Possible Tropical Storm for FL

[John]

After looking at some of the latest buoy data and the latest satellite imagery IMO, the center of Tropical Depression 12 is a little farther south than originally anticipated and may have gained Tropical Storm status. Buoys 42001 and 42003 suggest a central pressure of 1000 MB while 42003 is reporting sustained 35 KT winds. Since the deep convection remains well to the south and east of the LLCC further strengthening will be slow. A crew working on a barge just south of the Depression located underneath the deep convection reported they had winds approximately 40KTS, to me that would indicate the Tropical Storm force wind radii could extend 150 NM over the southeast quadrant, this might necessitate the issuance of Tropical Storm Watches to be extended further south for south Florida. Looks like heavy rain is going to be in the cards for much of Florida during the next few day's, Some AFD already are issuing Flood watches. More Later

[Josephine96]

The storm with a whimp name might be about to be born....

[Steve Cosby]

Dude,

I think you are off somewhere. Not only is 42003 not reporting 35KT winds, it hasn't done so over the history stated on this page:

http://seaboard.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.phtml?station=42003

[Frank P]

I think Henri is French isn't it... whatcha expect from the French.... hehe

[Stormsfury]

I think Henri is French isn't it... whatcha expect from the French.... hehe

LOL

[wxman57]

After looking at some of the latest buoy data and the latest satellite imagery IMO, the center of Tropical Depression 12 is a little farther south than originally anticipated and may have gained Tropical Storm status. Buoys 42001 and 42003 suggest a central pressure of 1000 MB while 42003 is reporting sustained 35 KT winds. Since the deep convection remains well to the south and east of the LLCC further strengthening will be slow. A crew working on a barge just south of the Depression located underneath the deep convection reported they had winds approximately 40KTS, to me that would indicate the Tropical Storm force wind radii could extend 150 NM over the southeast quadrant, this might necessitate the issuance of Tropical Storm Watches to be extended further south for south Florida. Looks like heavy rain is going to be in the cards for much of Florida during the next few day's, Some AFD already are issuing Flood watches. More Later

John, I'm not sure what you're looking at, but you are not looking at data in the NE Gulf as far as I can see. See my detailed posts in the thread entitled "Some intensity going now in TD 12 with a burst of.........".

Here's the 01Z (8pm CDT) buoy plots with some decoded info on them. Note the 15 knot (17 mph) circulation around the TD and pressures near 1010 mb. I think you may have misinterpreted a buoy plot of 100 as 1000 mb instead of 1010 mb.

<img src="http://home.houston.rr.com/wx/td12b.gif">

[cycloneye]

Thanks wxman57 to clear up some data that is not correct from other scources and 57 you do a great job bringing us all those sat pics with the observations that are very informative to all.

[wxman57]

Thanks wxman57 to clear up some data that is not correct from other scources and 57 you do a great job bringing us all those sat pics with the observations that are very informative to all.

Thanks, I'll try to keep y'all "honest".

[dixiebreeze]

Hi John, glad to see you made it to storm2k. Enjoy your posts.