUTHEAST
OF THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER...MOST OF THE DEEP CONVECTION IS IN
DISORGANIZED PATCHES WELL TO THE EAST-NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER.
DRY AIR IN THE LOW- TO MID-LEVELS HAS BEEN DISRUPTING THE
STORM...ALONG WITH SOME SOUTH-SOUTHWESTERLY VERTICAL SHEAR.
HOWEVER...THE SHEAR APPEARS TO BE ABATING RECENTLY AND...ASSUMING
THAT ERNESTO WILL BE ABLE TO OVERCOME THE UNFAVORABLE
THERMODYNAMICS...SOME STRENGTHENING SHOULD COMMENCE WITHIN A DAY
OR SO. ONCE AGAIN...THE STATISTICAL-DYNAMICAL LGEM/SHIPS GUIDANCE
SHOWS SIGNIFICANT STRENGTHENING WITHIN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. GIVEN THE
CURRENT ORGANIZATION AND APPEARANCE OF THE STORM...THIS SEEMS
DUBIOUS. THE OFFICIAL INTENSITY FORECAST IS CLOSE TO THE LATEST
HFIP INTENSITY MODEL CONSENSUS.

THE ANTICIPATED DECELERATION IS FINALLY OCCURRING AND THE INITIAL
MOTION ESTIMATE IS 280/17. THERE IS LITTLE CHANGE IN THE TRACK
FORECAST REASONING FROM THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY PACKAGE. A
MID-TROPOSPHERIC SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE NORTH OF ERNESTO IS
PREDICTED TO WEAKEN SOMEWHAT AS A TROUGH DIPS OVER THE EASTERN
UNITED STATES DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS. AS A RESULT...THE TROPICAL
CYCLONE SHOULD TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST WITH A FURTHER
REDUCTION IN FORWARD SPEED OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO. MOST OF THE
MODELS ARE IN AGREEMENT THAT THE RIDGE WILL NOT WEAKEN ENOUGH TO
RESULT IN ERNESTO TURNING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST GULF COAST IN THE
LATTER PART OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. IN FACT...THE GFS AND ITS
ENSEMBLE MEAN...AS WELL AS THE LATEST ECMWF...ARE SOUTH OF THIS
OFFICIAL TRACK FORECAST.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 05/2100Z 15.3N 78.6W 45 KT 50 MPH
12H 06/0600Z 15.5N 80.8W 45 KT 50 MPH
24H 06/1800Z 16.0N 82.8W 50 KT 60 MPH
36H 07/0600Z 16.7N 84.7W 55 KT 65 MPH
48H 07/1800Z 17.5N 86.6W 60 KT 70 MPH
72H 08/1800Z 19.0N 90.5W 40 KT 45 MPH...INLAND
96H 09/1800Z 20.5N 94.5W 55 KT 65 MPH
120H 10/1800Z 21.5N 97.5W 70 KT 80 MPH

$$
FORECASTER PASCH/ROBERTS
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#3227 Postby Hurricane_Luis » Sun Aug 05, 2012 3:53 pm

Tropical Storm ERNESTO Public Advisory

Home Public Adv Fcst Adv Discussion Wind Probs Graphics Archive

000
WTNT35 KNHC 052035
TCPAT5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO ADVISORY NUMBER 17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052012
500 PM EDT SUN AUG 05 2012

...ERNESTO MOVING A LITTLE MORE SLOWLY TOWARD THE WEST...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.3N 78.6W
ABOUT 220 MI...355 KM SSW OF KINGSTON JAMAICA
ABOUT 305 MI...495 KM E OF CABO GRACIAS A DIOS ON NIC/HON BORDER
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 20 MPH...32 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES
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#3228 Postby Dave » Sun Aug 05, 2012 3:54 pm

Tomorrow (Monday) Recon Schedule...

First flight - 0830 Z then 2015 Z for the 2nd one.

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAREPRPD_last.shtml
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Re: ATL: ERNESTO - Tropical Storm

#3229 Postby Portastorm » Sun Aug 05, 2012 3:57 pm

:uarrow:

FYI, Hurricane_Luis, we have a separate thread for advisories on Ernesto. Please look/post here.

http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic.php?f=59&t=113198&hilit=&start=20
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Re: ATL: ERNESTO - Tropical Storm

#3230 Postby Hurricane Alexis » Sun Aug 05, 2012 3:58 pm

Excerpt from 5pm discussion

ASIDE FROM A SMALL BURST OF THUNDERSTORMS JUST EAST AND SOUTHEAST
OF THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER...MOST OF THE DEEP CONVECTION IS IN
DISORGANIZED PATCHES WELL TO THE EAST-NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER.
DRY AIR IN THE LOW- TO MID-LEVELS HAS BEEN DISRUPTING THE
STORM...ALONG WITH SOME SOUTH-SOUTHWESTERLY VERTICAL SHEAR.
HOWEVER...THE SHEAR APPEARS TO BE ABATING RECENTLY AND...ASSUMING
THAT ERNESTO WILL BE ABLE TO OVERCOME THE UNFAVORABLE
THERMODYNAMICS...SOME STRENGTHENING SHOULD COMMENCE WITHIN A DAY
OR SO. ONCE AGAIN...THE STATISTICAL-DYNAMICAL LGEM/SHIPS GUIDANCE
SHOWS SIGNIFICANT STRENGTHENING WITHIN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. GIVEN THE
CURRENT ORGANIZATION AND APPEARANCE OF THE STORM...THIS SEEMS
DUBIOUS. THE OFFICIAL INTENSITY FORECAST IS CLOSE TO THE LATEST
HFIP INTENSITY MODEL CONSENSUS.
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#3231 Postby Hurricane Andrew » Sun Aug 05, 2012 3:58 pm

Can I have a link to that sat?
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Re: ATL: ERNESTO - Tropical Storm

#3232 Postby mcheer23 » Sun Aug 05, 2012 4:01 pm

NHC kills it off to 45mph then quickly strengthens it from 45-60-85 hmm...
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Re:

#3233 Postby tolakram » Sun Aug 05, 2012 4:05 pm

Hurricane Andrew wrote:Can I have a link to that sat?


It's from the GOES ftp server

ftp://goes.gsfc.nasa.gov/pub/goeseast/

I'm using images in the central america folder.
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#3234 Postby Hurricane Andrew » Sun Aug 05, 2012 4:11 pm

I can post the HDOBs.
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#3235 Postby Dave » Sun Aug 05, 2012 4:15 pm

AF 309 on runway....I can work a couple hours then will have to take off an hour or so tonight to do a few things.


000
URNT15 KNHC 052109
AF309 0705A ERNESTO HDOB 02 20120805
210100 1742N 06448W 0157 00005 0162 +305 +282 360000 000 /// /// 03
210130 1742N 06448W 0155 00005 0162 +303 +280 360000 000 /// /// 03
210200 1742N 06448W 0155 00006 0162 +300 +278 360000 000 /// /// 03
210230 1742N 06448W 0155 00005 0162 +300 +275 360000 000 /// /// 03
210300 1742N 06448W 0156 00006 0163 +300 +271 360000 000 /// /// 03
210330 1742N 06448W 0155 00006 0164 +300 +267 360000 000 /// /// 03
210400 1742N 06448W 0156 00005 0162 +299 +263 360000 000 /// /// 03
210430 1742N 06448W 0155 ///// 0157 +295 +260 360000 000 /// /// 23
210500 1742N 06448W 0155 ///// 0153 +295 +256 360000 000 /// /// 23
210530 1742N 06448W 0156 ///// 0156 +295 +253 360000 000 /// /// 23
210600 1742N 06448W 0155 00001 0159 +295 +251 360000 000 /// /// 03
210630 1742N 06448W 0157 00002 0160 +295 +248 360000 000 /// /// 03
210700 1742N 06447W 0157 00004 0162 +292 +246 360000 000 /// /// 03
210730 1742N 06447W 0155 00005 0162 +289 +244 360000 000 /// /// 03
210800 1742N 06448W 0155 00006 0163 +291 +242 360000 000 /// /// 03
210830 1742N 06448W 0154 00007 0163 +295 +239 360000 000 /// /// 03
210900 1742N 06448W 0155 00006 0163 +295 +237 360000 000 /// /// 03
210930 1742N 06448W 0155 00006 0163 +295 +236 360000 000 /// /// 03
211000 1742N 06448W 0154 00007 0163 +295 +235 360000 000 /// /// 03
211030 1742N 06448W 0153 00008 0163 +295 +234 360000 000 /// /// 03
$$
;
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Re:

#3236 Postby Dave » Sun Aug 05, 2012 4:18 pm

Hurricane Andrew wrote:I can post the HDOBs.


I'll get you out to the storm...then around 7 pm I need to break for about an hour to get a couple things that have to be done..done...that makes sense I know but I just woke up. lol

Need graphics from someone if you would please.
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#3237 Postby Dave » Sun Aug 05, 2012 4:24 pm

And take off...enroute to Ernesto...

000
URNT15 KNHC 052119
AF309 0705A ERNESTO HDOB 03 20120805
211100 1742N 06448W 0150 00013 0166 +293 +234 360000 000 /// /// 03
211130 1742N 06448W 0149 00014 0165 +290 +231 360000 000 /// /// 03
211200 1742N 06449W 0145 00017 0166 +287 +230 360000 000 /// /// 03
211230 1742N 06449W 0142 00019 0166 +285 +228 360000 000 /// /// 03
211300 1742N 06449W 0133 00022 0159 +297 +226 360000 000 /// /// 03
211330 1742N 06449W 0141 00019 0163 +297 +225 360000 000 /// /// 03
211400 1742N 06449W 0134 00018 0158 +288 +222 106004 012 /// /// 03
211430 1742N 06448W 0101 00034 0151 +280 +219 100013 016 /// /// 03
211500 1742N 06447W 9910 00212 0151 +261 +208 087014 016 /// /// 03
211530 1741N 06446W 9710 00392 0153 +240 +192 068017 018 /// /// 03
211600 1740N 06448W 9449 00633 0155 +225 +179 069020 021 /// /// 03
211630 1740N 06450W 9137 00927 0160 +205 +164 072022 023 /// /// 03
211700 1739N 06452W 8850 01208 0167 +186 +146 074023 023 /// /// 03
211730 1738N 06454W 8574 01480 0165 +172 +129 077021 023 /// /// 03
211800 1738N 06456W 8262 01794 0151 +172 +115 082021 023 /// /// 03
211830 1737N 06458W 7999 02075 0142 +171 +106 077022 023 /// /// 03
211900 1736N 06500W 7792 02295 0134 +162 +096 078021 021 /// /// 03
211930 1736N 06502W 7556 02553 0130 +148 +086 081020 021 /// /// 03
212000 1735N 06504W 7357 02782 0132 +134 +076 085019 020 /// /// 03
212030 1734N 06506W 7154 03012 0132 +116 +066 085019 020 /// /// 03
$$
;
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jonj2040
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#3238 Postby jonj2040 » Sun Aug 05, 2012 4:25 pm

I can cover Graphics for a while
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I am just an amateur and a "noob" at that so any speculations that I have made are just that, uneducated speculations. Please refer to the NHC for accurate information.
Thank you all for your thoughts, I've loved reading through this community since '06 and finally decided to post more actively.
-JJ :D

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Dave
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Re:

#3239 Postby Dave » Sun Aug 05, 2012 4:27 pm

jonj2040 wrote:I can cover Graphics for a while


Thanks Jonj go ahead.
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#3240 Postby Dave » Sun Aug 05, 2012 4:35 pm

000
URNT15 KNHC 052129
AF309 0705A ERNESTO HDOB 04 20120805
212100 1734N 06508W 6957 03248 0137 +098 +056 091018 019 /// /// 03
212130 1733N 06510W 6774 03467 0141 +080 +046 097019 019 /// /// 03
212200 1732N 06512W 6629 03649 0150 +065 +036 101019 019 /// /// 03
212230 1732N 06514W 6508 03802 0156 +054 +027 090018 018 /// /// 03
212300 1731N 06517W 6369 03978 0160 +041 +019 087018 018 /// /// 03
212330 1730N 06519W 6223 04167 0164 +026 +011 082019 020 /// /// 03
212400 1730N 06521W 6086 04347 0162 +015 +003 076019 019 /// /// 03
212430 1729N 06523W 5950 04522 0160 +002 -004 076020 020 /// /// 03
212500 1728N 06526W 5819 04701 0167 -010 -010 077020 021 /// /// 05
212530 1727N 06528W 5692 04876 0176 -020 -020 083019 020 /// /// 05
212600 1727N 06530W 5568 05048 0176 -030 -030 080016 019 /// /// 05
212630 1726N 06532W 5433 05241 0285 -040 -040 064012 014 /// /// 05
212700 1725N 06534W 5309 05423 0294 -040 -040 048008 012 /// /// 05
212730 1725N 06537W 5197 05590 0303 -050 -050 056006 007 /// /// 05
212800 1724N 06539W 5094 05747 0312 -080 //// 051006 007 /// /// 05
212830 1723N 06541W 4998 05894 0319 -091 //// 031008 009 /// /// 05
212900 1722N 06543W 4918 06020 0325 -095 //// 034011 012 /// /// 05
212930 1722N 06545W 4843 06137 0331 -080 -080 029013 013 /// /// 05
213000 1721N 06547W 4772 06252 0338 -090 -090 037014 014 /// /// 05
213030 1720N 06550W 4699 06373 0344 -090 -090 043013 014 /// /// 05
$$
;
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