Which storms will be the big ones in 2012?

[MiamiensisWx]

ERNESTO (07 August - 09 August) - Develops from the remnants of TD 5 in the Bay of Campeche. Does not exceed 45 knots before striking mainland Mexico.

FLORENCE (15 August - 19 August) - Short-lived Cape Verde-type system reaches TS intensity but misses Eastern Atlantic islands. 50 knots.

GORDON (21 August - 26 August) - Forms east of Cozumel, enters S Gulf of Mexico, and peaks at 65 knots. Hits Tamaulipas.

HELENE (02 September - 10 September) - Forms 400 mi SSW of Bermuda, recurves, and misses Canada and Bermuda. Reaches 105 knots.

ISAAC (16 September - 27 September) - Forms SW of Jamaica, crosses Cuba, and then hits N of Tampa. Peaks at 80 knots but weakens before hitting FL.

JOYCE (22 September - 25 September) - Forms off Mid-Atlantic, ahead of Isaac. Peaks at 60 knots. Hits Nova Scotia as ET system.

KIRK (30 September - 05 October) - Forms ESE of Santa Lucia, moves NW, and passes near PR. Moderate TS. 50 knots.

LESLIE (15 October - 29 October) - North-central Atlantic. Peaks at 90 knots; strikes Azores at 55 knots. ET thereafter.

MICHAEL (19 October - 03 November) - Forms N of Panama Isthmus; strikes Nicaragua at 75 knots. Later curves into Quintana Roo at 90 knots before entering Gulf of Mexico and crossing S FL as a TS at 50 knots.

Total: 13 TS / 6 H / 1 MH

[Jinkers]

Joyce, just a guess, I know someone with that name, and she could be a hurricane...lol

[HurricaneRyan]

Definitely wrong about Florence. Lol

Gordon, Helene, and Isaac are still up grabs then.

[somethingfunny]

It ain't over for Florence yet. Global models have it regenerating in the western Atlantic - and recurving near Bermuda... but it ain't over, at least.

Well, the 0z GFS had that scenario anyway - 12z does not. Poor Flo.

[Riptide]

I'm guessing that nothing much will form in the carribean or gulf during peak season, which breaks alot of forecasts in this thread. My prime area for developements are the Bahamas and the Central Atlantic.

[HurricaneRyan]

TD 7 never became Gordon, so Gordon is still up for grabs, and Helene and Isaac have bigger chances of being huge.

[StormClouds63]

Chris and Florence. Overall, early guess is 12/6/2.

I'm already wrong regarding "Chris."

I'm also wrong regarding Florence.

I'm the same dunce who in 2005 ... yes, 2005 ... thought that Franklin would be "the" storm. Do not take me to the casino. I did not pass Go, nor did I collect $200.

[Hurricaneman]

TD 7 never became Gordon, so Gordon is still up for grabs, and Helene and Isaac have bigger chances of being huge.

If the 18zGFS is right, exTD7 could still grab it though I do agree with you that I think Helene will be huge, but im not sure about Isaac

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[HurricaneRyan]

TD 7 never became Gordon, so Gordon is still up for grabs, and Helene and Isaac have bigger chances of being huge.

If the 18zGFS is right, exTD7 could still grab it though I do agree with you that I think Helene will be huge, but im not sure about Isaac

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products

Well, the seventh storm hasn't formed yet, and there definitely is a chance for two major hurricanes this season. One of them will be an early alphabet storm I think, so Gordon, Helene, and Isaac are still on my vibes.

[hurricanes1234]

Well, we were certainly wrong about Florence and Helene becoming major hurricanes. Someone thought Florence would be a Category 4 hurricane affecting several landmasses, but it was the opposite case. She began to poof after reaching 60 mph. She still was fun to track, though, because she was only expected to reach 45 mph. Also, Helene barely made it to tropical storm strength, but she was a well-behaved storm, because she did not strengthen before landfall.

[galaxy401]

I know it's getting late but I got a bad feeling about Leslie. Seems to stick out to me.

[HurricaneRyan]

Looks like Isaac will be the big one after all. It's really starting to look like it.

[Hurricane Alexis]

I've had a bad feeling about michael the whole season for some reason.

[HurricaneRyan]

I've had a bad feeling about michael the whole season for some reason.

I have vibes on that name too! Michael is just a powerful name in general, and I just think that if any name after Isaac is gonna be big, it would be Michael.

[HurricaneRyan]

I was right about Isaac. Definite big one.