ATL: ISAAC - Models

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Rockin4NOLA
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#4641 Postby Rockin4NOLA » Sun Aug 26, 2012 10:25 am

How long until the next model runs for Euro and GFS? Guess I better start battening down the hatches..... :x ....
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#4642 Postby Ntxw » Sun Aug 26, 2012 10:27 am

GFS is running. Initialization

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#4643 Postby BigB0882 » Sun Aug 26, 2012 10:30 am

Oh, the GFS has begun. If this one still goes in LA then I am going all in. Let's see if we have any last minute surprises.
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#4644 Postby Ntxw » Sun Aug 26, 2012 10:30 am

At 12hrs near or south/west of Keys

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#4645 Postby BigB0882 » Sun Aug 26, 2012 10:32 am

It actually shows a higher MB in 12 hours than it has now but the image looks better with tighter isobars. I guess it is just an example of the trouble the GFS has with strength.
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#4646 Postby SunnyThoughts » Sun Aug 26, 2012 10:32 am

Janie2006 wrote:The distance from the FL/AL line to Biloxi, that's about 80 miles isn't it? Just trying to work out a couple of things in my head with this run.


About that yeah...maybe a little more. 60 miles from Pensacola to Mobile...then another 40 miles or so to biloxi. So you are close with that estimate. Pensacola to the ala state line isn't very far.
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#4647 Postby gboudx » Sun Aug 26, 2012 10:33 am

BigB0882 wrote:Oh, the GFS has begun. If this one still goes in LA then I am going all in. Let's see if we have any last minute surprises.


There's a high chance it will look almost exactly the same as the 0z and 6z.
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#4648 Postby rockyman » Sun Aug 26, 2012 10:35 am

12z GFS is slightly weaker and farther SW through 24 hours
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#4649 Postby Ntxw » Sun Aug 26, 2012 10:35 am

24hrs not much change from previous runs. Heading northwest in the Gulf.

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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#4650 Postby fendie » Sun Aug 26, 2012 10:39 am

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#4651 Postby Ntxw » Sun Aug 26, 2012 10:39 am

36hrs northwest movement still.

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Re:

#4652 Postby perk » Sun Aug 26, 2012 10:41 am

Ntxw wrote:36hrs northwest movement still.

Image



I think that movement is closer to wnw.
Last edited by perk on Sun Aug 26, 2012 10:42 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#4653 Postby Ntxw » Sun Aug 26, 2012 10:43 am

48hrs nearing the Miss. River delta. Maybe Grand Isle

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#4654 Postby Dean4Storms » Sun Aug 26, 2012 10:43 am

GFS 48 hrs. just SE of New Orleans....http://www.instantweathermap ... L&hour=048
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#4655 Postby HouTXmetro » Sun Aug 26, 2012 10:44 am

looks pretty strong

(Disclaimer: in my unprofessional opinion)
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#4656 Postby BigB0882 » Sun Aug 26, 2012 10:44 am

Looking dead on with the last couple of runs. I wonder if we will see the Westward movement that it showed right after landfall?
Last edited by BigB0882 on Sun Aug 26, 2012 10:45 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#4657 Postby Javlin » Sun Aug 26, 2012 10:45 am

Alittle further W so far on this run @48 quite abit 50-60 miles maybe W?
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#4658 Postby BigB0882 » Sun Aug 26, 2012 10:46 am

I don't think this run is further West. Maybe because you are thinking of the hard left turn it took at landfall in the last run?
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#4659 Postby thatwhichisnt » Sun Aug 26, 2012 10:46 am

How will the low Mississippi effect surge?
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#4660 Postby Dean4Storms » Sun Aug 26, 2012 10:46 am

Getting stuck under the ridge @ 54hr, sitting there! :eek:
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