ATL: KIRK - Models

[South Texas Storms]

First models plots for Invest 97L.



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[Senobia]

Any updated model info for this?

[Gustywind]

Any updated model info for this?

Looks like the posters of the models thread are in strike But, what are they doing ? Maybe focus on Isaac as 97L

[tolakram]

Euro doesn't show much, GFS shows well north, but another storm behind it.

[rainstorm]

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/gfstc2.c ... hour=168hr

gfs shows what would be a hurricane. also shows leslie.

[Blown Away]

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/gfstc2.cgi?time=2012082606&field=Sea+Level+Pressure&hour=168hr

gfs shows what would be a hurricane. also shows leslie.

Is that 97L near the islands or the wave behind it?

[rainstorm]

wave behind it. 97L is east of bermuda as a cane.

[janswizard]

Are there any models or anything available on this one? Earlier, I heard possible recurve - is that still the consensus?

[cycloneye]

Code: Select all

WHXX01 KWBC 281904
CHGHUR
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1904 UTC TUE AUG 28 2012
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
TROPICAL CYCLONE ELEVEN (AL112012) 20120828 1800 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        120828  1800   120829  0600   120829  1800   120830  0600
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    23.7N  43.4W   24.7N  45.2W   25.8N  46.9W   27.1N  48.4W
BAMD    23.7N  43.4W   24.3N  44.5W   25.0N  45.8W   26.0N  47.2W
BAMM    23.7N  43.4W   24.4N  44.7W   25.2N  46.1W   26.2N  47.5W
LBAR    23.7N  43.4W   24.6N  44.2W   25.7N  45.4W   27.1N  46.5W
SHIP        30KTS          31KTS          33KTS          35KTS
DSHP        30KTS          31KTS          33KTS          35KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        120830  1800   120831  1800   120901  1800   120902  1800
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    28.7N  49.7W   32.7N  48.9W   34.7N  42.8W   34.1N  38.7W
BAMD    27.1N  48.5W   29.4N  50.1W   32.2N  48.6W   33.7N  42.9W
BAMM    27.4N  48.9W   30.1N  50.3W   33.3N  48.5W   35.9N  42.1W
LBAR    28.6N  47.0W   32.4N  45.4W   36.3N  41.4W   43.2N  37.8W
SHIP        37KTS          42KTS          48KTS          55KTS
DSHP        37KTS          42KTS          48KTS          55KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  23.7N LONCUR =  43.4W DIRCUR = 335DEG SPDCUR =   9KT
LATM12 =  21.9N LONM12 =  42.7W DIRM12 = 333DEG SPDM12 =  10KT
LATM24 =  20.6N LONM24 =  41.5W
WNDCUR =   30KT RMAXWD =  100NM WNDM12 =   30KT
CENPRS = 1008MB OUTPRS = 1014MB OUTRAD =  160NM SDEPTH =   S
RD34NE =    0NM RD34SE =    0NM RD34SW =    0NM RD34NW =   0NM