ATL: ISAAC - Models

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Kingarabian
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#2041 Postby Kingarabian » Thu Aug 23, 2012 4:58 am

Go to sleep meriland :D!
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#2042 Postby meriland23 » Thu Aug 23, 2012 5:00 am

GFS 96 hr

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#2043 Postby meriland23 » Thu Aug 23, 2012 5:01 am

Kingarabian wrote:Go to sleep meriland :D!


I work nights vs days, so I am quite the nocturnal beast lol
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#2044 Postby meriland23 » Thu Aug 23, 2012 5:04 am

gfs 108 hr
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ATL: ISAAC - Models

#2045 Postby SouthFLTropics » Thu Aug 23, 2012 5:06 am

This GFS run is further east in the long term. The slowdown is going to factor in later today and allow the ridge to erode more. Thinking the west coast rider or up the spine may be the final solution.
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#2046 Postby Kingarabian » Thu Aug 23, 2012 5:08 am

06z GFS weaker and slightly to the east?
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#2047 Postby meriland23 » Thu Aug 23, 2012 5:09 am

GFS 120 hr

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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#2048 Postby SFLcane » Thu Aug 23, 2012 5:09 am

06z GFS looks tad further eastward there over keys and southwest Florida.
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#2049 Postby KWT » Thu Aug 23, 2012 5:10 am

GFS is a touch eastwards on this run but its really hard to take it seriously when it starts moving it at 280 right from the get go which isn't happening at the moment it seems.

Getting back into the far east Gulf at 120hrs.
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#2050 Postby meriland23 » Thu Aug 23, 2012 5:11 am

iono will this slow down and south shift favor a east or west shirt in long term track
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#2051 Postby meriland23 » Thu Aug 23, 2012 5:12 am

132 hr

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Re:

#2052 Postby Kingarabian » Thu Aug 23, 2012 5:13 am

meriland23 wrote:I dont know will this slow down and south shift favor a east or west shift in the long term track
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ATL: ISAAC - Models

#2053 Postby SouthFLTropics » Thu Aug 23, 2012 5:14 am

I have a feeling that the 12z runs today and the 00z runs tonight are going to be very interesting...
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#2054 Postby northjaxpro » Thu Aug 23, 2012 5:14 am

GFS is shifting slightly eastward by about 50 miles or so, now showing it now hugging and riding north immediately along the Florida Gulf Coast.
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#2055 Postby Kingarabian » Thu Aug 23, 2012 5:15 am

SouthFLTropics wrote:I have a feeling that the 12z runs today and the 00z runs tonight are going to be very interesting...

We say that every night :lol:.
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#2056 Postby KWT » Thu Aug 23, 2012 5:15 am

Yep a shift slightly east on this run, though the track is broadly the same, just less time in the gulf and probably little strengthening in the E.Gulf as a response.
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ATL: ISAAC - Models

#2057 Postby SouthFLTropics » Thu Aug 23, 2012 5:16 am

Kingarabian wrote:
SouthFLTropics wrote:I have a feeling that the 12z runs today and the 00z runs tonight are going to be very interesting...

We say that every night :lol:.


Very true!!! Just like we say every morning that we can't wait for the first visible!!!
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#2058 Postby northjaxpro » Thu Aug 23, 2012 5:16 am

Making a NE hook, landfall at Cedar Key, GFS 132 hours.
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#2059 Postby meriland23 » Thu Aug 23, 2012 5:16 am

gfs 144 hr

990 mb?

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#2060 Postby Kingarabian » Thu Aug 23, 2012 5:17 am

All I know is that Recon will be very interesting tomorrow :lol:.
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