ATL: ISAAC - Models
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Meteorcane
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models
Pretty deep system in this HWRF 961 mb as it heads to Mobile Bay (it appears)
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meriland23
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961? wow what was the mb last run upon land fall?
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models
Meteorcane wrote:Pretty deep system in this HWRF 961 mb as it heads to Mobile Bay (it appears)
Yep....typically that could be a low end cat 3
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Nikki
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Re:
smw1981 wrote:Won't the EURO start running in 30 minutes?
Yes
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Hurricane Alexis
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models
What category would a 983mb hurricane be?
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Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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meriland23
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models
Hurricane Alexis wrote:What category would a 983mb hurricane be?
1
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MHurricanes
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models
Hurricane Alexis wrote:What category would a 983mb hurricane be?
CAT 1
Here are the conversion tables:
http://hypertextbook.com/facts/StephanieStern.shtml
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deltadog03
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Dean4Storms
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Re: Re:
artist wrote:Dean4Storms wrote:That run takes it right over Fort Walton Bch/Destin area or right over the top of me. Pray it's nothing more than a Cat1 that's for sure!
Dean you don't deserve another one in your lifetime after the other.
Moved here in 97, I've done Ivan and Dennis and we came up pretty much unscathed, praying this one the same way!
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Jevo
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0z HWRF +96
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Disclaimer: 50% of the time I have no clue of what I am talking about. Chances are I am taking a less than educated guess that sounds good because 10 years ago I stole Mike Watkins book 'The Hurricane and its Impact'. For official information please direct yourself to the NHC and their cadre of weather geniuses.
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bamajammer4eva
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models
artist wrote:bamajammer4eva wrote:So the GFS isn't good with pressure/intensity. It paints my area with 48 hr rainfall totals of 9". Are tropical precipitation estimates accurate?
http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/day4-5.shtml
Thanks-wow they put an X almost right overhead with over 8"
At least the Canadian seems to be nicer to this part of the gulf.
Big shift west!!!
http://www.weatheroffice.gc.ca/data/mod ... 36_100.gif
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Dean4Storms
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meriland23
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Re: Re:
Dean4Storms wrote:artist wrote:Dean4Storms wrote:That run takes it right over Fort Walton Bch/Destin area or right over the top of me. Pray it's nothing more than a Cat1 that's for sure!
Dean you don't deserve another one in your lifetime after the other.
Moved here in 97, I've done Ivan and Dennis and we came up pretty much unscathed, praying this one the same way!
I don't know why I though you were in MS. for Katrina. Hmmm, now that is gonna drive me crazy as to who I am thinking of now. Though quite a few from here were hit by her.
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SunnyThoughts
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Re: Re:
Dean4Storms wrote:artist wrote:Dean4Storms wrote:That run takes it right over Fort Walton Bch/Destin area or right over the top of me. Pray it's nothing more than a Cat1 that's for sure!
Dean you don't deserve another one in your lifetime after the other.
Moved here in 97, I've done Ivan and Dennis and we came up pretty much unscathed, praying this one the same way!
Went through the same here Dean, can't say we came through unscathed...but we made it. Good luck to everyone In south Fla...as well to all of us norther gom'ers.
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Jevo
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models
bamajammer4eva wrote:artist wrote:bamajammer4eva wrote:So the GFS isn't good with pressure/intensity. It paints my area with 48 hr rainfall totals of 9". Are tropical precipitation estimates accurate?
http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/day4-5.shtml
Thanks-wow they put an X almost right overhead with over 8"
At least the Canadian seems to be nicer to this part of the gulf.
Big shift west!!!
http://www.weatheroffice.gc.ca/data/mod ... 36_100.gif
Big shift west!!! On 2nd Landfall
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Disclaimer: 50% of the time I have no clue of what I am talking about. Chances are I am taking a less than educated guess that sounds good because 10 years ago I stole Mike Watkins book 'The Hurricane and its Impact'. For official information please direct yourself to the NHC and their cadre of weather geniuses.
Re:
PTPatrick wrote:0z hwrf landfall Pascagoula at 96 hrs
Here in Mobile, I would almost rather take the direct hit than have him move in at Pascagoula because of how much water would be pushed up the Bay and the beach erosion we would have (especially Dauphin Island, which already super eroded). Obviously, I don't wish a storm on anyone, just saying for us here in Mobile, landfall in Pascagoula could be our worst case scenario.
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