Looks like a very wet 36 to 48 hours along the West Coast of Florida.
FLOOD WATCH
FLC015-017-027-049-053-055-057-071-075-081-101-103-105-115-119-
062100-
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
325 PM EDT THU SEP 4 2003
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RUSKIN HAS ISSUED A FLOOD WATCH FOR
THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS:
CHARLOTTE CITRUS
DESOTO HARDEE
HERNANDO HIGHLANDS
HILLSBOROUGH LEE
LEVY MANATEE
PASCO PINELLAS
POLK SARASOTA
SUMTER
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ARCADIA...BARTOW...BRADENTON...BRANDON...
BROOKSVILLE...CAPE CORAL...CHIEFLAND...CLEARWATER...FORT MYERS...
INVERNESS...LAKELAND...NEW PORT RICHEY...PORT CHARLOTTE...PUNTA
GORDA...SARASOTA...SEBRING...SPRING HILL...TAMPA...VENICE...WINTER
HAVEN AND ZEPHYRHILLS.
THE WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 PM EDT SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE CONTINUES TO FLOW OVER THE FLORIDA PENINSULA.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12 REMAINS OVER THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO
APPROXIMATELY 270 MILES WEST OF TAMPA. CURRENT MODEL GUIDANCE
INDICATES THE DEPRESSION WILL BE FAIRLY SLOW MOVING WITH WEST CENTRAL
AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA ON THE EAST AND SOUTHEAST SIDE OF THE STORM
SYSTEM FOR ABOUT THE NEXT 36 TO 48 HOURS. FOR THIS REASON THE FLOOD
WATCH HAS BEEN EXTENDED THROUGH SATURDAY. MUCH DEPENDS ON HOW WELL
ORGANIZED THE DEPRESSION BECOMES BEFORE MAKING LANDFALL LATE FRIDAY
NIGHT...BUT PERIODS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH LOCALLY HEAVY
RAIN WILL OCCUR TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY ACROSS WEST CENTRAL AND
SOUTHWEST FLORIDA. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION
12...SEE THE LATEST FORECASTS FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...SOME WITH LOCALLY
HEAVY RAIN...WILL CONTINUE ACROSS WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA.
THE GROUND REMAINS SATURATED AND ANY ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAIN WILL
PRODUCE LOCALIZED FLOODING OF STREETS AND LOW LYING AREAS. MANY
RIVERS ALSO REMAIN NEAR OR ABOVE FLOOD STAGE...WITH ADDITIONAL RISES
LIKELY IF HEAVY RAIN OCCURS OVER ANY OF THE RIVER BASINS.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12 IS EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN INTO A TROPICAL
STORM AND APPROACH THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA NORTH OF TAMPA FRIDAY
AND FRIDAY NIGHT. THIS COULD LEAD TO STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF
5 TO 10 INCHES WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS POSSIBLY AS HIGH AS 20 INCHES
NEAR THE PATH OF THE STORM. THIS COULD CAUSE SIGNIFICANT FLOODING
ACROSS WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA. HOWEVER...MUCH DEPENDS ON
HOW ORGANIZED THE CONVECTION BECOMES AROUND THE STORM SYSTEM AS IT
MOVES TOWARDS THE COAST. ALTHOUGH ITS TOO EARLY TO PIN POINT WHERE
THE HEAVIEST RAIN AND MOST EXTENSIVE FLOODING MIGHT DEVELOP...AREAS
FROM BROOKSVILLE TO CHIEFLAND ARE MOST SUSCEPTIBLE TO SIGNIFICANT
FLOODING...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE WITHLACOOCHEE RIVER WHICH IS ALREADY
ABOVE FLOOD STAGE.
A FLOOD WATCH MEANS FLOODING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 36
HOURS. RESIDENTS LIVING IN FLOOD PRONE AREAS SHOULD TAKE ACTION TO
PROTECT PROPERTY.
RESIDENTS...PARTICULARLY THOSE IN FLOOD PRONE AREAS...AS WELL AS
THOSE LIVING NEAR SMALL STREAMS AND CREEKS...SHOULD BE PREPARED TO
MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.
STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR UPDATES
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
$$
FOR ADDITIONAL WEATHER INFORMATION...CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT
HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TBW (LOWER CASE)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
HURRICANE STATEMENT
FLZ039-042-043-048>052-055>057-060>062-065-050100-
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12 LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
540 PM EDT THU SEP 4 2003
...HEAVY RAINFALL EXPECTED TO BEGIN TONIGHT ACROSS MUCH OF THE
SUNCOAST...
...STORM TOTAL RAINFALL OF 10 TO 15 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS UP
TO 20 INCHES...EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY...
...WATCH/WARNING INFORMATION...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...
CITRUS HERNANDO
LEVY PASCO
PINELLAS HILLSBOROUGH
MANATEE SARASOTA
THIS INCLUDES THE COASTAL WATERS FROM ENGLEWOOD TO THE MOUTH OF
THE SUWANNEE RIVER.
...STORM LOCATION...
AT 5 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12 WAS LOCATED ABOUT
215 MILES WEST OF TAMPA WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 35 MPH.
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS THE DEPRESSION IS FORECAST TO BECOME A
TROPICAL STORM WITH A SLOW MOTION TO THE EAST-NORTHEAST.
...CURRENT RADAR INFORMATION...
DOPPLER RADAR DETECTED LARGE AREA OF RAIN AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
IN THE EASTERN GULF...EXTENDING FROM SARASOTA TO PINELLAS COUNTY
THEN CONTINUING MAINLY OFFSHORE FROM PASCO THROUGH LEVY COUNTIES.
THE AREA OF RAIN WAS DRIFTING EAST AT AROUND 10 MPH FROM PINELLAS
COUNTY SOUTH...AND NEARLY STATIONARY FROM PASCO COUNTY NORTH.
...RAINFALL INFORMATION...
OUTSIDE OF INDIVIDUAL THUNDERSTORMS IN LEE COUNTY...ONLY LIGHT RAINS
HAVE FALLEN THUS FAR THIS AFTERNOON. AMOUNTS AROUND ONE TENTH
AN INCH HAVE FALLEN THROUGH 5 PM...WITH PERHAPS UP TO ONE QUARTER
INCH ON THE BEACHES FROM PINELLAS THROUGH SARASOTA COUNTY. THICK
CLOUDS WILL INHIBIT TYPICAL AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPMENT...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE SUNCOAST COUNTIES. HOWEVER...
STEADY LIGHT RAINS...WITH POCKETS OF MODERATE RAINS...WILL AFFECT
EVENING COMMUTERS OVER THE TAMPA BAY AND SARASOTA/BRADENTON METRO
AREAS...PRIMARILY WEST OF INTERSTATE 75.
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO DETERIORATE BY EARLY FRIDAY MORNING...
LIKELY CONTINUING INTO AFTERNOON...AS BANDS OF HEAVY RAINS MOVE
ONSHORE. THE FRIDAY MORNING COMMUTE MAY BE IMPACTED...WITH URBAN
FLOODING A STRONG POSSIBILITY PRIMARILY IN LOW LYING AND POOR
DRAINAGE LOCATIONS.
BY LATE SATURDAY...STORM TOTAL RAINFALL OF 10 TO 15 INCHES WITH
ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF UP TO 20 INCHES ARE EXPECTED...ESPECIALLY TO
THE EAST AND SOUTHEAST OF THE STORM TRACK.
...RIVER FLOODING...
THROUGH TONIGHT...RIVER GAUGE TRENDS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN CONSTANT
AS EXPECTED LIGHT RAINS OVER THE BASINS HAVE LITTLE IMPACT.
HOWEVER...THE ANTICIPATED WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINFALL EXPECTED TO
BEGIN FRIDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE INTO SATURDAY WILL PRODUCE
SUBSTANTIAL RISES ON ALL RIVERS...WITH CURRENT FORECASTS SUGGESTING
FLOODING ON ALL RIVERS FROM SARASOTA COUNTY NORTHWARD BY SATURDAY...
WITH MANY OF THOSE RISING TO MODERATE FLOOD LEVELS.
RESIDENTS ALONG AREA RIVERS SHOULD COMPLETE ACTIVITIES TODAY IN
PREPARATION FOR THE EXPECTED FLOODING OVER THE WEEKEND. FOR MORE
INFORMATION ON RIVER FLOOD FORECASTS...LOOK FOR RIVER FLOOD WARNINGS
UNDER WMO CODE WGUS42 AND FOLLOW-UP STATEMENTS UNDER CODE WGUS82.
FOR ALL HYDROLOGIC INFORMATION...CHECK OUR WEBSITE AT
HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TBW AND CLICK ON THE HYDROLOGY LINK.
...WIND...
THROUGH TONIGHT...SUSTAINED WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE 10 TO 15 MPH
NEAR THE COAST...A BIT LESS INLAND. EXCEPTIONS WILL BE IN
STRONGER CELLS MOVING ONSHORE TOWARD DAYBREAK WHICH MAY PRODUCE
WIND GUSTS ABOVE 25 MPH.
...SURGE INFORMATION...
CURRENT GULF OF MEXICO TIDES REMAIN ABOUT ONE HALF A FOOT ABOVE
NORMAL...AND SHOULD CHANGE LITTLE THIS EVENING. HOWEVER...AS THE
SLOW MOVING SYSTEM CONTINUES TO MOVE EAST...AND STRENGTHENS A BIT...
WATER LEVELS WILL GRADUALLY RISE OVERNIGHT AND ESPECIALLY FRIDAY AND
FRIDAY NIGHT. A STORM SURGE OF 2 TO 4 FEET IS EXPECTED TO THE SOUTH
OF THE CENTER AROUND THE TIME OF LANDFALL SOMETIME FRIDAY NIGHT. THIS
WOULD PRODUCE MINOR FLOODING ALONG PORTIONS OF THE COAST...INCLUDING
AROUND TAMPA BAY.
...MARINE AND RIP CURRENT INFORMATION...
SEAS WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE OVERNIGHT AS THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION
BECOMES A TROPICAL STORM. VALUES IN THE WARNING AREA ARE EXPECTED
TO EXCEED 8 FEET SOMETIME FRIDAY...LIKELY CONTINUING FRIDAY
NIGHT. MINOR BEACH EROSION IS EXPECTED FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT. IN
ADDITION...THE CHANNELED SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL INCREASE THE RISK OF
RIP CURRENTS BEGINNING FRIDAY AND LIKELY CONTINUING INTO SATURDAY.
...NEXT ISSUANCE...
THE NEXT TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12 LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN RUSKIN BY 9 PM. FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION ON TD #12...SEE THE LATEST ADVISORIES FROM THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER. FOR MORE INFORMATION...CHECK OUR WEBSITE AT
HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TBW (LOWER CASE).
$$
RKR
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Rain, Rain, Go Away, 10 -15" With Isolated 20" Exp
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hurricanedude
- Military Member
- Posts: 1856
- Joined: Tue Oct 08, 2002 9:54 am
- Location: Virginia Beach, Virginia
- Contact:
No, not yet. Better run to Home Depot to see if they have enough lumber to build one! 
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the NHC and NWS.
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Aquawind
- Category 5
- Posts: 6714
- Age: 62
- Joined: Mon Jun 16, 2003 10:41 pm
- Location: Salisbury, NC
- Contact:
Well the peninsula sure could use a early Canadian front.... dewpoints in the 50's sounds dreamy..No such luck... for 2 months it's the soup most likely and until then flooding is a everyday possibility at this rate..Problem is the panhandle from what I hear could use some rains and unfortunately Mother Nature can be sloppy so flooding will be involved in the catch up. 
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Rainband
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