ATL: ISAAC - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[ROCK]

memo to self - I will never quote JB ever again....

[SoupBone]

Recon still showing a nice NNW motion right now.....

How many hours has this been happening?

[Dean4Storms]

I believe this radar will be the first one to pick up Isaac's Core......

http://radar.weather.gov/ridge/radar.ph ... x&loop=yes

[Dean4Storms]

Crap, if this motion continues it'll be another sleepless night!

[BigEasy]

Could end up near Miss/Ala border IF a NNW motion would project all the way to landfall. Again, as always, predictably unpredictable, as far as the actual real landfall location until it is inland.

[Shawee]

I believe this radar will be the first one to pick up Isaac's Core......

http://radar.weather.gov/ridge/radar.ph ... x&loop=yes

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/gmex/flash-wv.html

is that the same feature shown here that seems to want to sprint northward and leave its troubles/showers behind? Okay a little wishful thinking, but he does look disjointed in this small time frame.

[rainstorm]

i think a nnw motion will keep it quite weak and give it much less time over water. its best chance is wnw.

[crimi481]

I believe this radar will be the first one to pick up Isaac's Core......

http://radar.weather.gov/ridge/radar.ph ... x&loop=yes

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/gmex/flash-wv.html

is that the same feature shown here that seems to want to sprint northward and leave its troubles/showers behind? Okay a little wishful thinking, but he does look disjointed in this small time frame.

The few N. Jogs may be sign of stalling earlier than at N coast

[Camille(CaneOnAPill)]

-NOT AN OFFICIAL FORECAST AND SHOULD NEVER BE TAKEN AS SUCH, JUST AN OPINION FROM AN AMATEUR WEATHER ENTHUSIAST-

Looking at the latest upper-level water vapor loops of Isaac it shows dry air looks to have changed directions and rotated clockwise around to Isaac's southwestern side. Could whatever inhibited the upper-level dry air to change direction possibly change the direction of the mid-level dry air as well? Reason asking, eastern side of Isaac's outflow seems to be moistening up in the last couple of frames by pulling in the convective upper-level feature to his right.

[Sonica]

memo to self - I will never quote JB ever again....

You started all that? lol

Really hoping this is nothing like Katrina

[windnrain]

So is this thing not going to hit mid louisiana / baton rouge anymore?

[Shawee]

I believe this radar will be the first one to pick up Isaac's Core......

http://radar.weather.gov/ridge/radar.ph ... x&loop=yes

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/gmex/flash-wv.html

is that the same feature shown here that seems to want to sprint northward and leave its troubles/showers behind? Okay a little wishful thinking, but he does look disjointed in this small time frame.

The few N. Jogs may be sign of stalling earlier than at N coast

okay, thanks... still got to like the disorganization though. back to putting boards up!

[crimi481]

I kinda see the dry air, but I don't think this is enough to prevent at least steady strengthening. And it looks like it's really affecting the north side more than the east side. The latest image on satellite shows some rather deep thunderstorms on the SW side of the developing eyewall: http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floaters/09L/flash-avn-long.html

Wow - bands now shooting from center - into E. Gulf. Area is moistening up

http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/data/geo/index ... thod=flash

[Time_Zone]

Looks like he's kicking out the dry air in a hurry.

Looks pretty bad right now though....

[WeatherGuesser]

HPC is also talking about 17" of rain or more:

http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/tropical/qpf/tcqpf.php

So, we're talking about heavy rainfall, high storm surge and possibly high tide.

Are the levees expected to hold all that?

[JamesCaneTracker]

memo to self - I will never quote JB ever again....

You started all that? lol

Really hoping this is nothing like Katrina

The NHC OFFICIAL forecast track still takes it right over the NO area... Until that changes the forecast remains...

What people say on here (Even the Pro Mets) should not be primarily used to make any sort of life or death decisions... ALWAYS refer to the official Forecast track issued by the NHC!

[Anthysteg00]

Hello to everyone at storm2k!!!!!!


I'm certainly not sold on this NNW jogging. The storm has jogged west and then NNW all day and it appears to be a direct result of certain consolidation effects as well as other factors I'm not qualified to explain. Point being everyone who is buying on jogs west or NNW should refer to the NHC for track information as well as RECON. NHC gives 6 hour fixes because a storm does not move in a straight path it stair steps. I have seen numerous pro mets try to explain this honestly.

[Kory]

It jogged WNW according to the last VDM fix.

[fasterdisaster]

i think a nnw motion will keep it quite weak and give it much less time over water. its best chance is wnw.

A NNW motion gives it more time than NW.

[sunnyday]

I hope for everyone's sake that Isaac stays at a tropical storm. I have felt that all along.

This is only my opinion. Get correct info from the NHS or NWS.