ATL: ISAAC - Models

[Blown Away]

Just west of Tampa ... moving NNW
http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... cal192.gif

[Blown Away]

Moving NW ... away from Florida coast towards Panhandle
http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... cal204.gif

[Blown Away]

Just south of Appalachicola
http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... cal228.gif

[psyclone]

that would be quite a dousing for Florida. practically the whole state would get dumped on.

[ROCK]

even with that early movement north still manages to move more west in the end.....interesting...thats a tad different than the 18Z....I stand corrected.

we are still in la la land that far out so I suspect more changes to come....

[Blown Away]

Inland in Big Bend area ... moving NE ... weak
http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... cal240.gif

[Weatherfreak000]

GFS seems to suggest this may be a NGOM-EGOM threat....gonna be a long week ahead of everyone along the Gulf Coast watching this that's for sure. I think it's safe to say I am ready for the EURO now....already got the coffee brewed

[Wx_Warrior]

Super La La Land.

[ROCK]

GFS seems to suggest this may be a NGOM threat....gonna be a long week ahead of everyone along the Gulf Coast watching this that's for sure. I think it's safe to say I am ready for the EURO now....already got the coffee brewed

yeah...I am debating about staying up for it.....we have the HWRF, GFDL, CMC and EURO coming up....oh and the mighty NOGAPS is running...let me post that bad boy....

https://www.fnmoc.navy.mil/wxmap_cgi/cg ... t=Tropical


yep it's still lost......

[Weatherfreak000]

GFS seems to suggest this may be a NGOM threat....gonna be a long week ahead of everyone along the Gulf Coast watching this that's for sure. I think it's safe to say I am ready for the EURO now....already got the coffee brewed

yeah...I am debating about staying up for it.....we have the HWRF, GFDL, CMC and EURO coming up....oh and the mighty NOGAPS is running...let me post that bad boy....

https://www.fnmoc.navy.mil/wxmap_cgi/cg ... t=Tropical


yep it's still lost......

Is that Fujiwara going on with the low behind 94L? Wow.....ladies and gentlemen, the NOGAPS!

[psyclone]

that GFS run would reswamp the same areas hit by Debby.

[Blown Away]

thanks for posting Blown....I needed a break......I dont think it would gain that much lat between now and then given its caught up in the low levels right now and screaming along at 20 MPH+.....JMO...

No problem, I appreciate the time you've given over the years posting this stuff!!

[pledger28]

This storm is beginning to remind me of Hurricane Rita. I get a knot in my stomach everytime I look at the forecast models.

[ROCK]

0Z CMC up and out before the islands.....rather strong.....

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/cmctc2.c ... =Animation

[Weatherfreak000]

What about GFDL and HWRF?

[ConvergenceZone]

thanks for posting Blown....I needed a break......I dont think it would gain that much lat between now and then given its caught up in the low levels right now and screaming along at 20 MPH+.....JMO...

No problem, I appreciate the time you've given over the years posting this stuff!!

and I agree!!! Really appreciate all the time you take to post the nightly models runs Rock!!....


You Rock!

[Weatherfreak000]

Anyone have the EURO or GFDL by now?

[Meso]

The 00z EURO is much the same as the 00z GFS, just weaker. Moving a broad weak low pressure into the GOM and then north-eastwards into Florida.

[Cyclenall]

Anyone have the EURO or GFDL by now?

The 00z Euro shows 94L moving westwards for the most part under the large islands (Hispaniola) but only shows a 100* mb low the whole time us usual. Then by 144 hours two lows are in the western Caribbean and I can't really tell which is which so I just assume the one near Jamaica is the one. It turns to the wnw and at 192 hours its on the Isle of Youth and south of Cuba. By 216 hours, there are two lows again and one is in the Florida Straits and the other is near the Isle of Youth again. If the one were tracking is the former, then that would be a crazy shift to the NNE during those 24 hours. Finally at 240 hours, 94L shoots off through Florida into the Atlantic as a 1006 mb low.

On a side note, I really love the 500 mb ridging shown by that Euro run in the US .

[SFLcane]

00z ensembles are back to the right over florida and bahamas..