Note not all the images contain the entire area.

Large section of areas in front and behind (96L) 94L: http://img803.imageshack.us/img803/3777/zzoverview1.jpg
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Aric Dunn wrote:well all we need and have needed for the pasy 24 hours is convection. its rather strange there is none. plenty of moisture sal is not bad. May just need to slow down some.
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gatorcane wrote:Aric Dunn wrote:well all we need and have needed for the pasy 24 hours is convection. its rather strange there is none. plenty of moisture sal is not bad. May just need to slow down some.The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Aric there is alot of SAL surrounding the system still looking at the latest VIS loops. That is still keeping this system at check. SSTs start to warm a good amount a bit further west. Plus I notice that the ULL to the NW is pushing SW and clearing out the SAL. Conditions do look good for this thing to take off west of 65W, as long it is stays away from land.
[img]http://img706.imageshack.us/img706/3678/visl820.jpg[/mg]
cycloneye wrote:Let's see if bouy 41041 that 94L will move thru soon provides some valuable information later today.
http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=41041
tolakram wrote:Center scooting away from convection, as per most systems in this area.
wxman57 wrote:There isn't any question of an LLC. The issue has been lack of deep convection persisting near the LLC. It needs that convection near the center to persist for a number of hours before the NHC will upgrade it. Could be this afternoon.
cycloneye wrote:wxman57 wrote:There isn't any question of an LLC. The issue has been lack of deep convection persisting near the LLC. It needs that convection near the center to persist for a number of hours before the NHC will upgrade it. Could be this afternoon.
You think that even if the LLC is not fully under the convection,they will upgrade?
OuterBanker wrote:BTW, it has slowed slightly. 20 to 25 yesterday, 17 to 22 today.
1. A TROPICAL WAVE AND A LOW PRESSURE AREA LOCATED ABOUT 1100 MILES
EAST OF THE LESSER ANTILLES CONTINUES TO PRODUCE SHOWER AND
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE CONDUCIVE FOR A
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TO FORM DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO AS THIS LARGE
DISTURBANCE MOVES WESTWARD AT 20 TO 25 MPH. THIS SYSTEM HAS A HIGH
CHANCE...80 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS. INTERESTS IN THE LESSER ANTILLES SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
Current Weather/Wave Observations
Air Temperature: 76° F
Humidity: 100
Wind direction (W Dir): SW (215 - 224 Degrees)
Wind Speed (W Spd): 9.7 kts (11.2 mph)
Wind Gust (W Spd): 11.7 kts (13.4 mph)
Dominant Wave Period (DWP): 8 sec
Dominant Wave Height (DWH): 5.58 ft
Dominant Wave Range (DWR): exactly 5.6 ft
Wind Wave Period (WWP): 4 sec
Wind Wave Height (WWH): 1.64 ft
Wind Wave Range (WWR): 0.82 - 2.46 ft
Wave Swell Period (WSP): 8 sec
Wave Swell Height (WSH): 4.92 ft
Wave Swell Range (WSR): 4.10 - 5.74 ft
Atmospheric Pressure (AP): 29.88 in
Updated: 1:50 PM GMT on August 20, 2012
wxman57 wrote:There isn't any question of an LLC. The issue has been lack of deep convection persisting near the LLC. It needs that convection near the center to persist for a number of hours before the NHC will upgrade it. Could be this afternoon.
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