ATL: ISAAC - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[deltadog03]

I will say, looking at the overall MASS/CDO its still moving in a Northerly fashion....

http://climate.cod.edu/flanis/2km.php?l ... mimages=24

[WeatherGuesser]

I'm beginning to think the angle of attack is going to be a bigger issue that wind speed, as it could push more water into the river and channels leading to NO.

But since no one wants to address the question on the surge potential on the levees .....

[Ivanhater]

ATTENTION


Get back on track with the discussion of Isaac and only Isaac. This is an overall warning.

[windnrain]

I will say, looking at the overall MASS/CDO its still moving in a Northerly fashion....

http://climate.cod.edu/flanis/2km.php?l ... mimages=24

Is it becoming a trend?

Or do you think it'll keep stairstepping?

[WeatherGuesser]

And for those rooting for intensification .... we really don't want that.

[gboudx]

I will say, looking at the overall MASS/CDO its still moving in a Northerly fashion....

http://climate.cod.edu/flanis/2km.php?l ... mimages=24

I've noticed that for at least a couple hours. How long would that need to persist before it's considered a change in track, versus the normal stair-stepping you see around ridges?

[rainstorm]

I'm beginning to think the angle of attack is going to be a bigger issue that wind speed, as it could push more water into the river and channels leading to NO.

But since no one wants to address the question on the surge potential on the levees .....

if it comes in at 75 mph i just dont think it will be a big deal. 110 would have been a different story.

[Lane]

And profoundly offensive... How quickly people forget what K really was.

Doesn't take a meteorology degree to figure out this isn't gonna kill a couple thousand people, cripple a major metropolitan area and profoundly change the landscape of an entire state.

Never forget, huh?

Bold statement considering this storm is still well offshore. Not picking at you, same was said 4/26/11 in my area. The next day we had a huge tornado outbreak killing hundreds, wiping two cities off the map, Pleasant grove and phil cambell.

Sorry for going off topic.

[PTrackerLA]

GFDL and HWRF both shifted East by a good bit. Looks like the threat to my area is decreasing but at least it seems like most have prepared like they should in case things change.

[deltadog03]

I will say, looking at the overall MASS/CDO its still moving in a Northerly fashion....

http://climate.cod.edu/flanis/2km.php?l ... mimages=24

Is it becoming a trend?

Or do you think it'll keep stairstepping?

Its actually been moving in a general NNW motion for the last 5 hours. maybe some wobbles here in there NW to WNW, but overall the CDO has been generally expanding/moving northward.

[deltadog03]

GFDL and HWRF both shifted East by a good bit. Looks like the threat to my area is decreasing but at least it seems like most have prepared like they should in case things change.

I just saw the hwrf, where did the GFDL go?

[PTrackerLA]

GFDL and HWRF both shifted East by a good bit. Looks like the threat to my area is decreasing but at least it seems like most have prepared like they should in case things change.

I just saw the hwrf, where did the GFDL go?

Pretty much directly over the NHC track.

http://www.sfwmd.gov/portal/page/portal/xweb%20weather/hurricane%20model%20plots

[Buckeye05]

And profoundly offensive... How quickly people forget what K really was.

Doesn't take a meteorology degree to figure out this isn't gonna kill a couple thousand people, cripple a major metropolitan area and profoundly change the landscape of an entire state.

Never forget, huh?

Bold statement considering this storm is still well offshore. Not picking at you, same was said 4/26/11 in my area. The next day we had a huge tornado outbreak killing hundreds, wiping two cities off the map, Pleasant grove and phil cambell.

Sorry for going off topic.

27th actually, and a major tornado outbreak was predicted days ahead of that event.

[bella_may]

I will say, looking at the overall MASS/CDO its still moving in a Northerly fashion....

http://climate.cod.edu/flanis/2km.php?l ... mimages=24

Are my eyes playing tricks on me or is that a eye forming?

[Kory]

Is it because the storms are expanding northward, that it is giving it a more northerly look? Maybe it is still on a NW track? The overall movement stated by the NHC is NW. I'm just trying to see what they're seeing.

[ConvergenceZone]

It's running out of real estate quick and as one of the mets on here mentioned, it's going to start training in some of the dry air that the outflow is picking up by already being on land...So with that said, in my own personal opinion, it needs to intensify tonight if it plans on making it to a hurricane at all.....



-------------
disclaimer
my opinion only, should not be taken as factual meteorological predictions.

[WeatherGuesser]

I'm beginning to think the angle of attack is going to be a bigger issue that wind speed, as it could push more water into the river and channels leading to NO.

But since no one wants to address the question on the surge potential on the levees .....

if it comes in at 75 mph i just dont think it will be a big deal. 110 would have been a different story.

Again, it's NOT the wind speed. It's the size of the wind field, the amount of water displaced and the direction in which the displaced water is pushed.

[Tireman4]

This is from Dr. Neil Frank, former NHC director and someone that I RESPECT a ton. Food for thought....


Dr. Neil Frank: Isaac could continue moving west

http://www.khou.com/community/WATCH-Dr- ... 20065.html

[Buckeye05]

WOW! Check out the latest visible scan. NICE eye!

[timNms]

I will say, looking at the overall MASS/CDO its still moving in a Northerly fashion....

http://climate.cod.edu/flanis/2km.php?l ... mimages=24

Is it becoming a trend?

Or do you think it'll keep stairstepping?

Its actually been moving in a general NNW motion for the last 5 hours. maybe some wobbles here in there NW to WNW, but overall the CDO has been generally expanding/moving northward.

I was wondering if my eyes were really seeing that NNW motion or if I was just imagining things. If this motion continues, it appears that the storm will be moving along the eastern side of NHC's cone, which would put Mobile back into play, correct?