ATL: ISAAC - Models

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Message
Author
jlauderdal
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 7203
Joined: Wed May 19, 2004 5:46 am
Location: NE Fort Lauderdale
Contact:

Re:

#2741 Postby jlauderdal » Thu Aug 23, 2012 10:46 pm

Vortex wrote:H48 looks to possibly be exiting or about to into straits from eastern cuba..looks much like 18Z and further to the right then 12Z..interesting synoptics as well.....
could it be the hwrf actually sniffed something out...that would be really incredible even if it was for the wrong reasons
0 likes   

User avatar
Vortex
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 4644
Age: 53
Joined: Fri Aug 01, 2003 9:34 pm
Location: Hilton Head, SC

#2742 Postby Vortex » Thu Aug 23, 2012 10:47 pm

H54 about to fully exit into straits along central/east cuba...a real threat to keys and maybe extrme SFL this run
0 likes   

Aric Dunn
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 21238
Age: 42
Joined: Sun Sep 19, 2004 9:58 pm
Location: Ready for the Chase.
Contact:

Re:

#2743 Postby Aric Dunn » Thu Aug 23, 2012 10:47 pm

Vortex wrote:H48 looks to possibly be exiting or about to into straits from eastern cuba..looks much like 18Z and further to the right then 12Z..interesting synoptics as well.....


51 hours. offshore and east of 18z position still about 50 to 75 miles.

Image
0 likes   
Note: If I make a post that is brief. Please refer back to previous posts for the analysis or reasoning. I do not re-write/qoute what my initial post said each time.
If there is nothing before... then just ask :)

Space & Atmospheric Physicist, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University,
I believe the sky is falling...

User avatar
SFLcane
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 10168
Age: 47
Joined: Sat Jun 05, 2010 1:44 pm
Location: Lake Worth Florida

Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#2744 Postby SFLcane » Thu Aug 23, 2012 10:47 pm

at 51hrs its about the same as the 18z
0 likes   

User avatar
Jevo
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1729
Age: 47
Joined: Tue Aug 03, 2004 8:45 pm
Location: The Flemish Cap
Contact:

#2745 Postby Jevo » Thu Aug 23, 2012 10:48 pm

0z GFS +60

Image
0 likes   
Disclaimer: 50% of the time I have no clue of what I am talking about. Chances are I am taking a less than educated guess that sounds good because 10 years ago I stole Mike Watkins book 'The Hurricane and its Impact'. For official information please direct yourself to the NHC and their cadre of weather geniuses.

User avatar
Vortex
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 4644
Age: 53
Joined: Fri Aug 01, 2003 9:34 pm
Location: Hilton Head, SC

#2746 Postby Vortex » Thu Aug 23, 2012 10:49 pm

H60- changes..over straits and SE of southern fl looks like a very close call this run for south florida
0 likes   

Aric Dunn
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 21238
Age: 42
Joined: Sun Sep 19, 2004 9:58 pm
Location: Ready for the Chase.
Contact:

Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#2747 Postby Aric Dunn » Thu Aug 23, 2012 10:49 pm

60hrs. offshore and quite a big stronger than the 18z and just slightly slower now. 18z is was still over land at this time.

Image
0 likes   
Note: If I make a post that is brief. Please refer back to previous posts for the analysis or reasoning. I do not re-write/qoute what my initial post said each time.
If there is nothing before... then just ask :)

Space & Atmospheric Physicist, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University,
I believe the sky is falling...

Weatherfreak000

#2748 Postby Weatherfreak000 » Thu Aug 23, 2012 10:49 pm

Aric it looks the same bro. Relax. :lol:
0 likes   

User avatar
SeminoleWind
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 359
Age: 50
Joined: Wed Jun 02, 2010 8:37 pm
Location: Lake County Florida

#2749 Postby SeminoleWind » Thu Aug 23, 2012 10:51 pm

Its not the same
0 likes   
This post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

wxwatcher1999
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 264
Joined: Sat Aug 04, 2012 10:19 am

Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#2750 Postby wxwatcher1999 » Thu Aug 23, 2012 10:51 pm

Aric Dunn wrote:60hrs. offshore and quite a big stronger than the 18z and just slightly slower now. 18z is was still over land at this time.

Image



what is that that is starting to build back over it?
0 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

User avatar
Vortex
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 4644
Age: 53
Joined: Fri Aug 01, 2003 9:34 pm
Location: Hilton Head, SC

#2751 Postby Vortex » Thu Aug 23, 2012 10:51 pm

H66 sse of miami appraching upper keys or southern fl shortly
0 likes   

User avatar
Blown Away
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 10162
Joined: Wed May 26, 2004 6:17 am

Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#2752 Postby Blown Away » Thu Aug 23, 2012 10:51 pm

Slower and more north, but gap is closing.
0 likes   
Hurricane Eye Experience: David 79, Irene 99, Frances 04, Jeanne 04, Wilma 05… Hurricane Brush Experience: Andrew 92, Erin 95, Floyd 99, Matthew 16, Irma 17, Ian 22, Nicole 22…

User avatar
Jevo
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1729
Age: 47
Joined: Tue Aug 03, 2004 8:45 pm
Location: The Flemish Cap
Contact:

#2753 Postby Jevo » Thu Aug 23, 2012 10:51 pm

0z GFS +69

Image
0 likes   
Disclaimer: 50% of the time I have no clue of what I am talking about. Chances are I am taking a less than educated guess that sounds good because 10 years ago I stole Mike Watkins book 'The Hurricane and its Impact'. For official information please direct yourself to the NHC and their cadre of weather geniuses.

User avatar
Vortex
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 4644
Age: 53
Joined: Fri Aug 01, 2003 9:34 pm
Location: Hilton Head, SC

Re:

#2754 Postby Vortex » Thu Aug 23, 2012 10:52 pm

Weatherfreak000 wrote:Aric it looks the same bro. Relax. :lol:



Its not the same
0 likes   

Dean4Storms
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 6358
Age: 62
Joined: Sun Aug 31, 2003 1:01 pm
Location: Miramar Bch. FL

#2755 Postby Dean4Storms » Thu Aug 23, 2012 10:52 pm

This looks like over the Keys and on toward the western Panhandle.
0 likes   

BigB0882
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2284
Joined: Thu Jul 03, 2003 12:08 am
Location: Baton Rouge, LA
Contact:

#2756 Postby BigB0882 » Thu Aug 23, 2012 10:52 pm

Is it pathetic that my heart is racing? I get too excited over this stuff. I am such a geek. :P
0 likes   

JPmia
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1070
Joined: Thu Jun 03, 2004 11:01 pm
Location: Fort Lauderdale, FL

Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#2757 Postby JPmia » Thu Aug 23, 2012 10:53 pm

I bet that met in WPB will regret what he said tonight as he cursed us down here and put us back into the "woods" .. differences i see so far are that a) it is a tad to the right of previous b) more time over water between cuba and fl keys c) stronger than a TS?

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
0 likes   

User avatar
Vortex
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 4644
Age: 53
Joined: Fri Aug 01, 2003 9:34 pm
Location: Hilton Head, SC

#2758 Postby Vortex » Thu Aug 23, 2012 10:53 pm

H72 landfall upper keys extreme SFl...continues to deepen
0 likes   

User avatar
ROCK
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 9490
Age: 54
Joined: Tue Aug 17, 2004 7:30 am
Location: Kemah, Texas

Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#2759 Postby ROCK » Thu Aug 23, 2012 10:53 pm

72 moving through the straits....going to give SOFLO a good lashing...
0 likes   

User avatar
blp
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2842
Age: 46
Joined: Thu Sep 09, 2004 7:51 pm
Location: Miami, FL
Contact:

Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#2760 Postby blp » Thu Aug 23, 2012 10:54 pm

0 likes   
The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.


Return to “2012”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 4 guests