ATL: ISAAC - Models

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Vortex
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#641 Postby Vortex » Mon Aug 20, 2012 11:09 pm

H+120 over Eastern Cuba heading wnw/nw
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L - Models

#642 Postby Hurricaneman » Mon Aug 20, 2012 11:09 pm

120hr north coast of Cuba
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#643 Postby Vortex » Mon Aug 20, 2012 11:11 pm

H+126 ramping up as it begins to exit N coast of Cuba-
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L - Models

#644 Postby Bocadude85 » Mon Aug 20, 2012 11:11 pm

126HR emerging the north coast of Cuba

http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/gfs/00zgfs500mbHGHTPMSLtropical126.gif
Last edited by Bocadude85 on Mon Aug 20, 2012 11:13 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L - Models

#645 Postby Hurricaneman » Mon Aug 20, 2012 11:12 pm

126hr, rides the north coast of Cuba, this could be the worst case scenerio of a strengthening storm in the Florida straits

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Last edited by Hurricaneman on Mon Aug 20, 2012 11:13 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#646 Postby SeminoleWind » Mon Aug 20, 2012 11:12 pm

18 Z GFS @ 114 HR
http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... cal114.gif


00 Z GFS @ 114 Hr
http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... cal114.gif

Big difference there.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L - Models

#647 Postby Bocadude85 » Mon Aug 20, 2012 11:15 pm

138HR strengthening storm heading for the Keys

http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/gfs/00zgfs500mbHGHTPMSLtropical138.gif
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#648 Postby SeminoleWind » Mon Aug 20, 2012 11:16 pm

Not a good situation there @ 138
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#649 Postby Vortex » Mon Aug 20, 2012 11:16 pm

H+138 intensifying florida straits SE of Miami moving NW
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Re:

#650 Postby petit_bois » Mon Aug 20, 2012 11:16 pm

SeminoleWind wrote:18 Z GFS @ 114 HR
http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... cal114.gif


00 Z GFS @ 114 Hr
http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... cal114.gif

Big difference there.




yes... six hours! :lol:
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Re:

#651 Postby Riptide » Mon Aug 20, 2012 11:17 pm

Vortex wrote:H+138 intensifying florida straits SE of Miami moving NW

Reminds me of the Labor Day Hurricane, not to get anyone scared; all this land interaction can't be good for it.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L - Models

#652 Postby Bocadude85 » Mon Aug 20, 2012 11:17 pm

144HR heading towards South Florida

http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/gfs/00zgfs500mbHGHTPMSLtropical144.gif
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Re: Re:

#653 Postby Riptide » Mon Aug 20, 2012 11:17 pm

petit_bois wrote:
SeminoleWind wrote:18 Z GFS @ 114 HR
http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... cal114.gif


00 Z GFS @ 114 Hr
http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... cal114.gif

Big difference there.




yes... six hours! :lol:

No, it really is further east...lol.
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#654 Postby Vortex » Mon Aug 20, 2012 11:18 pm

H+144 continues to intensify just SE of south florida/keys-bad situation for south fl it appears this run
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L - Models

#655 Postby ROCK » Mon Aug 20, 2012 11:18 pm

glad to see someone taking over the GFS model posting duties..... :lol:
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L - Models

#656 Postby WeatherEmperor » Mon Aug 20, 2012 11:20 pm

ROCK wrote:glad to see someone taking over the GFS model posting duties..... :lol:


Don't you dare think you can escape your duties of posting the GFS. Get back to work Sir! :grrr:

Anyways...this GFS looks pretty bad for South Florida if has enough time to get stronger
Last edited by WeatherEmperor on Mon Aug 20, 2012 11:20 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L - Models

#657 Postby Bocadude85 » Mon Aug 20, 2012 11:20 pm

150HR landfall in the Florida Keys.. heading for Southern Florida

http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/gfs/00zgfs500mbHGHTPMSLtropical150.gif
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#658 Postby Jevo » Mon Aug 20, 2012 11:20 pm

0z GFS +150

Image
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#659 Postby Vortex » Mon Aug 20, 2012 11:20 pm

H+150 appears a slower moving hurricane about to make landfall in SFL...
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#660 Postby psyclone » Mon Aug 20, 2012 11:20 pm

considering the timeframe, the run to run consistency is rather impressive. any storm in the florida straits has potential to really crank but no assurance of doing so. remember ernesto (version 2006) accomplished nothing strength-wise on its trip over the straits.
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