ATL: FLORENCE - Post-Tropical

[TropicalAnalystwx13]

This one continues to have a well defined surface circulation. Gotta watch for regeneration in 2-4 days.

[cycloneye]

NHC_ATCF
invest_DEACTIVATE_al062012.ren
FSTDA
R
U
040
010
0000
201208082214
NONE
NOTIFY=ATRP
END

[pricetag56]

actually if it stays at the latitude its at the shear lessens farther east sorry i post here every blue moon but i follow waz going on lol

[tailgater]

So would it be classified as Florence if it did regenerate since they don't even have it as a tropical low and have deactivated her invest. She's looking a touch better this morning. If she does move NW she won't threaten the CONUS probably but I'd like to see how the NHC handles her.

[NDG]

The remnants of Florence refuse to die out, she still has a nice vorticity and little bit of convergece with shear starting to led up a bit. I think they need to make her an invest again, though it will be tough with no global model support.

[dixiebreeze]

The remnants of Florence refuse to die out, she still has a nice vorticity and little bit of convergece with shear starting to led up a bit. I think they need to make her an invest again, though it will be tough with no global model support.

Yes indeed. This is one very persistent wave.

[ROCK]

looks very good this am.....see if it maintains. Shear has let up and she is over warm water. IMO they should go 20% for regeneration this afternoon...

[floridasun78]

looks very good this am.....see if it maintains. Shear has let up and she is over warm water. IMO they should go 20% for regeneration this afternoon...

but i see nhc dont think FLORENCE got any chance

[ROCK]

looks very good this am.....see if it maintains. Shear has let up and she is over warm water. IMO they should go 20% for regeneration this afternoon...

but i see nhc dont think FLORENCE got any chance

true.... I was just saying that IMO, that they should move that to 20% given what it looks like now.....but they are the experts....

[gatorcane]

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products

Looks like it is moving WNW to me not NW...with the low-level flow.

A deep trough from a ULL low over the Great Lakes builds in down the Eastern Seaboard for the weekend, so even if this develops it would recurve away from the United States coastline.

[floridasun78]

i think nhc looking at weather round ex FLORENCE their see shear high and pressure too i wont supprise their still gave it 0

The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

[Cyclenall]

Right when they deactivated the Invest for Florence it started to look even better.

[Florida1118]

A LOW PRESSURE TROUGH...THE REMNANTS OF FLORENCE...IS PRODUCING AN
AREA OF DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS SEVERAL HUNDRED
MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS. ALTHOUGH
UPPER-LEVEL WINDS MAY BECOME A LITTLE MORE CONDUCIVE OVER THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS...SIGNIFICANT REDEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS NOT
EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...10
PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE AGAIN DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS.

[ROCK]

so I was 10% off..... if it keep progressing like this it might jump to 20% later today....IMO....

[floridasun78]

put did go up 10

[floridasun78]

their still floater on ex FLORENCE ?

[Blinhart]

Could the ULL that is over Cuba right now in front of ex-Florence have any effect on her? I say if there was any sign of rotation with the remnants right now I think they would re-classify her as at least a TD if not a TS.

[ROCK]

she just got blast by some northly shear and basically decapitation....spit out a huge outflow boundary.....what a difference a few hours make.....