MAJOR HURRICANE FORMATION POTENTIAL??

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AussieMark
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MAJOR HURRICANE FORMATION POTENTIAL??

#1 Postby AussieMark » Fri Sep 05, 2003 4:36 am

Just for interest sakes has a tropical storm ever crossed the Florida Peninsula and intensified into at least Category 3 intensity.

If that is the case have any gone to strike the US east coast as a Major Hurricane.
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Probably

#2 Postby wxman57 » Fri Sep 05, 2003 5:32 am

I'm sure they have, you can do a bit of research today right here. Every storm season since 1851 is listed. Just click each link and view each season as I have done many, many times in the past.

http://weather.unisys.com/hurricane/atlantic/index.html
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#3 Postby AussieMark » Fri Sep 05, 2003 7:01 am

In theory a tropical storm or a weak Hurricane striking Florida on the west coast and emerging over the open Atlantic on the east coast side how many times do u guys think it has happened in history. Here is the surprise

IT HAS NEVER HAPPENED

SO what are your theories on why it would be of such rare occurance.
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#4 Postby Aquawind » Fri Sep 05, 2003 7:09 am

Well.. :o Once they start moving East the chances of a turn North, Quickly reorganizing and intensifying is slim..Usual fish as they would continue the General East movement..my guess.. :33:
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#5 Postby Pebbles » Fri Sep 05, 2003 7:16 am

um...hummm *ponders for a moment and then takes her uneducated guess at it*

They are usually slow movers and the LLC deteriates over Florida before emerging on the atlantic side...
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#6 Postby weatherluvr » Fri Sep 05, 2003 9:37 am

The only one I can think of is Bob in 1985... hit the west coast as a weak TS, emerged off the east, intensified into a cat1* before hitting South Carolina.[http://weather/unisys.com/hurricane/atlantic/1985/BOB/track.gif]

(*) is for the fact that I remember a quote from someone at NHC at the time admitting they may have fudged a bit calling it a hurricane... more likely it was a strong TS.[/url]
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#7 Postby JetMaxx » Fri Sep 05, 2003 9:57 am

In October 1999, Irene struck the Florida Keys from the SW as a cat-1, crossed south Florida west of Miami and Palm Beach....turned north then northeast just east of Florida, paralleling the southeast coast and reached 110-115 mph and 958 mb while over the Gulf Stream just southeast of Cape Hatteras, NC.

In October of 1948 a hurricane coming from the SW struck south Florida as a cat-1 (90-95 mph)....then exploded into a major hurricane as it raced ENE across the Atlantic, slamming Bermuda with 120+ mph winds.
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really?

#8 Postby LIer » Fri Sep 05, 2003 10:15 am

weatherluvr wrote:The only one I can think of is Bob in 1985... hit the west coast as a weak TS, emerged off the east, intensified into a cat1* before hitting South Carolina.[http://weather/unisys.com/hurricane/atlantic/1985/BOB/track.gif]

(*) is for the fact that I remember a quote from someone at NHC at the time admitting they may have fudged a bit calling it a hurricane... more likely it was a strong TS.[/url]


Bob rolled just east of me in montauk LI-and let me tell you Bob was a HURRICANE-lol

we had 50 foot sailboats stacked up on the bridge in sag harbor and no power for 4 days.

it did little damage to south shores-but anything on a north facing shore was pummeled!!!

not trying to be argumentative-just thought id share :);)
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oh wait

#9 Postby LIer » Fri Sep 05, 2003 10:16 am

im thinking of the hurricane Bob from 1992-was there one in 85 also?
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#10 Postby weatherluvr » Fri Sep 05, 2003 1:11 pm

This was the 1985 Bob... remember the '91 Bob very well here on the island. Fortunately we fared better here than we did with Gloria, but I think you got the worst of Bob out there...
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#11 Postby ColdFront77 » Fri Sep 05, 2003 2:11 pm

Yes, Hurricane Bob made it's New England landfall in mid-August 1991 (not 1992).

Tropical Storm and Hurricane names are in six year cycles. So, after Bob in 1985, it came back in 1991. Gloria was retired and replaced by Grace in 1991 (was part of the "Perfect Storm" off the New England coast) and was obviously not retired as it returned in 1997 and again this year.
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#12 Postby Stormsfury » Fri Sep 05, 2003 2:19 pm

Yep, Bob was 1991 .... the Bob in 1985 hit Fripp Island with 92 mph winds in Lower South Carolina, and the Lowcountry fared a little worse for wear but overall not too bad. Heavy rains, and some squally weather, with gusts about 60 mph in the Charleston area ...

FYI, Bill was the replacement name after Bob was retired in 1991.

SF
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