ATL: ISAAC - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#5821 Postby cycloneye » Mon Aug 27, 2012 6:02 am

@HRD_AOML_NOAA
#NOAA42 radar suggests an eye is forming in #Isaac.It is elliptical with major axis WNW-ESE and diameter 30 nm. In major bands to west.
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#5822 Postby Javlin » Mon Aug 27, 2012 6:03 am

tailgater wrote:That would be something, an eye with winds of what 55mph?
He must have had a wake call at around 6:30 cst.


That was my thought also usually got to be 80mph to even start to seeing an eye.Now an eyewall like NOAA talking about forming understandable.
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#5823 Postby cycloneye » Mon Aug 27, 2012 6:06 am

Those who still have not voted in the poll question about intensity of landfall in Northern Gulf Coast, can do so as it closes today at 6 PM EDT. Link to poll at contests forum. So far 62 members have voted.

viewtopic.php?f=25&t=113529&p=2266698#p2266698
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#5824 Postby HurrMark » Mon Aug 27, 2012 6:11 am

I don't want to bash the NHC, but I am a bit concerned that the official forecast only calls it for 90 mph (instead of 100 or 105 as of yesterday). People might be thinking "oh it will only be a One" and not take this seriously. They're the pros, but I wonder if they should have used some language like they did the other day that this may be a conservative forecast...unless they really do think this will only be able to top out at a One.
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#5825 Postby tailgater » Mon Aug 27, 2012 6:13 am

cycloneye wrote:@HRD_AOML_NOAA
#NOAA42 radar suggests an eye is forming in #Isaac.It is elliptical with major axis WNW-ESE and diameter 30 nm. In major bands to west.


Love me some HH tweets, keepem coming big guy!
30nm, pretty large I wouldn't think that there will be any RI in the near future.
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#5826 Postby KWT » Mon Aug 27, 2012 6:14 am

Well Hurrmark they say you should be prepared for a category above, really people should be preparing for something in the 85-95kt range, of course there is a chance Issac goes above even that yet.

It sure looks like the inner core is trying to sort itself out now. Large eye which gives plenty of tightening room.
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#5827 Postby Nikki » Mon Aug 27, 2012 6:18 am

Please forgive me if this has been asked, but I have been away from the computer. Did the center relocate? If so can anyone tell me where and what that might do to the track of Isaac? Thank you.
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#5828 Postby HurricaneAndrew92 » Mon Aug 27, 2012 6:23 am

Will it intensify at 8?
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#5829 Postby tailgater » Mon Aug 27, 2012 6:23 am

Isaac hits the snooze button and closes his eye(probably just a warm spot).
Hot towers firing near the center.
Image
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#5830 Postby HurricaneAndrew92 » Mon Aug 27, 2012 6:25 am

Did recon find a stronger storm or a hurricane?
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#5831 Postby caneman » Mon Aug 27, 2012 6:26 am

Looks to be moving due NW now.
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#5832 Postby KWT » Mon Aug 27, 2012 6:28 am

Big hot tower just gone up in the last 30 mins or so pretty much right over the center.

Should be daylight pretty soon so we'll see what state its in.
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#5833 Postby Kory » Mon Aug 27, 2012 6:28 am

caneman wrote:Looks to be moving due NW now.

I politely disagree...just by looking at satellite, it's clearly moving WNW still.

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#5834 Postby HurrMark » Mon Aug 27, 2012 6:29 am

I would venture to say it will be 70 at 8 AM...not an official forecast.
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caneman

Re: ATL: ISAAC - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#5835 Postby caneman » Mon Aug 27, 2012 6:30 am

Not looking at Sat. lops. Looking at coordinates from 5 to where I believe LLC is now.
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Re:

#5836 Postby HurrMark » Mon Aug 27, 2012 6:31 am

KWT wrote:Well Hurrmark they say you should be prepared for a category above, really people should be preparing for something in the 85-95kt range, of course there is a chance Issac goes above even that yet.


Right, but people have a short term memory, and if you have a lousy forecaster you listen to who takes everything by why what the script says, you might "just" think this will be a One (which is not to be taken lightly). I still think this will be a Two when all is said and done...my guess is 105-110 mph.
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Re:

#5837 Postby Javlin » Mon Aug 27, 2012 6:32 am

KWT wrote:Well Hurrmark they say you should be prepared for a category above, really people should be preparing for something in the 85-95kt range, of course there is a chance Issac goes above even that yet.

It sure looks like the inner core is trying to sort itself out now. Large eye which gives plenty of tightening room.


I had heard that before KWT but forgotten it and really a logical way of looking at storms and many things in life at general.
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caneman

Re: ATL: ISAAC - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#5838 Postby caneman » Mon Aug 27, 2012 6:33 am

Also appears to be getting stronger and as others have said they usually come into the right. I think somewhere between Ms. and Pensacola. My opinion only
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#5839 Postby rainstorm » Mon Aug 27, 2012 6:33 am

the good news about isaac if it moves west is hopefully it will actually be a beneficial storm. the big story with isaac may be bringing rain to people who need it.
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caneman

Re: ATL: ISAAC - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#5840 Postby caneman » Mon Aug 27, 2012 6:34 am

And some that don't - many parts of Florida are saturated.
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