ATL: ISAAC - Models

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Re:

#4721 Postby ROCK » Sun Aug 26, 2012 11:56 am

[quote="Texashawk"]Ominous signs all around for SE TEX - who would have thought 2 days ago? I know I gave up... As did most of the local Houston promets and on-air mets.[/quote

I was about to pull the plug yesterday until the 18z..but the ensembles, the stalling kept my interest...
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#4722 Postby Jevo » Sun Aug 26, 2012 11:56 am

12z HWRF +36

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#4723 Postby Rgv20 » Sun Aug 26, 2012 11:57 am

12zHWRF +36hrs
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#4724 Postby Dean4Storms » Sun Aug 26, 2012 11:57 am

Euro Ensembles were dead on the OP........

http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... SLP096.gif
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#4725 Postby nashrobertsx » Sun Aug 26, 2012 11:58 am

Can someone summeraize all the latest models(very briefly) Location/Time/Intenstity. And then a sked of the next release of Runs please. IvanHater, are you on?
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#4726 Postby deltadog03 » Sun Aug 26, 2012 11:58 am

CMC is biloxi/gulfport....is that east a bit from 00z?
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#4727 Postby Stormlover2012 » Sun Aug 26, 2012 11:58 am

thats the 00 run
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#4728 Postby Ntxw » Sun Aug 26, 2012 11:59 am

12z GFS ensembles continues support for the OP through 60 hours.

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Re:

#4729 Postby Ivanhater » Sun Aug 26, 2012 12:00 pm

deltadog03 wrote:CMC is biloxi/gulfport....is that east a bit from 00z?


Yes..that is an east shift
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Re:

#4730 Postby ROCK » Sun Aug 26, 2012 12:01 pm

Dean4Storms wrote:Euro Ensembles were dead on the OP........

http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... SLP096.gif


Not exactly true as you don't look at the final point of
Landfall with the ensembles..,you see the increased deviation of the isobars?
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#4731 Postby Jevo » Sun Aug 26, 2012 12:02 pm

12z HWRF +48

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#4732 Postby Rgv20 » Sun Aug 26, 2012 12:03 pm

12zGFS Ensemble Means are a tad NE than the OP thru 96hrs..

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#4733 Postby BigB0882 » Sun Aug 26, 2012 12:03 pm

HWRF in good agreement with the GFS through 48.
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#4734 Postby ~FlipFlopGirl~ » Sun Aug 26, 2012 12:04 pm

I am seeing more and more disagree with the GFS track and having it going into SE Texas as a Cat 3 possibly? Regardless oil production will slow and it's better to gas up regardless which state you are in on the gulf- This is an amazing change - Being in TX we were told at our staff meeting rest assured TX landfall not likely- Low wind shear and nice warm temps in the gulf = perfect storm :eek:
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#4735 Postby Jevo » Sun Aug 26, 2012 12:06 pm

12z HWRF +54

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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#4736 Postby Dean4Storms » Sun Aug 26, 2012 12:07 pm

[quote="Jevo"]12z HWRF +48



Good Lord, 930mb headed for New Orleans area! :eek:
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#4737 Postby HurryKane » Sun Aug 26, 2012 12:07 pm

Does the next Euro come out at 2 EDT or CDT? Thanks.
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#4738 Postby BigB0882 » Sun Aug 26, 2012 12:08 pm

I refuse to believe the HWRF intensity. It just sickens me to think of it.
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Re:

#4739 Postby Nikki » Sun Aug 26, 2012 12:08 pm

HurryKane wrote:Does the next Euro come out at 2 EDT or CDT? Thanks.



2 EDT :D
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#4740 Postby Jevo » Sun Aug 26, 2012 12:11 pm

12z HWRF +60

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Disclaimer: 50% of the time I have no clue of what I am talking about. Chances are I am taking a less than educated guess that sounds good because 10 years ago I stole Mike Watkins book 'The Hurricane and its Impact'. For official information please direct yourself to the NHC and their cadre of weather geniuses.


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