ATL: ISAAC - Models

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OuterBanker
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L - Models

#401 Postby OuterBanker » Sun Aug 19, 2012 8:58 pm

LOL, Wxman. Has nogaps ever been right?

Looks like the lates models have narrowed it down to between La and Nova Scotia.
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#402 Postby Caribwxgirl » Sun Aug 19, 2012 9:04 pm

[quote="gatorcane"]SFWMD finally is updated for 94L. The TVCN (grey line NHC likes to generally go with for their projected track)...is bending to the NW at the end:

:http//img826.imageshack.us/img826/5107/storm94.gif/quote]

Oh you mean that one that's running right over my home :eek: :double:
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L - Models

#403 Postby Stormlover2012 » Sun Aug 19, 2012 9:08 pm

untill it develops a llc then the models are going to.be everywhere
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L - Models

#404 Postby CYCLONE MIKE » Sun Aug 19, 2012 9:21 pm

Actually the longer it takes to develop an llc the more west it will go and in turn the models will shift more west with less recurve or east coast scraping runs
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L - Models

#405 Postby Stormlover2012 » Sun Aug 19, 2012 9:29 pm

exactly and the thing has already moves wsw
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L - Models

#406 Postby ROCK » Sun Aug 19, 2012 9:36 pm

OuterBanker wrote:LOL, Wxman. Has nogaps ever been right?

Looks like the lates models have narrowed it down to between La and Nova Scotia.



hey you guys bashing my NOGAPS run.... :lol: :lol: yeah I know its crap but Doc Masters likes it for some reason. Right now it hasnt solved the riddle of this low in front....take awhile for it to catch on to the big boys....GFS EURO etc....
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L - Models

#407 Postby ROCK » Sun Aug 19, 2012 9:58 pm

0Z NAM

at 84hrs under PR heading similar to the 18Z GFS

http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/NCOMAGWEB/appc ... mageSize=M
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L - Models

#408 Postby ROCK » Sun Aug 19, 2012 10:34 pm

0Z GFS here we go.....hang on!!

http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... SLP006.gif
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#409 Postby Weatherfreak000 » Sun Aug 19, 2012 10:37 pm

Looks well initialized....here we go indeed...
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L - Models

#410 Postby ROCK » Sun Aug 19, 2012 10:38 pm

a lot weaker this run it seems to me.....

27hr

http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/NCOMAGWEB/appc ... mageSize=M
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L - Models

#411 Postby CYCLONE MIKE » Sun Aug 19, 2012 10:43 pm

And of course weaker means further west until it fully.develops, if it does.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L - Models

#412 Postby Blown Away » Sun Aug 19, 2012 10:45 pm

Looks more north early in the run??
http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... cal048.gif
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L - Models

#413 Postby ROCK » Sun Aug 19, 2012 10:45 pm

http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/NCOMAGWEB/appc ... mageSize=M


51hrs

http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/NCOMAGWEB/appc ... mageSize=M
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#414 Postby SeminoleWind » Sun Aug 19, 2012 10:50 pm

it does seem a little further north that last run @54 http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... SLP054.gif
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L - Models

#415 Postby Blown Away » Sun Aug 19, 2012 10:50 pm

Right Rock, a little weaker and more north this run.
http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... cal060.gif
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L - Models

#416 Postby ROCK » Sun Aug 19, 2012 10:52 pm

Blown Away wrote:Right Rock, a little weaker and more north this run.
http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... cal060.gif



right, a tad more north than earlier runs just a tad...but alot weaker it seems....I havent compared them side by side yet....



72hr......better resolution on the 500mb chart.....still under PR....

http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/NCOMAGWEB/appc ... mageSize=M
Last edited by ROCK on Sun Aug 19, 2012 10:55 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#417 Postby SeminoleWind » Sun Aug 19, 2012 10:54 pm

@54 from 18Z http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... SLP054.gif

@54 hr 00z http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... SLP054.gif
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L - Models

#418 Postby Blown Away » Sun Aug 19, 2012 10:56 pm

Faster, weaker, and a bit north this run... Just below PR and heading for destruction in DR
http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... cal078.gif
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L - Models

#419 Postby ROCK » Sun Aug 19, 2012 10:57 pm

so in 3 days it will be in the carib under PR on this run....its not developing it as fast as before...

http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/NCOMAGWEB/appc ... mageSize=M


90hr

http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/NCOMAGWEB/appc ... mageSize=M
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L - Models

#420 Postby Blown Away » Sun Aug 19, 2012 11:03 pm

Near Haiti ... weak ... moving WNW
http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... cal102.gif
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