ATL: ISAAC - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[Nimbus]

Luckily Issac has been staying close to the Cuban coastline. Forecast to make it through the keys as just a tropical storm but its going to be close. The central pressure should start to plummet once it gets up into the Florida straits away from the immediate coast of Cuba.

[ConvergenceZone]

Luckily Issac has been staying close to the Cuban coastline. Forecast to make it through the keys as just a tropical storm but its going to be close. The central pressure should start to plummet once it gets up into the Florida straits away from the immediate coast of Cuba.

Yea, I noticed on the last advisory that they aren't calling for this to be a hurricane until tomorrow now, previously it was forecasted to go hurricane sometime later today....

It does look pretty awful on satellite. if you looked at a satellite without knowing what you were looking for, you would never know it was a tropical storm.
Looks like they are still forecasting it to make it to cat 2 status though, but they could ptentially lower that to cat 1 if the gulf stability hampers its development.
Hard to say right now.

[rainstorm]

might have the 2012 season continuing. isaac just cant get its act together. maybe just another bonnie to deal with if we are lucky.

[ConvergenceZone]

might have the 2012 season continuing. isaac just cant get its act together. maybe just another bonnie to deal with if we are lucky.

actually, if you think about it, Isaac only has to go up 10 more MPH within the next 24 hours or so and then it will be right on track strength wise....
I don't think 10 mph will be that difficult if it can mix out some of the dry air which is affecting the western part of the circulation.

[Airboy]

It's look like the convection is building up again near the center, feels almost like it's building up the core to be prepare to blow up when it breaks free from Cuba and into the gulf.

[wxman57]

Looking more like a MS landfall early Wednesday, the 7th anniversary of Katrina's hit on MS.

[WeatherGuesser]

I don't know.... once it gets across the Keys and out into open water, things could get interesting.

[rainstorm]

might have the 2012 season continuing. isaac just cant get its act together. maybe just another bonnie to deal with if we are lucky.

actually, if you think about it, Isaac only has to go up 10 more MPH within the next 24 hours or so and then it will be right on track strength wise....
I don't think 10 mph will be that difficult if it can mix out some of the dry air which is affecting the western part of the circulation.

certainly posible but every time it looks like it will do something, it collapses.

[rainstorm]

Looking more like a MS landfall early Wednesday, the 7th anniversary of Katrina's hit on MS.

what are you thinking as far as intensity?

[thatwhichisnt]

I don't think a cat3 is out of the realm of possibility. My extremely uneducated guess.

[wxman57]

Looking more like a MS landfall early Wednesday, the 7th anniversary of Katrina's hit on MS.

what are you thinking as far as intensity?

Good chance Cat 3. No Katrina as far as size, though.

[Ixolib]

Looking more like a MS landfall early Wednesday, the 7th anniversary of Katrina's hit on MS.

Yes, very weird set of circumstances on that for sure!!!!!! Whoda thunk it... And, thank you for saying "hit on MS" as Katrina still otherwise continues to this day to be thought of as a N.O. storm by many if not most.....

[HurricaneAndrew92]

Local weatherman said recon supports a 70mph storm at 8.

[Clint_TX]

Looking more like a MS landfall early Wednesday, the 7th anniversary of Katrina's hit on MS.

I just don't see it, what is the gfs seeing to make it a coast rider to sw la?

[ConvergenceZone]

I've been up all night working on studies(it's 4:40 am PST here), but I think I'll wait until the next advisory comes out in about 15 minutes or so, then get some sleep.... I'm curious as to what the numbers will look like. My guess is they will keep the wind speed the same, not sure if the track will nudge a bit more west or stay the same.

[HurricaneAndrew92]

Why is it taking so long for the release?

[Jagno]

Looking more like a MS landfall early Wednesday, the 7th anniversary of Katrina's hit on MS.

Yes, very weird set of circumstances on that for sure!!!!!! Whoda thunk it... And, thank you for saying "hit on MS" as Katrina still otherwise continues to this day to be thought of as a N.O. storm by many if not most.....

Here in our part of Lousiana we know and acknowledge the fact that this was a Ms. storm without a doubt. I know how you feel though because many think Rita made landfall in TX. LOL

I just wish the westward trend would STOP. At one of the last runs it would essentially have the whole coast evacuated given the strength and speed at which it rode the entire coastline of Louisiana.

[Frank P]

Looking more like a MS landfall early Wednesday, the 7th anniversary of Katrina's hit on MS.

wxman57 you got a city picked out for where Isaac's eye might pass thru? I just want to make sure I am on the west side of the eye please, thanks

[HurricaneAndrew92]

Stays at 65 and 995.

[Hurricane Andrew]

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My new, short term forecast.
Effects
Conditions in Southern FL, and Key West should deteriorate during the day.

Strength
0 Hours (5 am) 65mph
6 Hours 65 mph
12 Hours 70 mph
18 Hours 75 mph
24 Hours 75 mph
36 Hours 85 mph
48 Hours 90 mph