More on 92L, see paragraph underlined
000
AXNT20 KNHC 091747
TWDAT
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 PM EDT THU AUG 09 2012
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS
OF SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST
FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED
ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.
BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY
THROUGH 1715 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURE...
AN ATLANTIC OCEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 41W/42W TO THE SOUTH
OF 20N. A 1010 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER IS ALONG THE WAVE NEAR
14N IN THE MONSOON TROUGH. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED
STRONG WITHIN A 30 NM RADIUS OF 13N43.5W...ISOLATED MODERATE
ELSEWHERE FROM 10N TO 17N BETWEEN 37W AND 50W. IT IS POSSIBLE
THAT A TROPICAL DEPRESSION MAY FORM TODAY OR TONIGHT. THIS
SYSTEM HAS A HIGH CHANCE OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING
THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD 13 KNOTS.
Caribbean - Central America Weather
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Re: Caribbean - Central America Weather-Watching Invest 92L
It looks like 92L is forming fairly rapidly.Percentages keep going up with each bulletin.
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Too many hurricanes to remember
-
cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 145330
- Age: 68
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: Caribbean - Central America Weather-Watching Invest 92L
Is now TD 7.
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072012
500 PM AST THU AUG 09 2012
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS IN THE TROPICAL ATLANTIC...
SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.7N 43.8W
ABOUT 1155 MI...1860 KM E OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 20 MPH...32 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1010 MB...29.83 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
INTERESTS IN THE WINDWARD ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
THIS SYSTEM.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 43.8 WEST. THE
DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 20 MPH...32 KM/H. THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SLOW STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...
AND THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM ON FRIDAY.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1010 MB...29.83 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM AST.
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072012
500 PM AST THU AUG 09 2012
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS IN THE TROPICAL ATLANTIC...
SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.7N 43.8W
ABOUT 1155 MI...1860 KM E OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 20 MPH...32 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1010 MB...29.83 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
INTERESTS IN THE WINDWARD ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
THIS SYSTEM.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 43.8 WEST. THE
DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 20 MPH...32 KM/H. THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SLOW STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...
AND THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM ON FRIDAY.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1010 MB...29.83 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM AST.
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
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cycloneye
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Re: Caribbean - C America -Watching Tropical Depression Seven
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072012
1100 PM AST THU AUG 09 2012
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION CONTINUES MOVING RAPIDLY WESTWARD...
SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.7N 45.5W
ABOUT 1045 MI...1680 KM E OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 20 MPH...32 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB...29.80 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
INTERESTS IN THE WINDWARD ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
THIS SYSTEM. TROPICAL STORM WATCHES COULD BE REQUIRED ON FRIDAY
MORNING.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 45.5 WEST. THE
DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 20 MPH...32 KM/H AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...
AND THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM ON FRIDAY.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1009 MB...29.80 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM AST.
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072012
1100 PM AST THU AUG 09 2012
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION CONTINUES MOVING RAPIDLY WESTWARD...
SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.7N 45.5W
ABOUT 1045 MI...1680 KM E OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 20 MPH...32 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB...29.80 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
INTERESTS IN THE WINDWARD ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
THIS SYSTEM. TROPICAL STORM WATCHES COULD BE REQUIRED ON FRIDAY
MORNING.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 45.5 WEST. THE
DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 20 MPH...32 KM/H AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...
AND THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM ON FRIDAY.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1009 MB...29.80 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM AST.
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
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this is from the sat image on BZ Met website - when I just glanced at it, I was what the hell is that coming our way from the back, then realized it was Ernesto on his way to the Pacific, he doesn't look that bad shape still has circulation pulling in more rain and good part looks to be in Pacific already. Realize mountains are going to tear him up quite a bit. Looking at the rainbands this is going to be affecting you Macrocane, hope flooding is minimal. http://i47.tinypic.com/2pyzsex.jpg
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cycloneye
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- Age: 68
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: Caribbean - C America -Watching Tropical Depression Seven
Good morning. We keep watching TD 7 as it continues to move west. Tropical Storm watches may be up later today for some of the islands.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
447 AM AST FRI AUG 10 2012
.SYNOPSIS...AN UPPER LEVEL TUTT LOW WEST OF THE REGION WILL CONTINUE
TO SHIFT WEST...WELL AWAY FROM THE LOCAL ISLANDS TODAY. A SECOND
TUTT LOW NORTHEAST OF THE REGION IS EXPECTED TO MOVE CLOSE OR
OVER THE LOCAL ISLANDS SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY. AT 5 AM AST...
TROPICAL DEPRESION SEVEN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.6 NORTH AND
LONGITUDE 47.2 WEST OR ABOUT 930 MILES EAST OF THE WINDWARD
ISLANDS.
&&
.DISCUSSION...WEATHER RADAR DETECTED A LINE OF SHOWERS...
ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL STORM FLORENCE...JUST
EAST OF PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS THIS MORNING...BUT
NO PCPN WAS DETECTED OVER LAND AREAS. SATELLITE IMAGES THIS
MORNING DEPICTED A LARGE AREA OF CLOUDINESS NORTH NORTHEAST OF THE
REGION. THIS ACTIVITY IS ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL
STORM FLORENCE. THE GFS MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THAT AN OVERALL
DRIER...STABLE AND HAZY AIR MASS WITH LIMITED CONVECTION...SHOULD
ENCOMPASS THE LOCAL AREA FRIDAY NIGHT AND IS EXPECTED TO LINGER
THROUGH AT LEAST SUNDAY. IN FACT...PWAT VALUES WILL CONTINUE BELOW
1.50 INCHES UNTIL SUNDAY. THE TUTT LOW OVER CUBA IS EXPECTED TO
MOVE FURTHER WEST AS RIDGE EXTENDS ACROSS THE LOCAL REGION. A
SECOND TUTT LOW...WELL NORTHEAST OF THE REGION IS EXPECTED TO SINK
SOUTHWARD APPROACHING TO THE LOCAL ISLANDS LATE SATURDAY AND
SUNDAY.
THE LOCAL WEATHER FOR LATE SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY...WILL BE DICTATED
BY THE TRACK OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN. EARLY INDICATIONS ARE
THAT IT WILL PASS MAINLY SOUTH OF THE LOCAL AREA...BUT THIS COULD
CHANGE. THE LOCAL ISLANDS MAY STILL RECEIVE ACTIVE WEATHER FROM
IT...WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...INCREASING WINDS AND AT
LEAST LOCALLY HAZARDOUS SEAS. ALL LOCAL RESIDENTS AND VISITORS
SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THIS SYSTEM DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS.
&&
.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN AT ALL TAF SITES
THROUGH AT LEAST 10/18Z. SHRA/TSRA WILL FORM ONCE AGAIN IN AND AROUND
TJBQ AND TJMZ THIS AFTERNOON. TJSJ 10/00Z SOUNDING SHOWED SOUTHEAST
WINDS AT AROUND 10 KTS BLW 20 KFT.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 91 80 90 80 / 20 10 10 20
STT 90 81 90 81 / 10 10 10 20
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
447 AM AST FRI AUG 10 2012
.SYNOPSIS...AN UPPER LEVEL TUTT LOW WEST OF THE REGION WILL CONTINUE
TO SHIFT WEST...WELL AWAY FROM THE LOCAL ISLANDS TODAY. A SECOND
TUTT LOW NORTHEAST OF THE REGION IS EXPECTED TO MOVE CLOSE OR
OVER THE LOCAL ISLANDS SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY. AT 5 AM AST...
TROPICAL DEPRESION SEVEN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.6 NORTH AND
LONGITUDE 47.2 WEST OR ABOUT 930 MILES EAST OF THE WINDWARD
ISLANDS.
&&
.DISCUSSION...WEATHER RADAR DETECTED A LINE OF SHOWERS...
ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL STORM FLORENCE...JUST
EAST OF PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS THIS MORNING...BUT
NO PCPN WAS DETECTED OVER LAND AREAS. SATELLITE IMAGES THIS
MORNING DEPICTED A LARGE AREA OF CLOUDINESS NORTH NORTHEAST OF THE
REGION. THIS ACTIVITY IS ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL
STORM FLORENCE. THE GFS MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THAT AN OVERALL
DRIER...STABLE AND HAZY AIR MASS WITH LIMITED CONVECTION...SHOULD
ENCOMPASS THE LOCAL AREA FRIDAY NIGHT AND IS EXPECTED TO LINGER
THROUGH AT LEAST SUNDAY. IN FACT...PWAT VALUES WILL CONTINUE BELOW
1.50 INCHES UNTIL SUNDAY. THE TUTT LOW OVER CUBA IS EXPECTED TO
MOVE FURTHER WEST AS RIDGE EXTENDS ACROSS THE LOCAL REGION. A
SECOND TUTT LOW...WELL NORTHEAST OF THE REGION IS EXPECTED TO SINK
SOUTHWARD APPROACHING TO THE LOCAL ISLANDS LATE SATURDAY AND
SUNDAY.
THE LOCAL WEATHER FOR LATE SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY...WILL BE DICTATED
BY THE TRACK OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN. EARLY INDICATIONS ARE
THAT IT WILL PASS MAINLY SOUTH OF THE LOCAL AREA...BUT THIS COULD
CHANGE. THE LOCAL ISLANDS MAY STILL RECEIVE ACTIVE WEATHER FROM
IT...WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...INCREASING WINDS AND AT
LEAST LOCALLY HAZARDOUS SEAS. ALL LOCAL RESIDENTS AND VISITORS
SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THIS SYSTEM DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS.
&&
.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN AT ALL TAF SITES
THROUGH AT LEAST 10/18Z. SHRA/TSRA WILL FORM ONCE AGAIN IN AND AROUND
TJBQ AND TJMZ THIS AFTERNOON. TJSJ 10/00Z SOUNDING SHOWED SOUTHEAST
WINDS AT AROUND 10 KTS BLW 20 KFT.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 91 80 90 80 / 20 10 10 20
STT 90 81 90 81 / 10 10 10 20
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Gustywind
- Category 5
- Posts: 12334
- Joined: Mon Sep 03, 2007 7:29 am
- Location: Baie-Mahault, GUADELOUPE
Latest on DT 7
000
WTNT32 KNHC 100840
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072012
500 AM AST FRI AUG 10 2012
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION MOVING RAPIDLY WESTWARD...NO CHANGE IN
STRENGTH...
SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.6N 47.2W
ABOUT 930 MI...1495 KM E OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 20 MPH...32 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB...29.80 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
INTERESTS IN THE WINDWARD ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
THIS SYSTEM. TROPICAL STORM WATCHES COULD BE REQUIRED LATER TODAY.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 47.2 WEST. THE
DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 20 MPH...32 KM/H...AND
THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE DEPRESSION WILL APPROACH THE WINDWARD
ISLANDS SATURDAY NIGHT.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...
AND THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1009 MB...29.80 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM AST.
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
000
WTNT32 KNHC 100840
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072012
500 AM AST FRI AUG 10 2012
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION MOVING RAPIDLY WESTWARD...NO CHANGE IN
STRENGTH...
SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.6N 47.2W
ABOUT 930 MI...1495 KM E OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 20 MPH...32 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB...29.80 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
INTERESTS IN THE WINDWARD ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
THIS SYSTEM. TROPICAL STORM WATCHES COULD BE REQUIRED LATER TODAY.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 47.2 WEST. THE
DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 20 MPH...32 KM/H...AND
THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE DEPRESSION WILL APPROACH THE WINDWARD
ISLANDS SATURDAY NIGHT.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...
AND THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1009 MB...29.80 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM AST.
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
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cycloneye
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- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: Caribbean - C America - Tropical Storm Watch issued
Tropical Storm Watch issued for some of the Lesser Antilles islands
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072012
500 PM AST FRI AUG 10 2012
...TROPICAL STORM WATCHES ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE LESSER
ANTILLES...
SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.7N 51.9W
ABOUT 510 MI...825 KM E OF BARBADOS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 24 MPH...39 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB...29.80 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
THE GOVERNMENT OF FRANCE HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR
GUADELOUPE AND MARTINIQUE.
THE GOVERNMENT OF BARBADOS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR
BARBADOS...ST. VINCENT AND THE GRENADINES...AND DOMINICA.
THE GOVERNMENT OF ST. LUCIA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR
ST. LUCIA.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* GUADELOUPE AND MARTINIQUE
* DOMINICA
* ST. LUCIA
* BARBADOS
* ST. VINCENT AND THE GRENADINES
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072012
500 PM AST FRI AUG 10 2012
...TROPICAL STORM WATCHES ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE LESSER
ANTILLES...
SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.7N 51.9W
ABOUT 510 MI...825 KM E OF BARBADOS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 24 MPH...39 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB...29.80 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
THE GOVERNMENT OF FRANCE HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR
GUADELOUPE AND MARTINIQUE.
THE GOVERNMENT OF BARBADOS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR
BARBADOS...ST. VINCENT AND THE GRENADINES...AND DOMINICA.
THE GOVERNMENT OF ST. LUCIA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR
ST. LUCIA.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* GUADELOUPE AND MARTINIQUE
* DOMINICA
* ST. LUCIA
* BARBADOS
* ST. VINCENT AND THE GRENADINES
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cycloneye
- Admin
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- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
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Re: Caribbean - C America - Tropical Storm Watch issued
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 5A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072012
800 PM AST FRI AUG 10 2012
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION RACING WESTWARD...EXPECTED TO MOVE OVER THE
WINDWARD ISLANDS SATURDAY...
SUMMARY OF 800 PM AST...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.8N 52.8W
ABOUT 450 MI...725 KM E OF BARBADOS
ABOUT 550 MI...890 KM E OF MARTINIQUE
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 24 MPH...39 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB...29.80 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* GUADELOUPE AND MARTINIQUE
* DOMINICA
* ST. LUCIA
* BARBADOS
* ST. VINCENT AND THE GRENADINES
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE IN 24 TO 36 HOURS.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 PM AST...0000 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 52.8 WEST. THE
DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 24 MPH...39 KM/H...AND
THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY. ON THE
FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE CYCLONE WILL BE NEAR THE
WINDWARD ISLANDS ON SATURDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO...AND
THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM BEFORE REACHING THE
ISLANDS.
NOAA BUOY 41040...LOCATED ABOUT 50 MILES...80 KM...NORTH-NORTHWEST
OF THE CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION...RECENTLY REPORTED A SUSTAINED
WIND OF 36 MPH...57 KM/H...AND A GUST OF 40 MPH...65 KM/H.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1009 MB...29.80 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA
SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT.
RAINFALL...TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES WITH
ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 3 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS PORTIONS
OF THE LESSER ANTILLES THROUGH SATURDAY.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM AST.
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 5A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072012
800 PM AST FRI AUG 10 2012
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION RACING WESTWARD...EXPECTED TO MOVE OVER THE
WINDWARD ISLANDS SATURDAY...
SUMMARY OF 800 PM AST...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.8N 52.8W
ABOUT 450 MI...725 KM E OF BARBADOS
ABOUT 550 MI...890 KM E OF MARTINIQUE
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 24 MPH...39 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB...29.80 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* GUADELOUPE AND MARTINIQUE
* DOMINICA
* ST. LUCIA
* BARBADOS
* ST. VINCENT AND THE GRENADINES
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE IN 24 TO 36 HOURS.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 PM AST...0000 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 52.8 WEST. THE
DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 24 MPH...39 KM/H...AND
THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY. ON THE
FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE CYCLONE WILL BE NEAR THE
WINDWARD ISLANDS ON SATURDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO...AND
THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM BEFORE REACHING THE
ISLANDS.
NOAA BUOY 41040...LOCATED ABOUT 50 MILES...80 KM...NORTH-NORTHWEST
OF THE CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION...RECENTLY REPORTED A SUSTAINED
WIND OF 36 MPH...57 KM/H...AND A GUST OF 40 MPH...65 KM/H.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1009 MB...29.80 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA
SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT.
RAINFALL...TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES WITH
ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 3 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS PORTIONS
OF THE LESSER ANTILLES THROUGH SATURDAY.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM AST.
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
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Re: Caribbean - C America - Tropical Storm Watch issued
All of you in the affected areas take good care to protect yourselves and your property...stay safe people....John(umderthwx)
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Gustywind
- Category 5
- Posts: 12334
- Joined: Mon Sep 03, 2007 7:29 am
- Location: Baie-Mahault, GUADELOUPE
Re: Caribbean - C America - Tropical Storm Watch issued
underthwx wrote:All of you in the affected areas take good care to protect yourselves and your property...stay safe people....John(umderthwx)
Thanks to you,
, we appreciate. We will keep you informed as possible .
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cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 145330
- Age: 68
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: Caribbean - C America - Tropical Storm Watch issued
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN ADVISORY NUMBER 6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072012
1100 PM AST FRI AUG 10 2012
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION HEADING FOR THE WINDWARD ISLANDS ON
SATURDAY...
SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.9N 54.1W
ABOUT 365 MI...590 KM E OF BARBADOS
ABOUT 465 MI...750 KM E OF MARTINIQUE
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 24 MPH...39 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB...29.80 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* GUADELOUPE AND MARTINIQUE
* DOMINICA
* ST. LUCIA
* BARBADOS
* ST. VINCENT AND THE GRENADINES
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE IN 24 TO 36 HOURS.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 54.1 WEST. THE
DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 24 MPH...39 KM/H...AND
THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY. ON THE
FORECAST TRACK THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO APPROACH THE WINDWARD
ISLANDS ON SATURDAY.
[b]MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO...AND
THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM BEFORE REACHING THE
WINDWARD ISLANDS.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1009 MB...29.80 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA
SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT.
RAINFALL...TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES WITH
ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 3 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS PORTIONS
OF THE LESSER ANTILLES THROUGH SATURDAY.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 AM AST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM AST.
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN[/b]
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN ADVISORY NUMBER 6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072012
1100 PM AST FRI AUG 10 2012
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION HEADING FOR THE WINDWARD ISLANDS ON
SATURDAY...
SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.9N 54.1W
ABOUT 365 MI...590 KM E OF BARBADOS
ABOUT 465 MI...750 KM E OF MARTINIQUE
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 24 MPH...39 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB...29.80 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* GUADELOUPE AND MARTINIQUE
* DOMINICA
* ST. LUCIA
* BARBADOS
* ST. VINCENT AND THE GRENADINES
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE IN 24 TO 36 HOURS.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 54.1 WEST. THE
DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 24 MPH...39 KM/H...AND
THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY. ON THE
FORECAST TRACK THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO APPROACH THE WINDWARD
ISLANDS ON SATURDAY.
[b]MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO...AND
THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM BEFORE REACHING THE
WINDWARD ISLANDS.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1009 MB...29.80 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA
SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT.
RAINFALL...TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES WITH
ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 3 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS PORTIONS
OF THE LESSER ANTILLES THROUGH SATURDAY.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 AM AST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM AST.
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN[/b]
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cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 145330
- Age: 68
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: Caribbean - C America - Tropical Storm Watch issued
Good morning. Some squally weather will arrive today thru Sunday for some of the islands as TD 7 moves thru.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
519 AM AST SAT AUG 11 2012
.SYNOPSIS...AN UPPER LEVEL TUTT LOW...NORTHEAST OF THE AREA...IS
EXPECTED TO SINK SOUTHWESTWARD ACROSS THE LOCAL REGION TODAY AND
SUNDAY AND THEN WEST NORTHWESTWARD THROUGH MONDAY. TROPICAL
DEPRESSION SEVEN IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN
TONIGHT AND THEN SOUTH OF THE LOCAL ISLANDS ON SUNDAY.
&&
.DISCUSSION...DOPPLER WEATHER RADAR DETECTED ONLY A FEW ISOLATED
SHOWERS ACROSS THE SURROUNDING COASTAL WATERS WITH NO PRECIPITATION
OVER LAND AREAS SO FAR THIS MORNING. LATEST SATELLITE PICTURES THIS
MORNING DEPICTED A LARGE AREA OF CLOUDINESS ASSOCIATED WITH THE
REMNANTS OF TROPICAL STORM FLORENCE WELL NORTH OF PUERTO RICO. A
HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE ACROSS THE REGION WILL MAINTAIN AN OVERALL
DRIER...STABLE AND HAZY AIR MASS WITH LIMITED CONVECTION ACROSS
THE LOCAL ISLANDS TODAY. TJSJ 11/00Z SOUNDING INDICATED A CAP AT
6300 FEET WITH VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES. THIS DRY WEATHER
IS EXPECTED TO LINGER THROUGH AT LEAST TONIGHT. IN FACT...PWAT
VALUES WILL CONTINUE BELOW 1.50 TODAY...INCREASING SLIGHTLY TONIGHT
AND FURTHER MORE ON SUNDAY. THE TUTT LOW NORTHEAST OF THE REGION
IS EXPECTED TO AMPLIFY SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE LOCAL ISLANDS TODAY
AND SUNDAY. HOWEVER...THIS FEATURE WILL HAVE LIMITED INFLUENCES
OVER THE LOCAL WEATHER DUE TO THE CAP OVER THE REGION.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN IS EXPECTED TO MOVE QUICKLY WESTWARD AROUND
24 MPH OR SO DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS...WHILE PASSING WELL SOUTH OF
THE ISLANDS TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY. AT THIS MOMENT...THE ONLY
IMPACTS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL BE HAZARDOUS SEAS AND SOME
SQUALLY WEATHER MAINLY ACROSS THE LOCAL CARIBBEAN WATERS.
&&
.AVIATION...VFR CONDS WILL PREVAIL AT ALL TAF SITES THROUGH THE
FORECAST PERIOD. ISOLD-SCT LOW LEVEL CLDS WITH FEW QUICK PASSING
LIGHT SHRA MAY AFFECT FA BTW ERN PR AND THE NRN LEEWARDS THROUGH
FCST PRD. ALSO...ISOLD SHRA/TSRA MAY DEVELOP VCNTY TJMZ BTW 11/18Z
AND 11/22Z. RECENT TJSJ 11/00Z UPPER AIR SOUNDING AS WELL AS LATEST
WSR-88D VAD WIND PROFILE SUGGESTS EAST WNDS AT 10-25 KTS BLO 20K FT.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 90 80 89 79 / 10 20 40 50
STT 90 81 90 79 / 10 20 40 50
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
519 AM AST SAT AUG 11 2012
.SYNOPSIS...AN UPPER LEVEL TUTT LOW...NORTHEAST OF THE AREA...IS
EXPECTED TO SINK SOUTHWESTWARD ACROSS THE LOCAL REGION TODAY AND
SUNDAY AND THEN WEST NORTHWESTWARD THROUGH MONDAY. TROPICAL
DEPRESSION SEVEN IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN
TONIGHT AND THEN SOUTH OF THE LOCAL ISLANDS ON SUNDAY.
&&
.DISCUSSION...DOPPLER WEATHER RADAR DETECTED ONLY A FEW ISOLATED
SHOWERS ACROSS THE SURROUNDING COASTAL WATERS WITH NO PRECIPITATION
OVER LAND AREAS SO FAR THIS MORNING. LATEST SATELLITE PICTURES THIS
MORNING DEPICTED A LARGE AREA OF CLOUDINESS ASSOCIATED WITH THE
REMNANTS OF TROPICAL STORM FLORENCE WELL NORTH OF PUERTO RICO. A
HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE ACROSS THE REGION WILL MAINTAIN AN OVERALL
DRIER...STABLE AND HAZY AIR MASS WITH LIMITED CONVECTION ACROSS
THE LOCAL ISLANDS TODAY. TJSJ 11/00Z SOUNDING INDICATED A CAP AT
6300 FEET WITH VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES. THIS DRY WEATHER
IS EXPECTED TO LINGER THROUGH AT LEAST TONIGHT. IN FACT...PWAT
VALUES WILL CONTINUE BELOW 1.50 TODAY...INCREASING SLIGHTLY TONIGHT
AND FURTHER MORE ON SUNDAY. THE TUTT LOW NORTHEAST OF THE REGION
IS EXPECTED TO AMPLIFY SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE LOCAL ISLANDS TODAY
AND SUNDAY. HOWEVER...THIS FEATURE WILL HAVE LIMITED INFLUENCES
OVER THE LOCAL WEATHER DUE TO THE CAP OVER THE REGION.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN IS EXPECTED TO MOVE QUICKLY WESTWARD AROUND
24 MPH OR SO DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS...WHILE PASSING WELL SOUTH OF
THE ISLANDS TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY. AT THIS MOMENT...THE ONLY
IMPACTS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL BE HAZARDOUS SEAS AND SOME
SQUALLY WEATHER MAINLY ACROSS THE LOCAL CARIBBEAN WATERS.
&&
.AVIATION...VFR CONDS WILL PREVAIL AT ALL TAF SITES THROUGH THE
FORECAST PERIOD. ISOLD-SCT LOW LEVEL CLDS WITH FEW QUICK PASSING
LIGHT SHRA MAY AFFECT FA BTW ERN PR AND THE NRN LEEWARDS THROUGH
FCST PRD. ALSO...ISOLD SHRA/TSRA MAY DEVELOP VCNTY TJMZ BTW 11/18Z
AND 11/22Z. RECENT TJSJ 11/00Z UPPER AIR SOUNDING AS WELL AS LATEST
WSR-88D VAD WIND PROFILE SUGGESTS EAST WNDS AT 10-25 KTS BLO 20K FT.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 90 80 89 79 / 10 20 40 50
STT 90 81 90 79 / 10 20 40 50
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Gustywind
- Category 5
- Posts: 12334
- Joined: Mon Sep 03, 2007 7:29 am
- Location: Baie-Mahault, GUADELOUPE
000
WTNT32 KNHC 110833
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072012
500 AM AST SAT AUG 11 2012
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION CONTINUES MOVING RAPIDLY WESTWARD...HURRICANE
HUNTER AIRCRAFT TO INVESTIGATE LATER THIS MORNING...
SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...14.0N 56.1W
ABOUT 235 MI...380 KM ENE OF BARBADOS
ABOUT 330 MI...535 KM E OF MARTINIQUE
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 24 MPH...39 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB...29.80 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* GUADELOUPE AND MARTINIQUE
* DOMINICA
* ST. LUCIA
* BARBADOS
* ST. VINCENT AND THE GRENADINES
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE IN 12 TO 24 HOURS.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 56.1 WEST. THE
DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 24 MPH...39 KM/H...AND
THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY. ON THE
FORECAST TRACK...THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH THE
WINDWARD ISLANDS LATER THIS AFTERNOON OR TONIGHT.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO...AND
THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM BEFORE REACHING THE
WINDWARD ISLANDS. AFTER PASSING THE WINDWARD ISLANDS...THE SYSTEM
IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE SUNDAY NIGHT OR MONDAY AS IT ENCOUNTERS
UNFAVORABLE UPPER-LEVEL WINDS.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1009 MB...29.80 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA
LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT.
RAINFALL...TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES WITH
ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 3 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS PORTIONS
OF THE LESSER ANTILLES TODAY.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 AM AST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM AST.
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
WTNT32 KNHC 110833
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072012
500 AM AST SAT AUG 11 2012
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION CONTINUES MOVING RAPIDLY WESTWARD...HURRICANE
HUNTER AIRCRAFT TO INVESTIGATE LATER THIS MORNING...
SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...14.0N 56.1W
ABOUT 235 MI...380 KM ENE OF BARBADOS
ABOUT 330 MI...535 KM E OF MARTINIQUE
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 24 MPH...39 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB...29.80 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* GUADELOUPE AND MARTINIQUE
* DOMINICA
* ST. LUCIA
* BARBADOS
* ST. VINCENT AND THE GRENADINES
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE IN 12 TO 24 HOURS.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 56.1 WEST. THE
DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 24 MPH...39 KM/H...AND
THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY. ON THE
FORECAST TRACK...THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH THE
WINDWARD ISLANDS LATER THIS AFTERNOON OR TONIGHT.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO...AND
THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM BEFORE REACHING THE
WINDWARD ISLANDS. AFTER PASSING THE WINDWARD ISLANDS...THE SYSTEM
IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE SUNDAY NIGHT OR MONDAY AS IT ENCOUNTERS
UNFAVORABLE UPPER-LEVEL WINDS.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1009 MB...29.80 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA
LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT.
RAINFALL...TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES WITH
ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 3 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS PORTIONS
OF THE LESSER ANTILLES TODAY.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 AM AST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM AST.
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
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Re: Caribbean - C America - Tropical Storm Watch issued
Good day to Gusty and all my friends in the Caribbean...I read your post on the TD7 thread Gusty...and I must say that sometime people not of your region tend to forget the impacts of a system such as TD7 on your life and property...I remain concerned for yall and vigilant until the threat passes...whenever a system is evolving...the Caribbean region and it's population bear the brunt of what a Tropical System's effects have to offer...my point is this...while TD7 may be a poorly defined system and may even dissapate...your region may experience serious conditions and that dictates maintaining a vigil on the weather...even though I reside on the Texas coast far away from yall...I am always concerned for you and all my friends living in what I call paradise...so again I say take good care...and be safe...John....(Happy Birthday CE!...enjoy your day bro.)
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Gustywind
- Category 5
- Posts: 12334
- Joined: Mon Sep 03, 2007 7:29 am
- Location: Baie-Mahault, GUADELOUPE
Re: Caribbean - C America - Tropical Storm Watch issued
underthwx wrote:Good day to Gusty and all my friends in the Caribbean...I read your post on the TD7 thread Gusty...and I must say that sometime people not of your region tend to forget the impacts of a system such as TD7 on your life and property...I remain concerned for yall and vigilant until the threat passes...whenever a system is evolving...the Caribbean region and it's population bear the brunt of what a Tropical System's effects have to offer...my point is this...while TD7 may be a poorly defined system and may even dissapate...your region may experience serious conditions and that dictates maintaining a vigil on the weather...even though I reside on the Texas coast far away from yall...I am always concerned for you and all my friends living in what I call paradise...so adain I say take good care...and be safe...John....(Happy Birthday CE!...enjoy your day bro.)
EXCELLENT POST :) We suffered always from that! You're very kind and i really appreciate your words towards us my friend
Thanks to you, we will keep your informed. Even if this thing is retograde too twave or not ( should it verifies first...) the main problem could be eventual floodings, so we should must monitor carefully the situation.
Regards
Gustywind
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cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 145330
- Age: 68
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: Caribbean - C America - Tropical Storm Watch issued
Thanks to both of you for the Birthday congrats.
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