ATL: ISAAC - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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MidnightRain
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#6781 Postby MidnightRain » Tue Aug 28, 2012 2:33 am

It was moving almost due north earlier this afternoon, now it's moving more west than anything else. It evens out to be a general NW direction, I don't think this gets to southwest Louisiana or Texas until after landfall. IMO landfall will be between Grand Isle and Morgan City.
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#6782 Postby mpic » Tue Aug 28, 2012 2:33 am

Thanks, Rock. Guess I'd better get a few zzz's and be up early. Fingers crossed that the drift isn't too far west, but sorry for those in between.
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#6783 Postby ROCK » Tue Aug 28, 2012 2:34 am

another recon fix west....and pretty far west from the last.....I dont know if this was just a wobble now....
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#6784 Postby ROCK » Tue Aug 28, 2012 2:35 am

MidnightRain wrote:It was moving almost due north earlier this afternoon, now it's moving more west than anything else. It evens out to be a general NW direction, I don't think this gets to southwest Louisiana or Texas until after landfall. IMO landfall will be between Grand Isle and Morgan City.




did you check the last RECON fix?
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#6785 Postby drezee » Tue Aug 28, 2012 2:39 am

Last three recon fixes are almost due west...not a wobble...what is going on? If it keeps this up, people will never trust the NHC again...Big New Orleans hype then Euro comes in to shows who is boss...I am just kidding...stay with the NHC forecast...just interesting...
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#6786 Postby ROCK » Tue Aug 28, 2012 2:44 am

drezee wrote:Last three recon fixes are almost due west...not a wobble...what is going on? If it keeps this up, people will never trust the NHC again...Big New Orleans hype then Euro comes in to shows who is boss...I am just kidding...stay with the NHC forecast...just interesting...



yep...I want to see if it continues....but man I am tired...
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#6787 Postby Chris_in_Tampa » Tue Aug 28, 2012 2:46 am

977mb, 1 knot wind at surface
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#6788 Postby ROCK » Tue Aug 28, 2012 2:47 am

Chris_in_Tampa wrote:977mb, 1 knot wind at surface



thats a good fix...and that is about as straight west as you can get....
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#6789 Postby Sonica » Tue Aug 28, 2012 2:50 am

Stalling and due west..not sounding good for me.
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#6790 Postby Chris_in_Tampa » Tue Aug 28, 2012 2:50 am

High Values:
Flight (30s): 76 knots
Flight (10s): 77 knots
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#6791 Postby ROCK » Tue Aug 28, 2012 2:51 am

someone wake up Delta Dog!!! and that dude WX Warrior!!
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#6792 Postby Jagno » Tue Aug 28, 2012 2:53 am

Rock, with this westward movement that is becoming consistent what will this do in terms of landfall? I've heard small changes this close to landfall make big differences so now I'm wondering what those are. LOL

Ewwe, this is my post #666. LOL
Last edited by Jagno on Tue Aug 28, 2012 2:58 am, edited 1 time in total.
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#6793 Postby OzCycloneChaserTrav » Tue Aug 28, 2012 2:57 am

Latest euro run slows Issa right down from now and until and during landfall.
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#6794 Postby ROCK » Tue Aug 28, 2012 2:57 am

you get me another west fix and this is no jog or wobble IMO....this is the onset for the west drift we saw on many model runs but this is way off the coast!!
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#6795 Postby stephen23 » Tue Aug 28, 2012 2:59 am

All the convection is rotating now on water vapor loop?
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#6796 Postby Chris_in_Tampa » Tue Aug 28, 2012 3:00 am

High Values:
Flight (30s): 76 knots
Flight (10s): 78 knots
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#6797 Postby Jagno » Tue Aug 28, 2012 3:03 am

ROCK wrote:you get me another west fix and this is no jog or wobble IMO....this is the onset for the west drift we saw on many model runs but this is way off the coast!!

Thanks but the next run isn't for a few hours right?
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#6798 Postby Texashawk » Tue Aug 28, 2012 3:04 am

Damn it Rock! I was just about to go to bed... hadn't checked on this thing since about 7 PM... thought 'oh, what the hell, I'm an enthusiast...' and WTH is going on here?? Now I'm sucked back in!!! And I know the second I start tracking it again it'll shoot north faster than Santa Claus after a hard Christmas night!!! What do I do???
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Re:

#6799 Postby ROCK » Tue Aug 28, 2012 3:07 am

Texashawk wrote:Damn it Rock! I was just about to go to bed... hadn't checked on this thing since about 7 PM... thought 'oh, what the hell, I'm an enthusiast...' and WTH is going on here?? Now I'm sucked back in!!! And I know the second I start tracking it again it'll shoot north faster than Santa Claus after a hard Christmas night!!! What do I do???




I need RECON to get me another west fix to be sure....or even south of west fix as SG told me earlier....this has slowed to a crawl and look more and more to me that it missed the weakness it was shooting for....probably because it has been struggling with the dry air...
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#6800 Postby ROCK » Tue Aug 28, 2012 3:08 am

it is now SW of its forecast point..

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floater ... -long.html
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