ATL: ERNESTO - Post-Tropical

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Re: ATL: ERNESTO - Tropical Storm

#4101 Postby crimi481 » Mon Aug 06, 2012 11:22 pm

Is that a second Low center -just to west of original?
That would be reason for the core to be disrupted (seen this before)
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/carb/flash-bd.html

Or just a blow up around the original center
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Re: ATL: ERNESTO - Recon

#4102 Postby Macrocane » Mon Aug 06, 2012 11:24 pm

000
URNT15 KNHC 070420
AF303 0905A ERNESTO HDOB 42 20120807
040900 1819N 08127W 8427 01587 0119 +165 +156 125048 049 033 004 00
040930 1821N 08128W 8431 01587 0119 +165 +159 126047 048 032 005 00
041000 1823N 08129W 8431 01586 0117 +166 +165 126045 046 032 004 00
041030 1825N 08130W 8424 01591 0118 +165 +165 127047 048 032 005 00
041100 1826N 08131W 8423 01593 0118 +160 +160 127048 049 030 006 05
041130 1828N 08132W 8425 01592 0120 +166 +164 128045 047 /// /// 03
041200 1827N 08134W 8433 01584 0116 +167 +162 129045 047 026 004 00
041230 1826N 08135W 8432 01584 0117 +160 +160 129045 046 027 003 01
041300 1825N 08136W 8430 01584 0117 +160 +160 128045 046 026 004 01
041330 1824N 08138W 8429 01589 0119 +162 +155 127046 046 030 003 03
041400 1823N 08139W 8428 01587 0118 +165 +151 127046 046 030 002 03
041430 1821N 08140W 8432 01583 0117 +165 +148 125046 046 029 003 00
041500 1820N 08141W 8429 01585 0115 +165 +148 125046 046 030 003 00
041530 1819N 08143W 8430 01583 0115 +165 +152 126045 045 030 004 00
041600 1818N 08144W 8426 01587 0115 +165 +149 127047 047 031 003 00
041630 1817N 08145W 8430 01580 0115 +165 +144 127047 047 030 003 00
041700 1816N 08146W 8428 01584 0113 +168 +139 126047 048 030 004 00
041730 1814N 08147W 8430 01583 0113 +167 +130 126049 049 033 003 00
041800 1813N 08149W 8428 01583 0115 +165 +129 126048 049 033 003 00
041830 1812N 08150W 8430 01579 0112 +165 +135 125050 050 032 004 00
$$
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Re: ATL: ERNESTO - Recon

#4103 Postby littlevince » Mon Aug 06, 2012 11:26 pm

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Re: ATL: ERNESTO - Tropical Storm

#4104 Postby JamesCaneTracker » Mon Aug 06, 2012 11:26 pm

crimi481 wrote:Is that a second Low center -just to west of original?
That would be reason for the core to be disrupted (seen this before)
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/carb/flash-bd.html

Or just a blow up around the original center


It's all one big system... There is another Upper level low in the GoM though Northwest of Ernesto...
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Re: ATL: ERNESTO - Recon

#4105 Postby Macrocane » Mon Aug 06, 2012 11:34 pm

000
URNT15 KNHC 070430
AF303 0905A ERNESTO HDOB 43 20120807
041900 1811N 08151W 8430 01579 0110 +169 +128 127050 051 032 004 00
041930 1810N 08152W 8430 01576 0108 +170 +128 127051 052 034 003 00
042000 1809N 08154W 8428 01579 0107 +170 +125 127053 053 033 003 00
042030 1807N 08155W 8433 01572 0107 +170 +122 126053 054 033 003 00
042100 1806N 08156W 8429 01575 0106 +170 +121 124054 055 033 002 00
042130 1805N 08157W 8430 01575 0104 +169 +121 124055 056 033 004 00
042200 1804N 08159W 8426 01574 0104 +166 +127 122055 056 033 004 00
042230 1803N 08200W 8429 01570 0107 +150 +150 122054 057 033 004 01
042300 1801N 08201W 8432 01569 0105 +160 +149 119051 053 036 004 00
042330 1800N 08202W 8434 01565 0101 +163 +138 117056 059 037 004 00
042400 1759N 08204W 8425 01574 0101 +168 +108 116058 059 037 003 00
042430 1758N 08205W 8433 01567 0098 +172 +113 119056 058 038 005 00
042500 1757N 08206W 8429 01570 0096 +171 +123 118052 055 039 004 00
042530 1755N 08208W 8428 01566 0093 +173 +123 115048 049 039 004 00
042600 1754N 08209W 8431 01565 0092 +171 +128 115048 049 043 004 00
042630 1753N 08210W 8427 01568 0091 +173 +136 117044 047 043 004 00
042700 1752N 08211W 8429 01566 0091 +169 +148 116044 045 043 003 00
042730 1750N 08213W 8430 01564 0093 +165 +156 118043 044 046 006 00
042800 1749N 08214W 8429 01564 0091 +163 +161 117043 043 045 007 00
042830 1748N 08215W 8430 01559 0088 +165 +160 117044 044 043 006 00
$$
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Re: ATL: ERNESTO - Tropical Storm

#4106 Postby littlevince » Mon Aug 06, 2012 11:38 pm

Ernesto is getting huge, luckily for all who live on the forecasted tracks, he don't have time, nor space, or conditions to become a real monster.

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Re: ATL: ERNESTO - Recon

#4107 Postby littlevince » Mon Aug 06, 2012 11:40 pm

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Re: ATL: ERNESTO - Recon

#4108 Postby Macrocane » Mon Aug 06, 2012 11:41 pm

00
URNT15 KNHC 070438
AF303 0905A ERNESTO HDOB 44 20120807
042900 1747N 08217W 8429 01561 0089 +162 +160 118043 044 043 006 00
042930 1746N 08218W 8432 01557 0089 +160 +160 119044 045 043 006 01
043000 1744N 08219W 8429 01558 0085 +160 +160 123043 044 042 006 01
043030 1743N 08220W 8429 01556 0084 +165 +160 122044 044 041 006 00
043100 1742N 08222W 8432 01554 0086 +160 +160 121046 047 043 006 01
043130 1741N 08223W 8429 01555 0084 +160 +160 119050 051 042 007 01
043200 1740N 08224W 8432 01547 0085 +160 +160 121053 053 042 007 01
043230 1738N 08225W 8425 01553 0082 +160 +160 120055 056 042 006 01
043300 1737N 08227W 8434 01546 0081 +160 +160 122051 054 043 006 01
043330 1736N 08228W 8429 01551 0080 +160 +160 126049 051 045 007 01
043400 1735N 08229W 8424 01552 0080 +160 +160 128047 048 046 008 01
043430 1734N 08230W 8430 01545 0077 +160 +160 130051 055 046 009 01
043500 1732N 08232W 8423 01549 //// +150 //// 127052 054 047 013 01
043530 1731N 08233W 8427 01543 //// +149 //// 130048 054 048 014 01
043600 1730N 08234W 8438 01532 0070 +160 +160 133050 052 044 005 01
043630 1729N 08235W 8432 01536 0069 +160 +160 137046 048 043 010 01
043700 1728N 08236W 8425 01543 0069 +160 +160 136047 049 045 008 01
043730 1727N 08238W 8429 01533 0063 +160 +160 140047 048 046 008 01
043800 1726N 08239W 8432 01528 0058 +160 +160 144048 049 048 009 01
043830 1725N 08240W 8437 01518 //// +151 //// 146049 050 050 017 01
$$
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Re: ATL: ERNESTO - Recon

#4109 Postby littlevince » Mon Aug 06, 2012 11:48 pm

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Re: ATL: ERNESTO - Tropical Storm

#4110 Postby crimi481 » Mon Aug 06, 2012 11:48 pm

Yes - very large over all system
I do not see any dry air. Its confusing
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Re: ATL: ERNESTO - Recon

#4111 Postby Macrocane » Mon Aug 06, 2012 11:53 pm

00
URNT15 KNHC 070448
AF303 0905A ERNESTO HDOB 45 20120807
043900 1724N 08241W 8425 01530 0049 +160 +160 153049 052 054 014 01
043930 1723N 08242W 8424 01530 //// +153 //// 149052 054 051 014 01
044000 1722N 08244W 8430 01519 //// +153 //// 146052 055 050 013 01
044030 1721N 08245W 8429 01517 0044 +160 +160 148049 050 046 007 01
044100 1720N 08246W 8422 01523 0038 +160 +160 150049 050 047 010 01
044130 1719N 08247W 8433 01507 //// +158 //// 154049 050 047 010 05
044200 1718N 08249W 8425 01509 0025 +170 +170 154050 051 050 010 01
044230 1717N 08250W 8433 01495 0019 +170 +170 162051 052 053 023 05
044300 1717N 08252W 8436 01483 //// +155 //// 164053 054 056 028 01
044330 1716N 08253W 8437 01473 //// +157 //// 163055 056 053 022 01
044400 1715N 08255W 8425 01482 //// +165 //// 171049 053 055 013 01
044430 1715N 08256W 8431 01470 //// +174 //// 173038 044 055 013 01
044500 1714N 08257W 8434 01465 9969 +180 +180 173032 036 045 007 05
044530 1714N 08259W 8426 01465 9959 +190 +190 176024 028 036 004 01
044600 1713N 08301W 8424 01464 9957 +190 +190 176015 018 028 004 01
044630 1713N 08302W 8433 01454 9957 +180 +180 184009 013 024 005 05
044700 1713N 08304W 8426 01461 9955 +180 +180 178003 006 025 004 01
044730 1713N 08306W 8431 01454 9952 +191 +190 027005 007 022 004 00
044800 1713N 08307W 8424 01463 9953 +190 +190 020011 013 020 006 01
044830 1713N 08309W 8432 01461 9956 +194 +192 005018 020 020 005 03
$$
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Re: ATL: ERNESTO - Recon

#4112 Postby littlevince » Mon Aug 06, 2012 11:57 pm

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Re: ATL: ERNESTO - Recon

#4113 Postby Macrocane » Tue Aug 07, 2012 12:02 am

00
URNT15 KNHC 070458
AF303 0905A ERNESTO HDOB 46 20120807
044900 1712N 08311W 8431 01465 9962 +190 +190 351022 023 029 005 01
044930 1711N 08312W 8431 01469 9969 +190 +190 328027 029 037 004 01
045000 1709N 08312W 8424 01487 9976 +198 +187 320034 035 037 005 00
045030 1708N 08313W 8433 01485 9989 +194 +173 315035 036 037 006 00
045100 1706N 08314W 8428 01498 0004 +181 +176 314035 036 036 004 00
045130 1705N 08315W 8436 01496 0011 +178 +175 317036 036 035 005 00
045200 1704N 08317W 8432 01504 0018 +175 +172 314035 036 033 005 00
045230 1703N 08318W 8425 01514 0024 +170 +170 316034 035 032 007 01
045300 1702N 08319W 8431 01511 0028 +175 +171 317033 033 032 007 00
045330 1700N 08320W 8434 01511 0032 +174 +169 320030 032 032 007 00
045400 1659N 08321W 8427 01522 0039 +170 +170 319030 031 032 007 01
045430 1658N 08323W 8430 01523 0043 +170 +170 316029 030 033 008 01
045500 1657N 08324W 8426 01530 0043 +171 +169 317030 030 031 005 00
045530 1656N 08325W 8430 01527 0047 +170 +169 317028 030 030 005 00
045600 1654N 08326W 8433 01527 0048 +170 +168 318028 028 028 004 00
045630 1653N 08327W 8428 01533 0049 +170 +169 322027 028 027 004 00
045700 1652N 08328W 8431 01533 0052 +171 +169 325027 028 025 005 00
045730 1651N 08330W 8432 01531 0056 +167 +167 327029 030 032 007 00
045800 1649N 08331W 8427 01535 //// +154 //// 325025 027 037 012 01
045830 1648N 08332W 8439 01527 0059 +170 +170 318025 025 032 009 01
$$
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#4114 Postby Dave » Tue Aug 07, 2012 12:05 am

Here's the 'red eye express' for morning....g'night all!

FLIGHT ONE -TEAL 74-
A. 07/1200, 1800Z
B. AFXXX 1005A ERNESTO
C. 07/0815Z
D. 16.8N 84.0W
E. 07/1130Z TO 07/1800Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT
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Re: ATL: ERNESTO - Recon Discussions - Comments - Questions

#4115 Postby Macrocane » Tue Aug 07, 2012 12:06 am

It was great to help with the HDOBs tonight but I have to go now, who wants to take over?
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Re: ATL: ERNESTO - Recon

#4116 Postby littlevince » Tue Aug 07, 2012 12:07 am

000
URNT12 KNHC 070501
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE AL052012
A. 07/04:47:20Z
B. 17 deg 13 min N
083 deg 05 min W
C. 850 mb 1387 m
D. 56 kt
E. 075 deg 13 nm
F. 116 deg 59 kt
G. 053 deg 74 nm
H. 995 mb
I. 16 C / 1522 m
J. 20 C / 1523 m
K. 19 C / NA
L. open nw
M. E21/24/16
N. 12345 / 8
O. 0.02 / 1 nm
P. AF303 0905A ERNESTO OB 18
MAX FL WIND 59 KT NE QUAD 04:24:00Z
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Re: ATL: ERNESTO - Recon

#4117 Postby littlevince » Tue Aug 07, 2012 12:09 am

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Re: ATL: ERNESTO - Recon

#4118 Postby Macrocane » Tue Aug 07, 2012 12:13 am

000
URNT15 KNHC 070507
AF303 0905A ERNESTO HDOB 47 20120807
045900 1647N 08333W 8427 01544 0059 +160 +160 320025 025 027 005 01
045930 1646N 08334W 8436 01534 0063 +166 +164 319022 024 027 006 00
050000 1645N 08336W 8429 01541 0064 +160 +160 321023 023 026 007 01
050030 1643N 08337W 8428 01545 0066 +160 +160 324025 026 029 007 01
050100 1642N 08338W 8432 01542 0070 +160 +160 327025 026 039 019 01
050130 1641N 08339W 8426 01547 0077 +160 +160 323021 025 043 022 01
050200 1640N 08340W 8430 01547 0073 +160 +160 314020 021 027 007 01
050230 1639N 08342W 8429 01549 0071 +168 +162 316022 022 027 005 00
050300 1637N 08343W 8432 01547 0073 +166 +165 315022 023 030 009 00
050330 1636N 08344W 8429 01549 0078 +160 +160 317023 024 031 014 01
050400 1635N 08345W 8430 01548 //// +155 //// 310025 026 032 010 01
050430 1634N 08346W 8433 01547 0077 +160 +160 311021 023 029 010 01
050500 1633N 08347W 8436 01545 0078 +160 +160 316021 021 025 010 01
050530 1631N 08349W 8425 01558 0079 +167 +158 309020 021 025 007 03
050600 1630N 08348W 8428 01558 0079 +169 +159 301019 020 /// /// 03
050630 1629N 08347W 8434 01549 0077 +170 +159 294018 018 024 004 00
050700 1629N 08345W 8429 01553 0077 +170 +159 290018 018 023 005 00
050730 1628N 08343W 8431 01551 0078 +170 +154 289018 019 024 006 00
050800 1627N 08341W 8429 01553 0078 +170 +147 281020 020 026 005 00
050830 1627N 08340W 8429 01552 0078 +165 +152 274021 022 024 006 00
$$
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Re: ATL: ERNESTO - Recon Discussions - Comments - Questions

#4119 Postby WxEnthus » Tue Aug 07, 2012 12:16 am

I can pick up with #48 and any VDM that comes in. Can probably post a few graphics, too.
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Re: ATL: ERNESTO - Recon

#4120 Postby littlevince » Tue Aug 07, 2012 12:17 am

Macrocane wrote:000
URNT15 KNHC 070507
AF303 0905A ERNESTO HDOB 47 20120807
045900 1647N 08333W 8427 01544 0059 +160 +160 320025 025 027 005 01
045930 1646N 08334W 8436 01534 0063 +166 +164 319022 024 027 006 00
050000 1645N 08336W 8429 01541 0064 +160 +160 321023 023 026 007 01
050030 1643N 08337W 8428 01545 0066 +160 +160 324025 026 029 007 01
050100 1642N 08338W 8432 01542 0070 +160 +160 327025 026 039 019 01
050130 1641N 08339W 8426 01547 0077 +160 +160 323021 025 043 022 01
050200 1640N 08340W 8430 01547 0073 +160 +160 314020 021 027 007 01
050230 1639N 08342W 8429 01549 0071 +168 +162 316022 022 027 005 00
050300 1637N 08343W 8432 01547 0073 +166 +165 315022 023 030 009 00
050330 1636N 08344W 8429 01549 0078 +160 +160 317023 024 031 014 01
050400 1635N 08345W 8430 01548 //// +155 //// 310025 026 032 010 01
050430 1634N 08346W 8433 01547 0077 +160 +160 311021 023 029 010 01
050500 1633N 08347W 8436 01545 0078 +160 +160 316021 021 025 010 01
050530 1631N 08349W 8425 01558 0079 +167 +158 309020 021 025 007 03
050600 1630N 08348W 8428 01558 0079 +169 +159 301019 020 /// /// 03
050630 1629N 08347W 8434 01549 0077 +170 +159 294018 018 024 004 00
050700 1629N 08345W 8429 01553 0077 +170 +159 290018 018 023 005 00
050730 1628N 08343W 8431 01551 0078 +170 +154 289018 019 024 006 00
050800 1627N 08341W 8429 01553 0078 +170 +147 281020 020 026 005 00
050830 1627N 08340W 8429 01552 0078 +165 +152 274021 022 024 006 00
$$
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