Caribbean - Central America Weather

[underthwx]

:uarrow: Thanks to both of you for the Birthday congrats.

It is an honor my friend...

[underthwx]

Gusty...can you explain your local system of alerts...I understand you are currently under a Yellow Vigilance alert...is that cortect?...

[Macrocane]

Happy Birthday cycloneye!!!! have many blessings and enjoy this day with your family and friends!

[underthwx]

CE...so inquiring minds want to know...how old are you now?,,,

[cycloneye]

TD 7 is downgraded

BULLETIN
REMNANTS OF SEVEN ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072012
1100 AM AST SAT AUG 11 2012

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION DEGENERATES INTO A TROPICAL WAVE...SQUALLY
WEATHER STILL LIKELY ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE LESSER ANTILLES LATER
TODAY AND TONIGHT...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.3N 58.9W
ABOUT 40 MI...65 KM E OF BARBADOS
ABOUT 170 MI...275 KM SE OF MARTINIQUE
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 25 MPH...41 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1011 MB...29.85 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENTS OF FRANCE...BARBADOS...AND ST. LUCIA HAVE
DISCONTINUED ALL TROPICAL STORM WATCHES IN THE LESSER ANTILLES.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN THE WINDWARD ISLANDS SHOULD STILL MONITOR THE PROGRESS
OF THIS SYSTEM.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
RECONNAISSANCE DATA INDICATE THAT TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN HAS
DEGENERATED INTO A TROPICAL WAVE. AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE
REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN WERE LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
13.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 58.9 WEST. THE TROPICAL WAVE IS FORECAST TO
MOVE WESTWARD ACROSS THE LESSER ANTILLES AND THE CARIBBEAN SEA OVER
THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS MAINLY IN SQUALLS.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1011 MB...29.85 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...GUSTS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE ARE STILL POSSIBLE IN SQUALLS
ACROSS THE WINDWARD ISLANDS LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT.

RAINFALL...TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES WITH
ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 3 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS PORTIONS
OF THE LESSER ANTILLES TODAY AND TONIGHT.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM UNLESS REGENERATION OCCURS. ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS
ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER
NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC...AND IN ROUTINE TROPICAL
WEATHER OUTLOOKS...UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATWOAT AND WMO HEADER
ABNT20 KNHC.

$$
FORECASTER BERG/AVILA

[Gustywind]

Gusty...can you explain your local system of alerts...I understand you are currently under a Yellow Alert?...is that cortect?...

Yes , i will try, that's pretty complex, lol. To be simple this Yellow alerte equals to a WATCHES. That means that cyclonic effects could occur (as a TD or TS winds at 63km/h and more).
Read this article (see below) to have a better idea on that. Sources are from Meteo- France Guadeloupe

http://www.microsofttranslator.com/bv.a ... ilance.htm
The procedure of vigilance "dangerous time" to the Antilles-Guyane


Under the aegis of the world Organization of meteorology (WMO) and to protect the populations, particularly in the less well equipped countries, world regions subject to tropical cyclones are grouped to implement warning systems.

In the Caribbean region / Central America, Committee composed of all States members of the WMO, hurricanes adopted a plan of operations for hurricanes, updated and completed each year. This plan recommends that the countries of the area the implementation of alert systems to prevent the populations of the next arrival of cyclones. It is in this context that put in place in our Caribbean of the Plans specialized emergency Cyclone (PSUC) departments, sometimes known also as unsuitable plan ORSEC Cyclone, which define the responsibilities for observation of phenomena, forecast, opinion, actions and determine the different communications to disseminate the population according to the risk incurred.

In Martinique and Guadeloupe, this Plan gradually fed during the last 20 years of the different experiences of threat or passage of cyclones on our islands: DAVID in 1979, HUGO in 1989, CINDY in 1993, DEBBY in 1994, IRIS then successively LUIS and MARILYN in the year 1995, GEORGES in 1998, José and LENNY in 1999, JEANNE and IVAN in 2004each of these phenomena with a singular behaviour.

Since 2006 in the West Indies, the VIGILANCE weather procedure is in force, as well for these hazards due to tropical cyclones, but for conventional weather risk (heavy rains, rough seas, etc...) now.

From late 2007 in Guiana also, this procedure was adopted (and adapted to the phenomena of this Department) for the dangers due to the risk of dangerous coastal sea and heavy rains.

VIGILANCE yellow : "Be careful!"

CYCLONE: a disturbance of cyclonic type (tropical storm or hurricane) can pose a threat to the territory, due still distant or vague, or closest maturity, but with limited impact (moderate impact) on the territory.

OUTSIDE CYCLONE: A danger of heavy rains (with or without thunderstorms) is close or started; or a danger to the very sustained Alizé wind known sometimes is planned or is in progress; or a risk of dangerous sea (strong and powerful swell breaking on the sides, or danger of heavy seas due to local wind) is scheduled or started.

-To keep it informed of changes to weather-France, media, news releases of the prefecture, etc.

-In the case of dangerous sea, do not take the sea without particular duty, avoid activities at risk on the beaches and coasts

-In the case of risk of heavy rain: avoid to undertake excursions in the mountains or near streams, and areas usually at risk in the occurrence of bad weather...

-In case of approaching cyclone, check (or complete if applicable):

** the State of reserves in drinking water (many bottles of mineral water) and food (dry food and canned goods, etc.), and especially for babies and weakened people. Think that if a cyclone devastated the territory, there is more electricity for many days, and thus more refrigerators, freezers, etc....

** the State of cells and batteries for the radio (to listen to the authorities, weather news,...)

VIGILANCE ORANGE : "Get ready!"

CYCLONE: a tropical cyclone (tropical storm or hurricane) represents a possible hazard with impact awaited term still somewhat remote and therefore with even a slight vagueness, or a very probable danger close due but with limited impact (moderate impact) in the territory.

OUTSIDE CYCLONE: A danger of very heavy rain (with or without thunderstorms) began or is imminent. or a particular hazard due to wind very sustained Alizé known sometimes is planned or underway; or a risk of dangerous sea (strong and powerful swell breaking on the sides, or danger of heavy seas due to local wind) is scheduled or started.

-To keep it informed in continuous evolution of the weather situation with weather-France, media, news of the prefecture, etc.

-In the case of dangerous sea, do not take the Sea (under any circumstances), avoid proximity to beaches where breaking rollers; protect its sailing boats.

-In the case of risk of heavy rain: avoid to undertake excursions in the mountains or near streams, and areas usually at risk in the occurrence of bad weather... Avoid any imperative output even in urban areas.

-In case of approaching cyclone, check once again if necessary (or if complete for several days in "survival" mode):

the State of the supply of drinking water (many bottles of mineral water) and food (dry foods and canned food for babies, etc.). Attention to food in freezers, electricity likely to be cut at length.

** the State of cells and batteries for the radio (to listen to the authorities, weather news,...).

** think to make the full of fuel for your vehicle, to protect your personal documents (paper), and to carry cash (distributors are then likely to be ineffective, difficult credit card purchases...).

** prepare housing (think of storing everything can become projectiles when the wind will blow), begin to consolidate doors and Windows (components, plywood, ribbons scotch on the glazed), put out of water (if risk of flooding place) objects, sensitive furniture...


VIGILANCE red : "Protect yourself!"

CYCLONE: a tropical cyclone (tropical storm or hurricane) represents a very probable danger due close with relatively strong effects (strong enough impact to fort), or to a little more distant deadline but with intense effects (major, violent cyclone) expected in the territory.

OUTSIDE CYCLONE: A danger of very heavy rain (with or without thunderstorms) started and its effects become serious (widespread flooding, risks of landslides, rockfalls,...); or a danger of exceptionally dangerous sea (strong and powerful swell breaking on the sides and capable of destroying pontoons, beaches, flooding on coastal roads) is scheduled or started.

-Stay tuned to the weather situation with weather-France, media, and especially the prefecture releases, etc.

-In the case of dangerous sea, do not take the Sea (under any circumstances), did not attend the beaches or shores where breaking rollers; protect its sailing boats.

-In the case of risk of heavy rain: avoid any exit and protect yourself. Avoid including mountainous areas (landslides, mounted sudden streams), and areas usually at risk in the occurrence of bad weather... Avoid absolutely any output even in urban areas.

-In case of cyclone approach:

** Join his home soon (or shelter duly reported by town halls) and finally to protect (at the level of openings). think about disassembling the external antennas and satellite dishes.

** Remove or stow the objects on the outside, so that they become dangerous projectiles.

** Return the animals.

** Prepare the room safer for the whole family if necessary; distribute the means of emergency lighting (candles, torches,...).

** In General, avoid all travel and facilitate the work of the teams of the town halls...

ONLY in the case of CYCLONE TROPICAL VIOLENT to crack down on the territory,
2 other colours have been included in this procedure

VIGILANCE violet : "Confine you, do not exit!"

Intense tropical cyclone (major hurricane) represents imminent danger for part or all of the territory, its impact is very important.

-Stay in listening to the weather situation, weather-France, media, news of the prefecture, etc.

-Stay calm (not panic) and the shelter; strengthen, if need be, the doors within the home; away openings (be confined in the safest room).

-Do not use the phone unless absolutely necessary.

-A period of relative calm weather can occur just after conditions very violent: do not, because it's probably the passage of the eye of the hurricane, followed closely by new intense and severe conditions.

-Wait for the instructions of the authorities before moving.

-As a general rule, do not go out and do circulate under any pretext (because of the extreme danger, then under penalty of criminal prosecution) also...


VIGILANCE grey : "Stay cautious!"

A tropical cyclone crossed the territory, with damage. Even if the weather conditions are being improved, remains a danger (floods, flows of mud, electric wires to the ground, cut roads,...). Clearing and relief teams need to start work without be hampered in their movement and their activities.

-Continue to be listening to the prefecture releases, media, weather conditions, etc. Wait in general orders of the authorities.

-Avoid going out, do not interfere with the teams of rescue and clearing; but away points lower and courses of dangerous water, without having to cross Fords, gullies and ditches submerged.

-Clear if need be your home, but without touching the fallen to the ground wire...

-Assist its neighbors if necessary, prevent relief where appropriate.

-Avoid the use of the phones unless absolutely necessary (congestion of networks, teams priority relief,...).

-Use your vehicle in urgent need, and in this case, drive with extreme caution.

-Verify the quality of the water drinking...

Green VIGILANCE : "More significant dangers or hazards away!"

CYCLONE: the dangers inherent in the passage of a tropical cyclone away definitively, that the cyclone has interested or not the territory. This corresponds to the gradual return to a more normal weather conditions... If this phase is announced by a passage of cyclone that caused notable damage, remain sufficiently cautious, territory not having probably not found yet the integrity of its operation, some networks (roads, water, electricity) can be cut even momentarily, rivers and ditches still congested...OUTSIDE CYCLONE: The danger of heavy rains (with or without storms), strong wind or dangerous sea, decreases and is more likely to be a significant danger.May that "rising power" phases of the procedure, the disturbance regresses or away without causing damage: green color can then be issued as soon as the weather conditions were more likely to get worse.

[BZSTORM]

Happy Birthday Cycloneye.......another Leo who knew

And a happy day for us all along TD7 original track, just seen TD7 dissipated and been relegated to a TW on NHC site, so its now rain threat only for Islands, I know its still a threat but no where as bad as a storm.

[cycloneye]

Happy Birthday cycloneye!!!! have many blessings and enjoy this day with your family and friends!

Thank you my friends Macrocane and BZSTORM. underthwx, I am 56 years old.

[Gustywind]

Yeah BZSTORM and that's the good news even if rain should always pose a threat. I hope that that our bikers of our Cycling Tour of Guadeloupe won't suffer from this (possible) rain event . Guadeloupe should return on an yellow alert for a risk of strong showers and tstorms but not an Yellow Alert Cyclone

[underthwx]

Well CE...again you are welcome...I will be 52 November 24 of this year....

[msbee]

Happy Birthday Luis



I'm hoping our favorite weather man takes some time off and enjoys his special day with family and friends!
Wishing a special day to a special guy!
Barbara

[BZSTORM]

We just have weak TW cross us in the south Belize today - some hard rain and couple of near lightning strikes to my home = power out for half hour, mad rush around unplugging things but this is way better than having a TS. And its cooled the air down nicely, yesterday was mega humid and hot. Our TW is miniscule compared to what you isle guys are having today so hope you dont get too much hard rain.

And looks like I'm the baby on here 48 this last week lol, Luis enjoy your B'day with fam & friends looks like you have some perfect weather as well over PR.

[BZSTORM]

Oh man just read over on the D7 remnants threat about the dire situation in Northern Trinidad, any loss of life be it only 1 is one to many, and read that with depression broken circulation the waves rain is spreading out and making a bad situation worse. Trust everyone in TT and neigboursing Isles keep safe as they can, praying that no more lives are lost.

[msbee]

so sorry to hear about Trinidad and Tobago.
There are pics of some of the flooding here.
http://www.stormcarib.com/reports/curre ... idad.shtml

[Gustywind]

Us in Guadeloupe, continue to monitor carefully the situation even if DT 7 collapses and degenerate in a strong and active twave because of since 5PM...the butterfly island is now under an orange alert for a risk of strong showers tstorms and rough sea. Given the latest weather forecast of our Pro Mets, Guadeloupe should experience rainfall values between 100 to 150 millimiters during next 12 hours (what is pretty high IMO but i'm not forecaster ).

http://www.meteo.fr/temps/domtom/antill ... ameter=new Date().getTime() ( French version for those who are interrested ).

So let's see how the things evolve during the night, hoping for the best. Anyway, if something occur, i will keep your informed.

Off topic, enjoy that day Luis, we love you our Superman !

[cycloneye]

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
919 PM AST SAT AUG 11 2012

.UPDATE...A TROPICAL WAVE ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL
DEPRESSION SEVEN...IS CURRENTLY LOCATED OVER THE WINDWARD ISLANDS
AND IS MOVING WESTWARD AT AROUND 20 MPH. DRY AND STABLE AIR MASS
REMAINS IN PLACE ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA THROUGH AT LEAST NOON
SUNDAY. THE 18Z GFS SUGGESTS THAT THE MOISTURE WILL QUICKLY SURGE
SUNDAY AFTERNOON ACROSS THE USVI AND EARLY IN THE EVENING ACROSS
PR. THE MOST ACTIVE PERIOD LOOKS LIKE SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY
MORNING. THIS WAVE WILL INCREASE THE CHANCES FOR SQUALLY WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACROSS THE ISLANDS AND SURROUNDING WATERS...WITH THE
POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAINFALL AND LOCALIZED FLOODING...PARTICULARLY
ACROSS SOUTHEAST PR AND SAINT CROIX. IN GENERAL...THE FORECAST
REASONING HAS NOT CHANGED FROM THE PREVIOUS ISSUANCE. MINOR TWEAKS
WERE MADE TO THE SHORT RANGE WEATHER ELEMENTS...MAINLY TO FINE
TUNE THE TIMING OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

I had a great day with my family,Thanks again to all for the congrats.

[cycloneye]

Good morning. Scattered showers with some gusts will be moving thru PR today thru Monday.

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
600 AM AST SUN AUG 12 2012

.SYNOPSIS...TUTT AND ASSOCIATED LOW CENTERED ACROSS THE CENTRAL
ATLANTIC...EXTENDS SOUTHWEST ACROSS THE NORTHEAST CARIBBEAN. IT
WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY SHIFT WESTWARD...BECOMING LOCATED JUST WEST
TO NORTHWEST OF THE REGION LATE MONDAY NIGHT OR TUESDAY. THE REMNANTS
OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN...NOW AN ACTIVE TROPICAL WAVE...CONTINUED
TO CROSS THE WINDWARD ISLANDS AND ENTER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN THIS MORNING.
IT WILL THEN MOVE ACROSS THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN AND AFFECT THE LOCAL
REGION BRINGING INCREASING CLOUDINESS AND ACTIVE WEATHER TODAY THROUGH
EARLY MONDAY.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
TROPICAL MOISTURE ALONG THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE TROPICAL WAVE
CONTINUED TO SPREAD ACROSS THE NORTHERN LEEWARDS AND WAS RAPIDLY
APPROACHING THE VIRGIN ISLANDS. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND DOPPLER WEATHER
RADAR SHOWED SMALL BANDS OF SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS MOVING
ACROSS THE ISLAND OF SAINT CROIX AND CONTINUING WESTWARDS TOWARDS
EASTERN PUERTO RICO. THE BLENDED TOTAL PRECIP WATER ANALYSIS ALSO
SHOWED RISING PWAT VALUES ACROSS THE NORTHEAST CARIBBEAN. LATEST
GFS MODEL GUIDANCE CONTINUED TO SUGGEST THAT DEEP MOISTURE WILL
QUICKLY SURGE AND SPREAD ACROSS THE REST OF THE VIRGIN ISLANDS
THIS MORNING THEN EVENTUALLY ACROSS PUERTO RICO LATER THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING. HOWEVER...THE MOST ACTIVE PERIOD STILL APPEARS IN THE
EVENING HOURS THROUGH EARLY MONDAY MORNING...AS ADDITIONAL MOISTURE
WILL BE LIFTED UP ACROSS THE REGION TRAILING THE WAVE. THIS WILL
THEREFORE INCREASE THE CHANCES FOR SQUALLY WEATHER CONDITIONS ACROSS
THE ISLANDS AND SURROUNDING WATERS...WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR PERIODS
OF HEAVY RAINFALL AND LOCALIZED FLOODING... ESPECIALLY ACROSS SOUTH
TO SOUTHEAST PUERTO RICO AND THE ISLAND OF SAINT CROIX.

&&

.AVIATION...THE MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE...FORMERLY
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN...WILL MOVE THROUGH TKPK AND TNCM BY
AROUND 12/12Z...PRODUCING PERIODS OF MVFR OR EVEN IFR CONDITIONS IN
+SHRA AND TSRA. THE WAVE IS EXPECTED TO APPROACH TIST AND TISX BY
12/15...SPREADING SHRA ACROSS THE USVI FROM 12/15Z-22Z. BANDS OF
RAIN WILL MOVE ACROSS EASTERN PUERTO RICO AFTER 12/18Z...SPREADING
WEST NORTHWESTWARD ACROSS THE REST OF THE ISLAND DURING THE REST OF
THE AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. HENCE...MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
THRU 12/14Z ACROSS THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND THRU 12/17Z ACROSS
PUERTO RICO. CONDITIONS WILL DETERIORATE RAPIDLY ACROSS PUERTO RICO
AFTER 12/18Z WITH SHRA AND TSRA WITH INCREASING MOUNTAIN OBSCURATIONS.
ENE LLVL WINDS WILL INCR THRU 12/18Z BECOMING 15 TO 25 KT WITH SFC
GUST UP TO 32 KT PSBL...WINDS 5-10K FT 25 TO 40 KT SHIFTING TO ESE
WITH WAVE PSG.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 87 78 87 79 / 50 50 40 40
STT 88 79 89 79 / 60 60 30 30

[cycloneye]

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
408 PM AST SUN AUG 12 2012

.SYNOPSIS...AN ACTIVE TROPICAL WAVE...THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL
DEPRESSION SEVEN...WILL CONTINUE MOVING WEST NORTHWEST ACROSS THE
REMAINDER OF THE LOCAL AREA TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY MONDAY AND THEN
AWAY FROM THE LOCAL REGION LATER MONDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. TUTT
JUST NORTHEAST OF THE LOCAL AREA WILL SHIFT WEST TONIGHT THROUGH
MONDAY...AND BECOME LOCATED JUST WEST THROUGH NORTHWEST OF THE
LOCAL ISLANDS MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT OR WEDNESDAY.

&&

.DISCUSSION...ACTIVE TROPICAL WAVE WILL CONTINUE MOVING WEST
NORTHWEST ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE LOCAL AREA TONIGHT THROUGH
EARLY MONDAY AND WILL INTERACT WITH LOCAL EFFECTS...TO PRODUCE
SOME CLOUDINESS...BANDS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...BREEZY TO
LOCALLY WINDY CONDITIONS AND HAZARDOUS SEAS. A TRICKY FORECAST IN
TERMS OF THE AMOUNT OF SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY FOR
TONIGHT...AS TROPICAL MOISTURE HAS CONTINUED TO INCREASE...BUT
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE BEEN SLOW TO DEVELOP.
NONETHELESS...HAVE GENERALLY STAYED THE COURSE FOR TONIGHT...WITH
JUST A SLIGHTLY SLOWER ENCROACHMENT OF THE ACTIVE WEATHER. EXPECT
WEATHER TO REMAIN UNSETTLED THROUGH THE FIRST PART OF MONDAY AND
POSSIBLY ALL DAY IN SOME AREAS...BUT DRIER AIR MASS BEGINS TO PUSH
INTO THE FA BY AFTERNOON...WITH AN OVERALL DRIER AND MORE STABLE
WEATHER REGIME STILL EXPECTED FOR MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY AND
PROBABLY LINGERING INTO WEDNESDAY...BEFORE AN INVERTED UPPER
TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED MOISTURE APPROACH/MOVE ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA
FROM THE EAST SOUTHEAST WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY.

&&

.AVIATION...GENERALLY EXPECT PREVAILING VFR CONDITIONS TO CONTINUE
ACROSS THE LOCAL ISLANDS AND AT ALL TAF SITES DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS. HOWEVER...BANDS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH MVFR OR
LOCAL IFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT MANY OF THE TAF SITES
THROUGH TONIGHT OR EARLY MONDAY...RESULTING IN REDUCED
VISIBILITIES...MOUNTAIN OBSCURATIONS AND LOCAL SURFACE WIND GUSTS
TO NEAR 35 KNOTS.

&&

.MARINE...FRESH TO STRONG WINDS AND HAZARDOUS SEAS ARE EXPECTED
ACROSS THE REGIONAL WATERS THROUGH TONIGHT OR EARLY MONDAY...
WITH WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDING BY LATER MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT
THROUGH TUESDAY. MARINERS SHOULD CONTINUE TO BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
BANDS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH SQUALLY CONDITIONS AND
POSSIBLE WATERSPOUTS THROUGH AT LEAST EARLY TONIGHT. A SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF THE LOCAL COASTAL
WATERS THROUGH AT LEAST EARLY THIS EVENING. PLEASE REFER TO THE
LOCAL MARINE PRODUCTS FOR FORECAST DETAILS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 78 87 79 89 / 50 40 40 40
STT 79 89 79 89 / 70 30 30 30

[Gustywind]

WEATHER. Back to green

franceantilles.fr 12.08.2012
http://www.microsofttranslator.com/bv.a ... 182192.php


Currently the wave completed through our islands and exhausts in Caribbean. The sky remains cloudy but the rains have become blurred. Of
moderate showers are still possible this afternoon. The sea is depreciated. The wind has decreased.


Currently the wave evacuated in Caribbean. The sky is cloudy, but the rains have become blurred. Moderate showers are still possible this afternoon. The sea is amortized with average lows of 2 m 50 about 3 m 50 maximum waves. It will continue its depreciation in the coming hours. Wind decreased, blowing on average at 30 km/h with locally of the gusting to 50 km/h.
Many thunderstorms fell close to our island, on Dominica where accumulations of precipitation on 12 hours reached 150 to 200 litres of water per m2. For our archipelago, the accumulation of 12 hour precipitation is insignificant: of the order of 10 to 20 litres of water per m2 in general, with peaks on the southern relief of the Basse-Terre between 50 to 60 litres of water per m2.
The atmosphere was turbulent Saturday night. At La Désirade it was recorded gusts to 84 km/h. On the Atlantic coast, the sea has been strong with average trough 3 m 50 and maximum waves from 6 m to 6 m 50.

[cycloneye]

Here is news from Dominica where there was damage caused by the heavy rains caused by the remnants of TD 7.

http://dominicanewsonline.com/news/home ... -dominica/

There are reports of damage around Dominica as heavy rains and winds associated with the remnants of Tropical Depression Seven lashed the island on Saturday night and Sunday morning.

The Canefield Airport was flooded and a section of the road to Layou Park has been cut off.

There are also unconfirmed reports of crop damages on the eastern part of the island.

Public Works Minister Rayburn Blackmoore and his technical team have been on the road on Sunday assessing the damages.

He said it is too early to offer an estimate on damages but speculates it could run ‘in the millions.’

DOMLEC and DOWASCO have also suffered damages with parts of the island without water and electricity.