ATL: ISAAC - Models

[Wx_Warrior]

It is a touch east.

Here you go:

http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models.html

May be a tad tough to navigate, website, that is.

[Sabanic]

At this point though, and as he gets closer to the coast, a touch can make quite a difference.

[Wx_Warrior]

GFS 0z rolling...18H



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[Wx_Warrior]

gfs 0z 24H



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[smw1981]

Definitely good model consensus now. I'm guessing the EURO will be right around there..maybe a tad to the east, but still right around there..

[PTPatrick]

Yep...gfs comin In a tad east of last one...landfall of whatever center there may be looks to be around the mouth of the mississippi river then pearl river, possibly toward Gulfport.

The 30 hour position s prolly 30 miles NE of the 36 hr position from 18z


But it still looks to drift west at landfall over Nola on gfs.

[Wx_Warrior]

gfs 0z - 36H



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[thatwhichisnt]

Is it just me, or is the landfall still around the mouth? Little east, but not that far from the general area.

[Wx_Warrior]

Very, very close. On this run.

[Wx_Warrior]

51h



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[CYCLONE MIKE]

Looks like the gfs and nam are on same page by making landfall just east of NO then turning west very slowly. Lots of wind and rain for all of SE LA if that verifies.

[pledger28]

Does this look to be a tad to the south west from the track?

It did not post my image...nhc 1am track...

[drezee]

Euro says go west Young Man!!! Looks like the old GFS run...the Euro says the plains ridge catches it!

[southerngale]

Can't they all just get along?

0z Euro

24 hours



48 hours



72 hours



High Res Euro

[drezee]

Euro now says landfall near abbeville! West of Morgan City almost two days from now!!! WOW!!!

[ROCK]

SG dont discount that though I think its unlikely that far west,,,,but a slow stall and shift west was always on the table....GFS shows this as well....some gusty squalls and some rain for you if that verified....

[southerngale]

I had a lot going on tonight and hadn't seen anything in hours. I thought I'd try to catch up a little. I was not planning on even being up for the Euro. lol

[ROCK]

I had a lot going on tonight and hadn't seen anything in hours. I thought I'd try to catch up a little. I was not planning on even being up for the Euro. lol

me either but 6 days straight and my sleep schedule is wayyy off....

[MidnightRain]

Models are getting close to being pointless at this point (being so close to land). It's following the NHC track nearly to a tee, south east Louisiana is almost a sure bet.

[ROCK]

Models are getting close to being pointless at this point (being so close to land). It's following the NHC track nearly to a tee, south east Louisiana is almost a sure bet.

yeah I was not watching the models so much but the SAT views......its crawling now and the last RECON fixes were west and not so much north. I think the ridge is going to catch it as Breeze said....