ATL: ISAAC - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#6321 Postby BigB0882 » Mon Aug 27, 2012 3:45 pm

thatwhichisnt wrote:TWC said they believe it will follow the eastern edge of the cone. What do yall think?

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Then it needs to head NNW from here on out. Anything less sends it right down the middle or to the western part of the cone, depending on whether it is more WNW or NW.
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#6322 Postby hcane27 » Mon Aug 27, 2012 3:47 pm

thatwhichisnt wrote:TWC said they believe it will follow the eastern edge of the cone. What do yall think?

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I am of the same "opinion" ..... and we all know about opinions ..... :wink:

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#6323 Postby Extratropical94 » Mon Aug 27, 2012 3:47 pm

No hurricane at 5, 60 knots and 981 mb!
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#6324 Postby HurrMark » Mon Aug 27, 2012 3:48 pm

Still a TS? Geez...well, at least they upped the winds a tad.
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#6325 Postby CrazyC83 » Mon Aug 27, 2012 3:48 pm

HurrMark wrote:Still a TS? Geez...well, at least they upped the winds a tad.


There is no definitive Recon data (just a flagged 64 kt SFMR reading) supporting hurricane status.
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#6326 Postby KWT » Mon Aug 27, 2012 3:49 pm

Hmmm interesting, those FL wins from the SW quad must have been mighty close to being enough to upgrade the system. Ah well it won't be long now, almost certainly next advisory if this continues.

Also, NHC back upto forecasting 85kts for landfall.
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Re:

#6327 Postby senorpepr » Mon Aug 27, 2012 3:50 pm

KWT wrote:Hmmm interesting, those FL wins from the SW quad must have been mighty close to being enough to upgrade the system. Ah well it won't be long now, almost certainly next advisory if this continues.

Also, NHC back upto forecasting 85kts for landfall.


The best the FL winds supported was 59 kt, which rounded to 60 kt.
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#6328 Postby HurrMark » Mon Aug 27, 2012 3:50 pm

CrazyC83 wrote:
HurrMark wrote:Still a TS? Geez...well, at least they upped the winds a tad.


There is no definitive Recon data (just a flagged 64 kt SFMR reading) supporting hurricane status.


I would expect that this should change soon...pressure has dropped 9 mb in 12 hours. This is clearly intensifying IMHO.
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#6329 Postby SunnyThoughts » Mon Aug 27, 2012 3:50 pm

cat 2 now forecast from the NHC Guess they think it will get its act together in the next 24 hours.
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#6330 Postby Wx_Warrior » Mon Aug 27, 2012 3:50 pm

thatwhichisnt wrote:TWC said they believe it will follow the eastern edge of the cone. What do yall think?

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I agree as well, everyone from SWLA-Fla panhandle should have their preparations already in place.
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Re:

#6331 Postby HurrMark » Mon Aug 27, 2012 3:51 pm

KWT wrote:Hmmm interesting, those FL wins from the SW quad must have been mighty close to being enough to upgrade the system. Ah well it won't be long now, almost certainly next advisory if this continues.

Also, NHC back upto forecasting 85kts for landfall.


I think that is good...now at least people won't be thinking, oh it's just a One and take this more seriously.
Last edited by HurrMark on Mon Aug 27, 2012 3:51 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#6332 Postby Time_Zone » Mon Aug 27, 2012 3:51 pm

No hurricane? wow....with Isaac potentially undergoing RI right now i'm extremely surprised they didnt bump him up.
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#6333 Postby crimi481 » Mon Aug 27, 2012 3:53 pm

Something new to chew on - spit out if needed.

Leaning towards a Stll soon (by late tonight)
May happen - as ULL- to the West - nt pulling on Center Storm as much -or stopped
The weak trough inland to north is weakening fast -I think
Examining thought of Stall - loop to South in Gulf. Possible? What oher mechanism would move it?

http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/data/geo/index ... thod=flash

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Re:

#6334 Postby ConvergenceZone » Mon Aug 27, 2012 3:54 pm

Extratropical94 wrote:No hurricane at 5, 60 knots and 981 mb!


Wow! I thought for sure they would pull the trigger.
Last edited by ConvergenceZone on Mon Aug 27, 2012 3:55 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#6335 Postby Wx_Warrior » Mon Aug 27, 2012 3:54 pm

4p NHC track

Image

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Re: Re:

#6336 Postby monicaei » Mon Aug 27, 2012 3:55 pm

HurrMark wrote:
KWT wrote:Hmmm interesting, those FL wins from the SW quad must have been mighty close to being enough to upgrade the system. Ah well it won't be long now, almost certainly next advisory if this continues.

Also, NHC back upto forecasting 85kts for landfall.


I think that is good...now at least people won't be thinking, oh it's just a One and take this more seriously.


Most people down here aren't thinking "oh, it's just a One" they are thinking "oh it's just a TS", from what I can tell
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#6337 Postby TwisterFanatic » Mon Aug 27, 2012 3:55 pm

thatwhichisnt wrote:TWC said they believe it will follow the eastern edge of the cone. What do yall think?

Sent from my HTC One X using Tapatalk 2


TWC lookin' for them viewers.
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Re:

#6338 Postby BigB0882 » Mon Aug 27, 2012 3:56 pm

KWT wrote:
Also, NHC back upto forecasting 85kts for landfall.


85 KTS? I thought maybe 85 MPH but that would be nearing 100 MPH. I can't find the graphic yet showing their strength projections.
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Re:

#6339 Postby BigB0882 » Mon Aug 27, 2012 3:58 pm

Time_Zone wrote:No hurricane? wow....with Isaac potentially undergoing RI right now i'm extremely surprised they didnt bump him up.


That seems dramatic. Is there any evidence of this undergoing RI right now? Even one little bit? That kind of posting is irresponsible.
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Re: Re:

#6340 Postby gboudx » Mon Aug 27, 2012 3:58 pm

BigB0882 wrote:
KWT wrote:
Also, NHC back upto forecasting 85kts for landfall.


85 KTS? I thought maybe 85 MPH but that would be nearing 100 MPH. I can't find the graphic yet showing their strength projections.


Carl Arrendondo showed the 100mph projection just now on WWL. But, according to the projection it would have to keep increasing over the marshes on the westbank of the river before it gets to NOLA.
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