ATL: ISAAC - Post-Tropical - Discussion
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http://www.goes.noaa.gov/HURRLOOPS/huirloop.html
Just saw the satellite pic of the "blob" that went thru Miami-Dade and environs..IF IF my memory doesn't fail me,I recall a pro-met in this site suggest that a TC will chase after the "blob"...it happened with Andrew..
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Just saw the satellite pic of the "blob" that went thru Miami-Dade and environs..IF IF my memory doesn't fail me,I recall a pro-met in this site suggest that a TC will chase after the "blob"...it happened with Andrew..
**READ**READ**READ**
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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- northjaxpro
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Re:
MJS1 wrote:http://www.goes.noaa.gov/HURRLOOPS/huirloop.html Just saw the satellite pic of the "blob" that went thru Miami-Dade and environs..IF IF my memory doesn't fail me,I recall a pro-met in this site suggest that a TC will chase after the "blob"...it happened with Andrew.. **READ**READ**READ** Personal Forecast Disclaimer: The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
There is now a separate thread regarding the disturbance in the Florida Straits.
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Tropical Storm - Discussion
Guantánamo radar seems to suggest the NNW movement has stopped and that the center is now moving close to 290°, or due NW. If that is the case, then the ridge has already caught Isaac and may allow a little more land interaction with E Cuba.
Of course this observation is not an official forecast.
Of course this observation is not an official forecast.
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Tropical Storm - Discussion
Isn't 290 deg wnw....due nw being 315
MiamiensisWx wrote:Guantánamo radar seems to suggest the NNW movement has stopped and that the center is now moving close to 290°, or due NW. If that is the case, then the ridge has already caught Isaac and may allow a little more land interaction with E Cuba.
Of course this observation is not an official forecast.
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- SouthFLTropics
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ATL: ISAAC - Tropical Storm - Discussion
Recon seems to tell a different story. Radar fixes from that distance are sketchy at best. I'll go with recon over radar and satellite any day.
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Personal Storm History: David 79, Andrew 92, Erin 95, Floyd 99, Irene 99, Frances 04, Jeanne 04, Wilma 05, Matthew 16, Irma 17, Ian 22, Nicole 22, Milton 24
Re: ATL: ISAAC - Tropical Storm - Discussion
MiamiensisWx wrote:Guantánamo radar seems to suggest the NNW movement has stopped and that the center is now moving close to 290°, or due NW. If that is the case, then the ridge has already caught Isaac and may allow a little more land interaction with E Cuba.
Of course this observation is not an official forecast.
The GFS is very consistent and persistent from at least the past 24 hrs that the H85 vorticity will only clip eastern tip of Cuba and get back over water as early as noon today, with such a strong vorticity all the up to at least H50, it would not take much for its core to get going, since it really did not have mover of a core before crossing Haiti.
I am very glad that the NHC put up Hurricane Warning for the FL Keys, they should had gone with the Hurricane warnings as far north as WPB, this is a large system.
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Tropical Storm - Discussion
Joe B is talking about frictional effects causing Issac to wobble north away from Cuba.
Will be interesting to see if this pans out.
http://twitter.com/BigJoeBastardi/statu ... 52/photo/1
http://twitter.com/BigJoeBastardi
Core temp profile is textbook at 2C
http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/product ... 1208241940
Will be interesting to see if this pans out.
http://twitter.com/BigJoeBastardi/statu ... 52/photo/1
http://twitter.com/BigJoeBastardi
Core temp profile is textbook at 2C
http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/product ... 1208241940
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- meriland23
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Does anyone remember Ike and its emmense size and multiple centers? It never really got its act together much if I remember, well not as much as assumed.. and it was due to its sheer size, you think that would be the case for isaac?
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Tropical Storm - Discussion
Based on Isaac's movements, I just can't see land having a major impact on it. Kid has a mind of his own.
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Tropical Storm - Discussion
Entered the latest VDM into Google Earth and here is what I got. Looks to be in the gulf of gonave but towards the northern end. Won't be long before it clears Haiti.

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The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Re: ATL: ISAAC - Tropical Storm - Discussion
@JimCantore
8am might find a slightly weaker #Isaac per RECON: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAREPNT2.shtml … Off to Tampa
8am might find a slightly weaker #Isaac per RECON: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAREPNT2.shtml … Off to Tampa
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- wxman57
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Tropical Storm - Discussion
MiamiensisWx wrote:Guantánamo radar seems to suggest the NNW movement has stopped and that the center is now moving close to 290°, or due NW. If that is the case, then the ridge has already caught Isaac and may allow a little more land interaction with E Cuba.
Of course this observation is not an official forecast.
Have a link to that radar? My old link no longer works.
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Tropical Storm - Discussion
Moving more north than west last few hours
SUMMARY OF 800 AM EDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.7N 73.8W
ABOUT 95 MI...150 KM ESE OF GUANTANAMO CUBA
ABOUT 105 MI...170 KM SSW OF GREAT INAGUA ISLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB...29.47 INCHES
SUMMARY OF 800 AM EDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.7N 73.8W
ABOUT 95 MI...150 KM ESE OF GUANTANAMO CUBA
ABOUT 105 MI...170 KM SSW OF GREAT INAGUA ISLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB...29.47 INCHES
Last edited by jinftl on Sat Aug 25, 2012 6:51 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Tropical Storm - Discussion
wxman57 wrote:MiamiensisWx wrote:Guantánamo radar seems to suggest the NNW movement has stopped and that the center is now moving close to 290°, or due NW. If that is the case, then the ridge has already caught Isaac and may allow a little more land interaction with E Cuba.
Of course this observation is not an official forecast.
Have a link to that radar? My old link no longer works.
Here you go:
http://radar.weather.gov/ridge/radar_lite.php?rid=gmo&product=N0R&loop=yes
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The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Re: ATL: ISAAC - Tropical Storm - Discussion
wxman57 wrote:MiamiensisWx wrote:Guantánamo radar seems to suggest the NNW movement has stopped and that the center is now moving close to 290°, or due NW. If that is the case, then the ridge has already caught Isaac and may allow a little more land interaction with E Cuba.
Of course this observation is not an official forecast.
Have a link to that radar? My old link no longer works.
http://radar.weather.gov/ridge/radar_lite.php?rid=gmo&product=N0R&loop=yes
Anyway, after seeking clarification elsewhere, I do not think the radar is really reliable compared to the satellite and recon data we are currently getting.
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Tropical Storm - Discussion
Next 12 hrs of movement are crucial for isaac. In my experience storms seem to get suck'd /pulld wnw/nw toward ne cuban coast in isaac position. DISCLAIIMER I have no sound met reasoning for this statement and I'm merely a hobbyist guessing
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- meriland23
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NHC says 60mph now at 14 mph NW
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Re: ATL: ISAAC - Tropical Storm - Discussion
pretty much split the uprights between Haiti and Cuba....almost North of Cuba's tip already
http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/data/1min/inde ... eight=null
http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/data/1min/inde ... eight=null
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Just like Jon Snow..."I know nothing" except what I know, and most of what I know is gathered by the fine people of the NHC
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