ATL: ISAAC - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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Chris_in_Tampa
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#6801 Postby Chris_in_Tampa » Tue Aug 28, 2012 3:09 am

High Values:
Flight (30s): 73 knots
Flight (10s): 75 knots
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ROCK
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#6802 Postby ROCK » Tue Aug 28, 2012 3:17 am

another fix due west.....this is one long jog....already at 88W and barely at 26N
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#6803 Postby windnrain » Tue Aug 28, 2012 3:19 am

FL winds at 78 knots...

Hurricane right?
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#6804 Postby Chris_in_Tampa » Tue Aug 28, 2012 3:19 am

Waiting for an SFMR reading to support a hurricane.
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#6805 Postby ROCK » Tue Aug 28, 2012 3:19 am

windnrain wrote:FL winds at 78 knots...

Hurricane right?




really close.....if its not already.... 1 MB drop 977MB from last fix
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#6806 Postby windnrain » Tue Aug 28, 2012 3:21 am

I mean come on Isaac... you held off this long, just go ahead and take your hurricane title. Hell, he deserves it on persistence alone.
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#6807 Postby Chris_in_Tampa » Tue Aug 28, 2012 3:23 am

This is probably going to be the pass...

Image
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#6808 Postby Texashawk » Tue Aug 28, 2012 3:24 am

Here is my concern now (forgive the crude graphic)

Image

This represents about a 14-hour slice of time. The average motion (remember this is what all the pros harp on; use average motion) is roughly 296 degrees (assuming the next vortex is close to where I placed the dot).

That's quite a large sample size. And 296 isn't gonna get it done. In fact, 296 from here on out would take it to... Port Arthur, TEXAS. Not that I am really expecting this to happen, but it is an interesting observation.

Uploaded with ImageShack.us
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#6809 Postby dexterlabio » Tue Aug 28, 2012 3:24 am

yeah he can be a hurricane just to add up to the numbers this season...as long as it won't cause any trouble down there.. :lol:
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#6810 Postby windnrain » Tue Aug 28, 2012 3:25 am

I understand your concern. I think it may have longer to strengthen than most people think.
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#6811 Postby ROCK » Tue Aug 28, 2012 3:26 am

Chris_in_Tampa wrote:This is probably going to be the pass...

Image



yep this is what I am waiting for....
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#6812 Postby Chris_in_Tampa » Tue Aug 28, 2012 3:28 am

This will be the last AF pass for this mission.
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#6813 Postby ROCK » Tue Aug 28, 2012 3:33 am

Yeah Texas Hawk.......SG would love to here that!!
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#6814 Postby Texashawk » Tue Aug 28, 2012 3:35 am

Rock, wouldn't it be crazy if all the people who had given up on this storm in Texas awoke to a storm 200 miles away and headed their direction? FWIW, Dr. Neil was very concerned at 6 and 10 PM even when the storm looked to be heading almost due north. The man knows his storms, maybe he was on to something?
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Re:

#6815 Postby ROCK » Tue Aug 28, 2012 3:37 am

Texashawk wrote:Rock, wouldn't it be crazy if all the people who had given up on this storm in Texas awoke to a storm 200 miles away and headed their direction? FWIW, Dr. Neil was very concerned at 6 and 10 PM even when the storm looked to be heading almost due north. The man knows his storms, maybe he was on to something?



yeah he is a smart guy.....Plane almost ready for the next pass....
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#6816 Postby southerngale » Tue Aug 28, 2012 3:37 am

ROCK wrote:Yeah Texas Hawk.......SG would love to here that!!

Bite your tongue. :P

I should have been asleep a long time ago, but I might as well stay up for the new Advisory now. Surely this is just a big wobble...
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#6817 Postby Texashawk » Tue Aug 28, 2012 3:37 am

ROCK wrote:Yeah Texas Hawk.......SG would love to here that!!


According to the bottom, he's lurking somewhere on here. Perhaps.
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#6818 Postby ROCK » Tue Aug 28, 2012 3:38 am

Texashawk wrote:
ROCK wrote:Yeah Texas Hawk.......SG would love to here that!!


According to the bottom, he's lurking somewhere on here. Perhaps.



SouthernGale and he is a she.... :D
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#6819 Postby sikkar » Tue Aug 28, 2012 3:39 am

This buoy -closest to the center- is gone mad... reporting 1000 knots winds :lol:
and a much more realistic pressure of 995.9 mb.

http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.p ... t=M&tz=EST
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#6820 Postby Texashawk » Tue Aug 28, 2012 3:41 am

ROCK wrote:
Texashawk wrote:
ROCK wrote:Yeah Texas Hawk.......SG would love to here that!!


According to the bottom, he's lurking somewhere on here. Perhaps.



SouthernGale and he is a she.... :D


I knew that... damn, it's late. Sorry SG!!
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