ATL: ERNESTO - Post-Tropical

[Kingarabian]

000
URNT15 KNHC 082217
AF306 1105A ERNESTO HDOB 03 20120808
220830 2916N 08933W 4002 07614 0436 -166 -209 272004 004 /// /// 03
220900 2914N 08934W 3991 07637 0437 -170 -224 280004 005 /// /// 03
220930 2913N 08935W 3990 07637 0434 -170 -218 254005 006 /// /// 03
221000 2911N 08936W 3992 07630 0431 -168 -219 272005 006 /// /// 03
221030 2908N 08937W 3992 07627 0431 -167 -222 272006 007 /// /// 03
221100 2906N 08938W 3995 07623 0429 -170 -230 277006 007 /// /// 03
221130 2904N 08939W 3992 07625 0428 -170 -233 280006 007 /// /// 03
221200 2902N 08940W 3995 07612 0424 -170 -224 302009 010 /// /// 03
221230 2900N 08941W 3992 07625 0428 -169 -199 290011 012 /// /// 03
221300 2857N 08943W 3994 07625 0431 -166 -203 302014 016 /// /// 03
221330 2855N 08944W 3992 07627 0430 -165 -168 282007 016 /// /// 03
221400 2853N 08945W 3992 07627 0430 -160 -160 251015 017 /// /// 05
221430 2850N 08946W 3994 07624 0430 -165 -175 261016 019 /// /// 03
221500 2848N 08947W 3995 07625 0432 -165 -173 230013 014 /// /// 03
221530 2848N 08947W 3995 07625 0434 -165 -170 247012 013 /// /// 03
221600 2843N 08950W 3994 07630 0434 -160 -160 253009 011 /// /// 05
221630 2841N 08951W 3995 07625 0431 -160 -160 251011 011 /// /// 05
221700 2838N 08952W 3994 07620 0424 -163 -179 259010 012 /// /// 03
221730 2836N 08953W 3993 07616 0421 -160 -187 270010 010 /// /// 03
221800 2834N 08954W 3995 07610 0419 -160 -190 281010 010 /// /// 03
$$
;

[Kingarabian]

000
URNT15 KNHC 082227
AF306 1105A ERNESTO HDOB 04 20120808
221830 2831N 08955W 3993 07614 0418 -160 -177 286010 012 /// /// 03
221900 2829N 08957W 3994 07609 0416 -158 -180 283012 013 010 000 00
221930 2826N 08958W 3995 07609 0415 -155 -185 277012 013 011 000 00
222000 2824N 08959W 3995 07606 0414 -155 -179 281012 012 011 000 00
222030 2821N 09000W 3995 07606 0415 -155 -178 280009 011 011 000 00
222100 2819N 09001W 3995 07608 0414 -157 -195 259007 009 010 000 03
222130 2816N 09001W 3999 07603 0417 -159 -192 262007 007 011 000 00
222200 2814N 09001W 3995 07610 0417 -160 -193 272009 010 014 000 00
222230 2811N 09000W 3994 07612 0417 -159 -188 274009 010 015 000 00
222300 2808N 09000W 3994 07611 0416 -154 -207 282010 010 016 000 00
222330 2806N 09000W 3995 07611 0417 -154 -229 273010 011 011 000 00
222400 2803N 09000W 3994 07610 0416 -157 -225 266010 010 010 000 00
222430 2800N 09000W 3992 07611 0415 -155 -231 267009 010 013 000 00
222500 2757N 09000W 3996 07607 0416 -152 -235 271010 010 011 000 00
222530 2755N 09000W 3994 07610 0416 -151 -246 280010 011 009 000 00
222600 2752N 09000W 3994 07611 0417 -153 -249 276009 011 005 001 03
222630 2749N 09000W 3997 07607 0423 -158 -242 269007 008 007 000 00
222700 2747N 09001W 3995 07606 0414 -157 -235 266007 007 005 000 00
222730 2744N 09001W 3996 07604 0413 -156 -241 277006 007 007 000 00
222800 2741N 09001W 3994 07608 0415 -157 -243 269006 007 008 000 00
$$
;

[Kingarabian]

[Kingarabian]

000
URNT15 KNHC 082237
AF306 1105A ERNESTO HDOB 05 20120808
222830 2738N 09001W 3998 07616 0420 -160 -230 281007 008 009 000 00
222900 2736N 09001W 3994 07610 0416 -160 -222 273006 007 009 000 00
222930 2733N 09001W 3995 07608 0415 -155 -215 277005 006 010 000 00
223000 2730N 09001W 3995 07608 0416 -155 -224 287005 005 008 000 00
223030 2728N 09000W 3994 07611 0416 -157 -219 265006 006 006 000 00
223100 2725N 09000W 3996 07605 0414 -157 -220 259006 006 005 000 00
223130 2722N 09000W 3996 07606 0415 -157 -229 262005 005 005 000 00
223200 2719N 09000W 3995 07608 0417 -160 -223 255004 004 004 001 00
223230 2717N 09000W 3995 07611 0418 -158 -218 252005 005 009 000 00
223300 2714N 09000W 3995 07609 0418 -157 -223 261004 005 005 000 03
223330 2711N 09000W 3995 07611 0417 -155 -228 262004 004 006 000 00
223400 2709N 08959W 3995 07608 0415 -155 -232 274004 004 007 001 00
223430 2706N 08959W 3992 07609 0413 -155 -236 258003 004 005 002 00
223500 2703N 08959W 3995 07604 0412 -155 -233 267003 003 006 000 00
223530 2700N 08959W 3995 07606 0411 -155 -236 262002 003 007 000 00
223600 2658N 08959W 3996 07601 0411 -150 -243 263002 002 007 000 00
223630 2655N 08959W 3995 07601 0410 -150 -245 256001 002 007 000 00
223700 2652N 08958W 3992 07607 0410 -152 -233 253001 001 005 000 00
223730 2650N 08958W 3995 07602 0411 -150 -231 354001 002 008 000 00
223800 2647N 08958W 3995 07605 0413 -150 -235 330001 002 006 000 00
$$
;

[brunota2003]

Soooo...what is recon going to find this evening? I'm thinking they might observe a little strengthening this evening, perhaps up to 50 or 55 knots...if convection builds back quickly and is organized.

[Kingarabian]

000
URNT15 KNHC 082247
AF306 1105A ERNESTO HDOB 06 20120808
223830 2644N 08958W 3995 07608 0415 -150 -250 055001 001 007 000 00
223900 2642N 08958W 3994 07610 0416 -150 -262 063001 002 007 000 00
223930 2639N 08958W 3992 07613 0416 -150 -265 067002 003 008 000 00
224000 2636N 08958W 3994 07610 0414 -150 -268 081002 003 008 000 00
224030 2633N 08957W 3997 07603 0414 -151 -269 069001 003 006 000 00
224100 2631N 08957W 3994 07609 0414 -155 -271 288001 002 009 000 00
224130 2628N 08957W 3996 07605 0415 -155 -276 268001 002 008 000 00
224200 2625N 08957W 3995 07613 0419 -155 -279 296001 002 007 000 00
224230 2622N 08957W 3995 07610 0417 -155 -280 301001 001 008 000 00
224300 2620N 08957W 3994 07610 0415 -155 -281 276001 001 008 000 00
224330 2617N 08956W 3995 07610 0416 -155 -282 318000 001 008 000 00
224400 2614N 08956W 3994 07612 0418 -155 -284 279000 001 014 000 00
224430 2612N 08956W 3995 07611 0418 -155 -287 352001 001 012 000 00
224500 2609N 08956W 3992 07612 0416 -155 -289 299000 001 012 000 00
224530 2606N 08956W 3994 07610 0414 -157 -288 211002 003 013 000 00
224600 2603N 08956W 3994 07609 0414 -155 -287 215002 002 014 000 00
224630 2601N 08956W 3995 07607 0414 -155 -288 212002 002 011 000 00
224700 2558N 08955W 3992 07612 0415 -160 -285 186005 006 010 000 00
224730 2555N 08955W 3995 07610 0417 -160 -277 175005 006 012 000 00
224800 2553N 08955W 3995 07610 0417 -159 -274 176003 004 011 000 00
$$
;

[Kingarabian]

000
URNT15 KNHC 082257
AF306 1105A ERNESTO HDOB 07 20120808
224830 2550N 08955W 3995 07611 0417 -159 -276 180003 003 012 000 00
224900 2547N 08955W 3990 07619 0419 -159 -274 160003 003 013 000 00
224930 2545N 08955W 3995 07611 0418 -157 -273 138003 004 012 000 00
225000 2542N 08955W 3995 07610 0416 -157 -271 147004 004 014 000 00
225030 2539N 08954W 3994 07610 0415 -160 -263 163005 005 011 000 00
225100 2536N 08954W 3995 07607 0414 -159 -266 160005 005 014 000 00
225130 2534N 08954W 3996 07605 0414 -155 -264 146005 006 013 000 00
225200 2531N 08954W 3994 07608 0414 -155 -263 147005 005 013 000 00
225230 2528N 08954W 3995 07607 0414 -155 -261 130004 005 014 000 00
225300 2526N 08954W 3995 07608 0415 -155 -261 098003 003 016 000 00
225330 2523N 08953W 3995 07608 0415 -155 -260 095003 003 014 000 00
225400 2520N 08953W 3995 07607 0414 -155 -258 080004 004 014 000 00
225430 2518N 08953W 3996 07602 0413 -155 -258 078003 003 014 000 00
225500 2515N 08953W 3994 07607 0412 -155 -259 071003 003 015 000 00
225530 2512N 08953W 3994 07607 0412 -155 -261 076003 004 015 000 00
225600 2509N 08953W 3995 07605 0412 -151 -273 081004 005 015 000 00
225630 2507N 08953W 3992 07608 0410 -151 -278 109006 007 014 000 00
225700 2504N 08952W 3996 07600 0410 -152 -276 099006 006 014 000 00
225730 2501N 08952W 3994 07604 0410 -151 -276 095007 008 014 000 00
225800 2459N 08952W 3995 07601 0409 -150 -273 082007 008 016 000 00
$$
;

[Kingarabian]

Soooo...what is recon going to find this evening? I'm thinking they might observe a little strengthening this evening, perhaps up to 50 or 55 knots...if convection builds back quickly and is organized.

Hopefully they get it while its deepening and they stick around for a while.

[Kingarabian]

000
URNT15 KNHC 082307
AF306 1105A ERNESTO HDOB 08 20120808
225830 2456N 08952W 3995 07598 0409 -150 -278 082008 008 014 000 00
225900 2453N 08952W 3995 07601 0408 -150 -283 084008 009 011 000 00
225930 2450N 08952W 3992 07604 0407 -153 -283 098009 010 010 000 00
230000 2448N 08952W 3995 07601 0406 -150 -271 099009 010 011 000 00
230030 2445N 08951W 3994 07599 0405 -150 -258 102011 011 010 000 00
230100 2442N 08951W 3995 07597 0405 -150 -261 101012 012 011 000 00
230130 2440N 08951W 3995 07599 0405 -151 -270 094012 012 010 000 00
230200 2437N 08951W 3995 07597 0405 -150 -277 090012 012 011 000 00
230230 2434N 08951W 3994 07601 0406 -150 -279 089013 013 013 000 00
230300 2431N 08951W 3995 07598 0406 -150 -277 088013 013 014 000 00
230330 2429N 08950W 3995 07598 0406 -150 -270 085012 012 018 000 00
230400 2426N 08950W 3995 07597 0404 -151 -267 083013 013 017 000 00
230430 2423N 08950W 3998 07592 0403 -150 -267 080013 014 018 000 00
230500 2421N 08950W 3992 07603 0404 -150 -272 077014 014 017 000 00
230530 2418N 08950W 3997 07591 0403 -148 -271 072013 014 018 000 00
230600 2415N 08950W 3992 07602 0403 -146 -271 076013 014 019 000 00
230630 2412N 08950W 3995 07597 0403 -147 -273 077013 014 020 000 00
230700 2410N 08949W 3995 07597 0403 -150 -270 081014 014 021 000 00
230730 2407N 08949W 3996 07594 0404 -148 -270 083014 014 021 000 00
230800 2404N 08949W 3995 07597 0403 -145 -281 082014 014 021 000 00
$$
;

[Kingarabian]

[Kingarabian]

000
URNT15 KNHC 082317
AF306 1105A ERNESTO HDOB 09 20120808
230830 2402N 08949W 3994 07598 0404 -150 -290 087015 015 022 000 00
230900 2359N 08949W 3995 07598 0404 -148 -292 087014 015 023 000 00
230930 2356N 08949W 3995 07597 0404 -145 -292 088014 014 023 000 00
231000 2353N 08949W 3995 07595 0404 -146 -287 090014 015 023 000 00
231030 2351N 08948W 3994 07598 0404 -150 -280 091015 015 023 000 00
231100 2348N 08948W 3995 07598 0405 -148 -274 092015 015 023 000 00
231130 2345N 08948W 3995 07595 0403 -145 -276 092015 016 024 000 00
231200 2342N 08948W 3992 07600 0404 -145 -272 094016 017 025 000 00
231230 2340N 08948W 3995 07595 0404 -145 -264 095017 017 025 000 00
231300 2337N 08948W 3995 07598 0405 -145 -259 096016 017 024 000 00
231330 2334N 08948W 3995 07600 0406 -143 -256 098016 016 024 000 00
231400 2332N 08947W 3995 07601 0408 -140 -252 097015 016 025 000 00
231430 2329N 08947W 3993 07601 0407 -140 -249 100016 016 025 000 00
231500 2326N 08947W 3999 07593 0407 -140 -255 103016 017 026 000 00
231530 2323N 08947W 3995 07600 0406 -140 -262 101016 016 026 000 00
231600 2321N 08947W 3995 07598 0404 -140 -265 099017 017 025 000 00
231630 2318N 08947W 3994 07600 0404 -145 -266 099018 018 024 000 00
231700 2315N 08947W 3992 07602 0405 -145 -265 102019 019 024 000 00
231730 2313N 08946W 3995 07596 0404 -140 -268 103019 019 024 000 00
231800 2310N 08946W 3995 07596 0403 -142 -269 102018 019 025 000 00
$$
;

[Hammy]

looks to be moving southwest on Mexican radar http://smn.cna.gob.mx/index.php?option= ... &Itemid=84

[brunota2003]

Can someone start grabbing HDOBs after King posts #10? I'm getting ready to eat dinner, otherwise I'd do it.

[Kingarabian]

000
URNT15 KNHC 082331
AF306 1105A ERNESTO HDOB 10 20120808
231830 2307N 08946W 3994 07597 0403 -143 -268 100017 017 025 000 00
231900 2305N 08946W 3995 07595 0403 -145 -267 097017 018 025 000 00
231930 2302N 08946W 3994 07597 0404 -145 -265 098019 019 025 000 00
232000 2259N 08946W 3995 07600 0407 -146 -260 098018 019 025 000 00
232030 2257N 08946W 3995 07601 0408 -147 -256 094018 018 026 000 00
232100 2254N 08945W 3994 07603 0408 -144 -258 094018 019 026 000 00
232130 2251N 08945W 3994 07602 0408 -144 -264 094019 019 027 000 00
232200 2248N 08945W 3995 07601 0408 -145 -264 096020 020 027 000 00
232230 2246N 08945W 3995 07601 0408 -145 -263 098020 020 028 000 00
232300 2243N 08945W 3995 07601 0408 -145 -268 096020 020 028 000 03
232330 2241N 08945W 3995 07598 0405 -145 -273 090020 020 /// /// 03
232400 2238N 08947W 3998 07592 0405 -148 -265 089020 020 030 000 00
232430 2236N 08949W 3994 07598 0403 -145 -263 088021 021 031 000 00
232500 2234N 08951W 3994 07598 0402 -145 -263 088022 022 030 000 00
232530 2232N 08954W 3992 07600 0402 -146 -262 088021 021 031 000 00
232600 2230N 08956W 3995 07595 0402 -146 -263 086021 022 030 000 00
232630 2228N 08958W 3995 07596 0402 -150 -262 086022 022 030 000 00
232700 2226N 09000W 3995 07596 0402 -150 -262 088022 022 030 000 00
232730 2224N 09002W 3995 07596 0402 -147 -261 090022 022 031 000 03
232800 2222N 09004W 3995 07593 0401 -148 -262 089023 024 031 000 00
$$

[AJC3]

looks to be moving southwest on Mexican radar http://smn.cna.gob.mx/index.php?option= ... &Itemid=84

Over the long term, when you smooth out the trochoidal wobbles, the motion hasn't really been anywhere close to SW. In fact, it's been closer to due west than even WSW. It's only lost a tenth or two of latitude when moving several degrees westward. A mean motion of 260-265 is still considered west on a 16-pont compass.

[wxman57]

With its core severely disrupted, it will take a while to regain it. Wind field will likely have expanded significantly as well.

[artist]

000
URNT15 KNHC 082337
AF306 1105A ERNESTO HDOB 11 20120808
232830 2219N 09006W 3994 07596 0401 -150 -260 089023 024 030 000 00
232900 2217N 09008W 3994 07596 0402 -151 -260 091022 023 030 000 00
232930 2215N 09010W 3995 07596 0402 -150 -258 093021 022 029 000 00
233000 2213N 09012W 3995 07596 0403 -150 -261 093021 021 029 000 00
233030 2211N 09014W 3994 07597 0403 -150 -264 095022 022 028 000 00
233100 2209N 09016W 3995 07597 0404 -150 -265 096023 023 026 000 00
233130 2207N 09018W 3995 07597 0405 -150 -265 095023 024 024 000 00
233200 2205N 09020W 3995 07598 0405 -147 -264 094024 024 022 000 00
233230 2203N 09022W 3994 07601 0405 -150 -262 098023 024 024 000 00
233300 2201N 09024W 3995 07596 0402 -145 -255 098024 024 025 000 00
233330 2158N 09026W 3995 07594 0400 -145 -258 098025 025 025 000 00
233400 2156N 09029W 3995 07592 0399 -145 -259 097025 026 026 000 00
233430 2154N 09031W 3995 07589 0397 -141 -263 094025 026 026 000 00
233500 2152N 09033W 3994 07591 0396 -144 -264 097027 027 026 000 00
233530 2150N 09035W 3995 07585 0394 -141 -264 096028 028 026 000 00
233600 2148N 09036W 3992 07589 0393 -140 -265 097028 029 024 000 00
233630 2145N 09038W 3998 07580 0393 -139 -265 096027 028 025 000 00
233700 2143N 09039W 3994 07588 0393 -136 -270 090025 027 024 000 00
233730 2140N 09040W 3994 07589 0392 -135 -273 088026 026 023 000 00
233800 2138N 09042W 4000 07577 0392 -137 -243 093028 029 024 000 00
$$
;

[brunota2003]

If anyone wants to take over, feel free to! On my cell phone.


Edit: Artist you have it until you need to go

[artist]

Can someone start grabbing HDOBs after King posts #10? I'm getting ready to eat dinner, otherwise I'd do it.

I can do it for about 15 minutes until dinner is cooked. Just posted 11

[cycloneye]

I think this can ilustrate the directions clearly.