ATL: ISAAC - Post-Tropical - Discussion

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Message
Author
pwrdog
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 193
Joined: Fri Jan 26, 2007 5:58 am
Location: Texas

Re: ATL: ISAAC - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#7061 Postby pwrdog » Tue Aug 28, 2012 8:44 am

101 mph flight level winds recorded.. It has to be close.. but they still not made it to the surface..
0 likes   

BenD
Tropical Wave
Tropical Wave
Posts: 6
Joined: Fri Aug 24, 2012 7:26 pm
Location: Lake City, FL

Re: ATL: ISAAC - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#7062 Postby BenD » Tue Aug 28, 2012 8:44 am

If this stays slow, it could be a very bad thing for flooding. Debby was a smaller TS by far and we got 26 inches of rain here according to my gauge. (this was because it stayed put for so long.) Some people got flooded out here who had lived in their houses for 30 years or longer and had never gotten flooded!

In any event I hope people stay safe and realize that the rain/storm surge of a TS can be bad as well. And this is not counting the fact that it does appear to finally be strengthening.. (but we have been proven wrong in that regard many times so far with this storm.)
0 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

Countrygirl911
Tropical Depression
Tropical Depression
Posts: 93
Joined: Fri Jun 25, 2010 5:28 pm
Location: Meadville, Mississippi

#7063 Postby Countrygirl911 » Tue Aug 28, 2012 8:45 am

was looking at recon they have found 83kts which is a 95mph hurricane can someone verify this please
0 likes   

WeatherGuesser
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2672
Joined: Tue Jun 29, 2010 6:46 am

Re: Re:

#7064 Postby WeatherGuesser » Tue Aug 28, 2012 8:46 am

otowntiger wrote:which is obviously worse than if it hit N.O. head on,

Exactly. NO should really be hoping for it to come ashore EAST of NO, but that would be rather unpleasant for Gulfport and Biloxi.
0 likes   

WeatherGuesser
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2672
Joined: Tue Jun 29, 2010 6:46 am

Re:

#7065 Postby WeatherGuesser » Tue Aug 28, 2012 8:46 am

Countrygirl911 wrote:can someone verify this please

Only the NHC can do that.
0 likes   

RL3AO
Moderator-Pro Met
Moderator-Pro Met
Posts: 16308
Joined: Thu Jun 14, 2007 10:03 pm
Location: NC

Re:

#7066 Postby RL3AO » Tue Aug 28, 2012 8:47 am

Countrygirl911 wrote:was looking at recon they have found 83kts which is a 95mph hurricane can someone verify this please


Take the FL winds and multiply by .8

That gives you a good estimate of the surface winds.
0 likes   

User avatar
senorpepr
Military Met/Moderator
Military Met/Moderator
Posts: 12542
Age: 43
Joined: Fri Aug 22, 2003 9:22 pm
Location: Mackenbach, Germany
Contact:

Re:

#7067 Postby senorpepr » Tue Aug 28, 2012 8:47 am

Countrygirl911 wrote:was looking at recon they have found 83kts which is a 95mph hurricane can someone verify this please


I'm guess the 83 kt you're referring to was at flight level. Surface winds would be about 80% of that value, or 66 kt.
0 likes   

Sanibel
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 10375
Joined: Mon Aug 30, 2004 11:06 pm
Location: Offshore SW Florida

Re: ATL: ISAAC - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#7068 Postby Sanibel » Tue Aug 28, 2012 8:47 am

Land friction in the north quadrant is probably driving up FL winds in a tightening syndrome.
0 likes   

rainstorm

Re:

#7069 Postby rainstorm » Tue Aug 28, 2012 8:47 am

Countrygirl911 wrote:was looking at recon they have found 83kts which is a 95mph hurricane can someone verify this please



83 knots at the surface?
0 likes   

User avatar
ROCK
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 9484
Age: 54
Joined: Tue Aug 17, 2004 7:30 am
Location: Kemah, Texas

Re: ATL: ISAAC - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#7070 Postby ROCK » Tue Aug 28, 2012 8:47 am

2003 Claudette if you want to see a cone move significant in the moments before landfall....I would not discount the EURO and that drift west....JMO....
0 likes   

Countrygirl911
Tropical Depression
Tropical Depression
Posts: 93
Joined: Fri Jun 25, 2010 5:28 pm
Location: Meadville, Mississippi

#7071 Postby Countrygirl911 » Tue Aug 28, 2012 8:48 am

Grand Isle, LA is already flooding
0 likes   

thetraveler
Tropical Depression
Tropical Depression
Posts: 65
Joined: Fri Sep 10, 2004 2:54 pm
Location: Deep East Texas

Re: ATL: ISAAC - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#7072 Postby thetraveler » Tue Aug 28, 2012 8:48 am

One of the saving graces this year for NOLA and points just north is the drought in the midwest which has caused the Mississippi River to be below normal levels. This may allow some of the storm surge to move further up river which might take some strain off the levee systems. Just my opinion.
0 likes   

capepoint
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 415
Joined: Sat Jul 19, 2008 7:13 pm
Location: Beaufort, NC

Re:

#7073 Postby capepoint » Tue Aug 28, 2012 8:49 am

Countrygirl911 wrote:was looking at recon they have found 83kts which is a 95mph hurricane can someone verify this please


that was flight level, showing upper 50's estimated at surface...
0 likes   
Ginger-(eye),Dennis,Diana,Kate,Gloria,Charley-(eye),Allison,Arthur,Bertha,Fran,Josephine,Bonnie,Earl,Dennis-(twice),Floyd, Isabel-(eye),Charley,Ophelia-(eyewall),Ernesto,Barry,Hanna,Irene-(eye),Arthur-(eye), Florence, Dorian, and countless depressions, storms, and nor'easters.

User avatar
LSU2001
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1711
Age: 57
Joined: Sat Sep 11, 2004 11:01 pm
Location: Cut Off, Louisiana

Re: ATL: ISAAC - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#7074 Postby LSU2001 » Tue Aug 28, 2012 8:49 am

Country Girl, do you have a link for Grand Isle Flooding?
Thanks,
Tim
0 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

WeatherGuesser
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2672
Joined: Tue Jun 29, 2010 6:46 am

#7075 Postby WeatherGuesser » Tue Aug 28, 2012 8:50 am

Sen. Vitter, who evacuated his family, says, “My biggest concern actually is not with the system that’s been built since Katrina, it’s with all of those areas outside that system. You know we really built the system for the last storm, the last war, there are major populated areas outside that system.”

Knabb says, “This whole swath of moisture could drop a lot of rain for a lot of people. And that’s the inland flood risk that we’re really concerned about. Inland flooding has been responsible for a lot of fatalities. It’s not just going to be a coastal event.”


http://cnnpressroom.blogs.cnn.com/2012/ ... es-family/
0 likes   

monicaei
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 114
Joined: Mon Aug 25, 2008 4:58 pm

Re:

#7076 Postby monicaei » Tue Aug 28, 2012 8:50 am

Countrygirl911 wrote:Grand Isle, LA is already flooding


Where'd you find info about da island?
0 likes   

bqhurricane
Tropical Low
Tropical Low
Posts: 19
Joined: Wed Sep 21, 2005 2:31 pm

Re: ATL: ISAAC - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#7077 Postby bqhurricane » Tue Aug 28, 2012 8:50 am

2003 Claudette if you want to see a cone move significant in the moments before landfall....I would not discount the EURO and that drift west....JMO....


True, but Claudette was predicted to make that west turn for days. She was just too stubborn to make it until she nearly hit Houston. I think the original forecast was for her to hit near Brownsville, but she got all the way up to Freeport.
0 likes   

wxwatcher1999
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 264
Joined: Sat Aug 04, 2012 10:19 am

#7078 Postby wxwatcher1999 » Tue Aug 28, 2012 8:50 am

Does anyone think the cone will shift left with the western movement?
0 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

cpdaman
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3131
Joined: Sat Jun 10, 2006 11:44 am
Location: SPB county (gulf stream)

Re: ATL: ISAAC - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#7079 Postby cpdaman » Tue Aug 28, 2012 8:50 am

anyone have a link to the page (i can't rememeber it) that monitors tide level at various spots along the shore (in a network across a few states) it's done in a graph like fashion (in real time) and you can read surge values easily . PLEASE!
0 likes   

thatwhichisnt
Tropical Depression
Tropical Depression
Posts: 85
Joined: Sat Aug 25, 2012 7:12 pm

Re:

#7080 Postby thatwhichisnt » Tue Aug 28, 2012 8:50 am

Countrygirl911 wrote:Grand Isle, LA is already flooding

Can you give us more information? My company has camps there.
0 likes   


Return to “2012”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 3 guests